NFL Thursday Night Football Player Props: Best ATTD, SGP Promos For Buccaneers At Bills
NFL same-game parlays and player props are now available at Thursday Night Football’s best NFL betting sites. NFL Week 8 kicks off with an inter-conference showdown between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Buffalo Bills. The Bills are point home favorites. The Over/Under for this game is set at . Below, we’ll highlight NFL TNF player props and a potential SGP strategy for those player prop picks.
NFL TNF Player Props: buccaneers at bills
Head To HeadLast Updated on 10.25.2023
|Offense Ranking OFF RNK||23rd||4th|
|Defense Ranking DEF RNK||27th||13th|
|Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG||305.6||383.3|
|Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG||356.9||319.9|
|Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG||220.4||260.9|
|Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG||1.1||1.7|
nfl Same game parlay STRATEGY
The key to long-term profitability in SGP betting is correlation. Unlike traditional parlay bets, which can be risky because of the number of things that have to go right, correlated parlays are safer. Getting the broad story of a game correct makes it easier to hit a parlay, as you’re not cheering for disparate and potentially even contradictory things to happen.
As for projecting Thursday night’s game script, betting on the Bills to bounce back from last week’s loss makes sense. However, there is valid reasoning that maybe this Bills team is not as good as we thought with all the injuries they have incurred defensively.
Buffalo Bills InjuriesLast Updated on 06.14.2023
|Player||Pos Position||Injury||Status||Snaps/g Snaps Per Game||Comment|
|Zach Davidson||TE||Knee||Out||0||Davidson is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2023-24 season.|
|Tre’Davious White||CB||Achilles||Out||45.5||White suffered a torn Achilles and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He is expected to miss the remainder of the 2023-24 season.|
|Tommy Doyle||OT||Knee||Out||0||Doyle suffered a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2023-24 season.|
|Nyheim Hines||RB||Knee||Out||0||Hines suffered a knee injury and has been placed on the non-football injury list. He will miss the 2023-24 season.|
|Matt Milano||LB||Lower Leg||Out||42.4||Milano suffered a lower leg injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.|
|Kameron Cline||DE||Undisclosed||Out||0||Cline, a practice squad player, is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the injured reserve. He will miss at least four games.|
|Kaiir Elam||CB||Ankle||Questionable||55||The Bills have opened the 21-day practice window for Elam as they await his return from the injured reserve list.|
|Justin Shorter||WR||Hamstring||Out||0||Shorter is dealing with a hamstring injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.|
|Dawson Knox||TE||Wrist||Questionable||45.1||The Bills have opened the 21-day practice window for Knox as they await his return from the injured reserve list.|
|Damien Harris||RB||Neck||Out||15.7||Harris is dealing with a neck injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.|
|DaQuan Jones||DT||Pectoral||Out||23.4||Jones is dealing with a pectoral injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.|
Potential Buccaneers at Bills tNF Sgp PICKS
Let’s build our same game parlay on potential Buffalo dominance on TNF. With the Bills entering this game as more than a touchdown favorite, one has to assume Buffalo will handle business at home. It’s interesting to note that in three of the Bills’ four wins, they have outscored their opponent by an average of 30 points per game. The Buccaneers have lost by 14 points in two of their three losses on the year, displaying they are a team that is vulnerable to being brownout.
While the Bills are hurting defensively, their offense is still a powerhouse—Buffalo’s offense grades in the top five of many offensive categories. Most notably, the Bills are fourth in rushing and passing offense by EPA. The matchup against this Tampa Bay defense can specifically be taken advantage of via the air. The Bucs are 20th in pass defense by EPA. Tampa is also struggling to get pressure on the opposing quarterback, grading out in the bottom eight in pressure rate. The lack of pressure from Tampa Bay’s pass rush will set up Josh Allen with a squeaky-clean pocket on Thursday night.
Bucs RB Rachaad White Props
While one would think that betting on a running back in a projected negative game script doesn’t make sense, in this particular spot, it does. The Bills have been getting gashed by opposing RBs all season long. Even in the Bills blowout wins over the Dolphins and Commanders, the opposing RB ran exceptionally well. Brian Robinson carried the ball 10 times for 70 yards (7 YPC). De’Von Achane carried the ball eight times for 101 yards (12.6 YPC). Buffalo has been playing poor run defense, grading out as a bottom 10 unit by EPA. The Bills have also surrendered the seventh most rushing yards to opposing RBs in 2023.
Now enter Bucs sophomore RB Rachaad White, one of the few RBs still being used as a bell-cow in the NFL. We need opportunity data to make a case for that player when betting. White is averaging more than 17 touches per game this season and 13.8 carries per contest. With the Bills allowing 5.2 YPC to opposing RBs this year, White should soar over his rushing yards prop.
- Rachaad White OVER Rushing Yards
TNF Same Game Parlay Promos And Odds Boosts
Most SGP promos will require you to opt-in to receive the SGP promo benefits. We are seeing some bonus bets back SGP offers for all users at FanDuel and profit boost offers at bet365, DraftKings, and Caesars. BetMGM offers SGP insurance tokens for bonus bets back if one leg loses.
We’ve also collected some of the available same-game parlay odds boosts here.
Thursday Night Football Odds Boosts
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Learn more about Odds Boosts here.
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