Best Ravens vs. Bengals Player Prop Bets for NFL Thursday Night Football: Can The Gus Bus Roll?
NFL same-game parlays and player props are now available at Thursday Night Football’s best NFL betting sites. NFL Week 11 kicks off with a crucial AFC North showdown between the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens are point home favorites. The Over/Under for this game is set at . Below, we’ll highlight NFL TNF player props and a potential SGP strategy for those player prop picks.
NFL TNF Player Props: Bengals at Ravens
Head To Head
|Offense Ranking OFF RNK||27th||7th|
|Defense Ranking DEF RNK||31st||2nd|
|Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG||291.7||366.1|
|Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG||389.3||273.9|
|Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG||215.9||207.5|
|Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG||0.8||1.2|
nfl Same game parlay STRATEGY
The key to long-term profitability in SGP betting is correlation. Getting the broad story of a game correct makes it easier to hit a parlay, as you’re not cheering for disparate and potentially even contradictory things to happen.
Bettors should be aware of the overall decline in scoring this year in the NFL. Primetime game total orders are now a remarkable 25-7 this season (78%). This week, we must be creative and conservative in betting NFL player prop odds. The matchup between the Bengals and Ravens should give some optimism for a higher-scoring affair.
Thursday night’s matchup is 1.5 points off from the highest-totaled game on the week 11 slate. The past five games involving the Bengals are averaging 754.0 combined yards per game, second most in the NFL.
Potential Bengals at Ravens tNF Same Game Parlay Picks
Gus Edwards Props
Although we are hearing the chirping of the Ravens’ backfield morphing into a three-way committee with the emergence of explosive rookie Keaton Mitchell, all the boxes seem to be checked for Edward’s potential success on Thursday night. The Ravens starter gets a home game as the leadback on a team that’s more than a three-point favorite.
The matchup for Edwards should only increase optimism in this spot. The Bengals are in the bottom five by rushing defense by DVOA and EPA, while the Ravens are the No. 1 team in those metrics.
The market has seemingly already baked in the recent surge of Mitchell’s success to Edwards rushing prop but has adjusted too strongly. Edwards still led this group in snaps (28) and touches (12) last week, while the rookie only played 13 snaps.
Near the end zone is also where Edwards has the most significant edge in this backfield. Edwards leads this backfield with 14 touches in goal-to-go situations, cashing seven for TDs. The University of Miami product has eclipsed his rushing line in 7-of-10 games this year.
- Over Rushing Yards
- Anytime TD
Ja’Marr Chase Props
Playing through a sore back last week, Chase was still on the field for 91.5% of the team dropbacks and should be busy again on TNF with the absence of Tee Higgins. Although the Ravens’ pass defense has been stout to date, top CB Marlon Humphrey (calf) will likely sit here.
With the spread for this game indicating the Bengals will likely trail, look for Chase to be fed the rock even more. The Ravens are coming off allowing six catches for 98 yards to Amari Cooper last week and are two weeks removed from allowing 13 catches for 102 yards to Amon-Ra St. Brown. Chase has 12+ targets in 2-of-3 games vs. Baltimore’s defensive coordinator, Michael Macdonald.
- Over Receiving Yards
- Over Receptions Made
Joe Mixon Props
While playing at least 70% of Cincinnati’s offensive snaps in eight straight weeks, Mixon hasn’t reached 20 touches in a game since week 5. Entering this matchup as a road underdog facing a rushing defense that sits in the top 10 by DVOA and EPA, bettors should shy away from expecting rushing success here. Mixon has also failed to eclipse 46 rushing yards in three of his last four contests.
- Under Rushing Yards
TNF Same Game Parlay Odds Boosts
TheLines recommends comparing odds boosts across the sports betting market to lock in the best available price.
Learn more about Odds Boosts here.
How To Find SGP Promos
Most SGP promos will require you to opt-in to receive the SGP promo benefits. We are seeing some bonus bets back SGP offers for all users at FanDuel and profit boost offers at bet365, DraftKings, and Caesars. BetMGM offers SGP insurance tokens for bonus bets back if one leg loses.
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