Seahawks vs Cowboys Player Prop Bets For NFL Thursday Night Football: Tony Pollard Night?
NFL same-game parlays and player props are now available at Thursday Night Football’s best NFL betting sites. NFL Week 13 kicks off with an NFC showdown between the Seattle Seahawks and the surging Dallas Cowboys. The Cowboys are point home favorites. The Over/Under for this game is set at . Below, we’ll highlight NFL TNF player props and a potential SGP strategy.
|Offense Ranking OFF RNK
|Defense Ranking DEF RNK
|Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG
|Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG
|Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG
|Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG
nfl Same game parlay STRATEGY
The key to long-term profitability in SGP betting is correlation. Getting the broad story of a game correct makes it easier to hit a parlay, as you’re not cheering for disparate and potentially even contradictory things to happen. When reviewing winning SGP tickets, we can think backward and determine what game-script ideas and correlations went into the construction of the parlay.
Bettors should be aware of the overall decline in scoring this year in the NFL, especially in island games. Primetime game total unders are now a remarkable 29-9 (76%) this season. This week, we must be creative and conservative in betting NFL player prop odds. The matchup between the Seahawks and Cowboys should give over bettors some optimism for a higher-scoring affair, as this game represents the third-highest over/under on the Week 13 slate. Plus, both teams are on normal rest after playing on Thanksgiving.
Potential Seahawks at cowboys tNF player props & Same Game Parlay Legs
Cowboys RB Tony Pollard Props
All the boxes seem to be checked for Pollard’s breakout game on Thursday night. The Cowboys starter gets a home game as the lead back on a team that’s favored by more than a touchdown. Pollard put together a strong performance on Thanksgiving, turning 19 touches into 103 yards and a touchdown. All signs are pointing towards a hot finish to his 2023 campaign. For the first time this season Pollard reached the end zone in back-to-back games.
Seattle’s defense seems depleted, yielding an average of 27.8 points over its last four games while benching CB Tariq Woolen and losing DT Leonard Williams to injury. It is noteworthy that Pollard has been on an upward trajectory in terms of rushing efficiency and creating explosive runs for a few weeks. His 6.1 yards per carry in Week 12 was a season-high. Seattle has gotten worse against the run as the season has progressed. Over their past five games, Seattle has allowed 5.3 YPC to running backs (30th) and is tied in allowing a league-high seven rushing touchdowns to backfields over that span.
- Over Rushing Yards
- Anytime TD
Seahawks RB Zach Charbonnet Props
With Kenneth Walker doubtful, Charbonnet was a three-down workhorse for the Seahawks. Charbonnet out-carried DeeJay Dallas 14-12 and ran 26 routes on 36 Geno Smith dropbacks. While the output was underwhelming, Charbonnet did play 88% of the snaps, which led all running backs in Week 13. The rookie faces a tough expected game-script in this spot but sheer volume should put him over the top.
Although Dallas has been blowing out teams, its interesting to note that opposing RB’s are still going over their respective rushing yards prop. The reason is simple. The market has already baked in the expected negative game-script and therefore the rushing line is lower to begin with. Now, whats alarming is that Dallas has actually been the second-worst run defense in football this year in terms of success rate. Charbanet has 40+ rushing yards and 4+ receptions in three straight games (Seattle losed two of those games), so even if Dallas blows Seattle out, Charbonnet backers should have full confidence in him going over his lines.
- Over Rushing Yards
- Over Receiving Yards
Potential TNF Same Game Parlay Legs
There is actual statistical backing for this game to go under its point total, beyond the primetime unders trend.
Firstly, this game already represents the third-highest total on the Week 13 slate and includes a Seattle team that averages in the bottom half of the league in scoring. Seattle has scored a touchdown on 11.5% of their possessions over their past seven games, 30th in the league.
While Dallas should certainly have success scoring points in this game, the worry should be how much a struggling Seattle offense can score against an elite Dallas defense.
While the point spread keeps moving higher toward Dallas, this leg can serve as an easy boost to your parlay odds, and it makes a ton of sense. The Cowboys have won 13 straight games at home by extreme scoring margins this year of 35, 32, 23, 35, and 20.
One of the Cowboys’ mismatches over the Seahawks will be in the trenches, and that doesn’t even display the fact that QB Geno Smith appears to be playing hurt, and RB Kenneth Walker (oblique) looks likely to miss another game. Smith has been pressured on 40.1% of his dropbacks, 28th in the league. Under pressure, he is averaging 5.1 yards per pass attempt, which is 27th in the league. The Cowboys rank second in sack rate (10.2%).
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How To Find TNF player props & SGP Promos
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