NFL Thursday Night Football Player Props: Best ATTD, SGP Promos For Broncos At Chiefs

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Written By Jeffrey Schreiber on October 12, 2023
tnf player props

NFL same game parlay and player props are now available at Thursday Night Football’s best NFL betting sites. NFL Week 6 kicks off with an AFC West showdown between the Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs are point home favorites. The Over/Under for this game is set at . Below, we’ll highlight NFL TNF player props and a potential SGP strategy for those player prop picks.

NFL TNF Player Props: broncos at chiefs

nfl Same game parlay STRATEGY

The key to long-term profitability in SGPs and prop betting is correlation. Unlike traditional parlay bets, which can be risky because of the number of things that have to go right, correlated parlays are safer. Getting the broad story of a game correct makes it easier to hit a parlay, as you’re not cheering for disparate and potentially even contradictory things to happen.

In this projected lopsided affair between the Broncos and Chiefs, there isn’t too much of a case for Denver to compete in this game. The Broncos are a team that has surrendered fewer than 28 points once in five contests. Denver’s defense is 32nd in EPA against the pass and 31st in EPA against the run. Kansas City has been more of a well-rounded machine in 2023. Both the Chiefs offense and defense is graded inside the top 10 in EPA metrics through five games.

The minuscule case for Denver to cover this large spread is that they are facing a division opponent on a short week with their top offensive weapon at less than 100%.

Potential Broncos at chiefs tNF Sgp PICKS

The clear chalk in this game regarding player props will certainly be Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco. While a “fade the public” strategy can sometimes be profitable, there is no need to get cute in this spot. Let’s lay out opposing running back performances against the Broncos in the last four weeks.

  • Brian Robinson (Week 2): 18 carries, 87 rushing yards, 2 total touchdowns. 2 receptions, 42 receiving yards.
  • De’Von Achane (Week 3): 18 carries, 203 rushing yards, 4 total touchdowns. 4 receptions, 30 receiving yards.
  • Raheem Mostert (Week 3): 13 carries, 82 rushing yards, 4 total touchdowns. 7 receptions, 60 receiving yards.
  • Khalil Herbert (Week 4): 18 carries, 103 rushing yards, 1 total touchdown. 4 receptions, 19 receiving yards.
  • Breece Hall (Week 5): 22 carries, 177 rushing yards, 1 total touchdown. 3 receptions, 17 receiving yards.

No player in Thursday’s game draws a friendlier matchup than Isiah Pacheco as a two-score home favorite lead back facing a Broncos defense that has surrendered almost 252 rushing yards per game over its last three. On the season, opposing RBs have dismantled Denver for 6.1 yards per carry and 12 all-purpose TDs.

Finally, through five games, the Broncos have allowed the most rushing attempts, rushing yards, and rushing touchdowns to enemy RBs. With touch counts of 17, 23, and 17 over the past three weeks, I would not be surprised to see a ceiling-type performance from the Chiefs’ second-year RB on TNF.

  • Isiah Pacheco OVER Rushing Yards
  • Isiah Pacheco OVER Longest Rush
  • Isiah Pacheco OVER Receiving Yards
  • Isiah Pacheco OVER Receptions Made
  • Isiah Pacheco Anytime TD

Brett Gibbons has two Chiefs anytime touchdowns to consider, and Eli Hershkovich also has two potential Broncos ATTD props if you prefer that route.

Sportsbook Promos To Use on Same Game Parlays & Other Bets

Be sure to check the promotions section of your sportsbook today, as many will post a new SGP promotion for all users for TNF. Most SGP promos will require you to opt-in to receive the SGP promo benefits. We are seeing some bonus bets back SGP offers for all users at FanDuel and profit boost offers at bet365, DraftKings, and Caesars. BetMGM is offering SGP insurance tokens for bonus bets back if one leg loses.

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