NFL Thursday Night Football Player Props: Best ATTD, SGP Promos For Jaguars At Saints

Written By Jeffrey Schreiber | Last Updated
tnf player props

NFL same-game parlays and player props are now available at Thursday Night Football’s best NFL betting sites. NFL Week 7 kicks off with an inter-conference showdown between the Jacksonville Jaguars and New Orleans Saints. The Saints are point home favorites. The Over/Under for this game is set at . Below, we’ll highlight NFL TNF player props and a potential SGP strategy for those player prop picks.

Before handicapping this game, make sure to note the question of whether Jaguars starting quarterback Trevor Lawrence plays or not. As of Wednesday, Lawrence is officially questionable after back-to-back limited practices.

NFL TNF Player Props: jaguars at saints

nfl Same game parlay STRATEGY

The key to long-term profitability in SGP betting is correlation. Unlike traditional parlay bets, which can be risky because of the number of things that have to go right, correlated parlays are safer. Getting the broad story of a game correct makes it easier to hit a parlay, as you’re not cheering for disparate and potentially even contradictory things to happen.

NFL game totals in 2023 have been record-setting low to start the season. Unders have a record of 56-36-1 (60.9%). Even more so, primetime games have been going under at a 14-6 start to the season (70%).

On the Week 7 slate, there are five totals below 40 and only two above 45. Bettors excited to get bets in for this game should be aware of the low game total. With the Over/Under bouncing around 39.5, we’re looking at a below-average score for a football game. 

Awareness of the total can ensure bettors do not take too many bets on Overs when there are likely fewer points scored in the game.

Potential Jaguars at Saints tNF Sgp PICKS

Under 40 Total Points

With the low-scoring appeal of this game, it makes sense to side with the Under. The total currently sits at . Both teams should struggle to score on TNF, and here is why.

Derek Carr enters Week 7 with his lowest passer rating (85.4) through six games since his 2014 rookie season. The Saints are also significantly hobbled on the offensive line. Saints RT Ryan Ramczyk, backup RT Landon Young, and LG James Hurst all appear unlikely to play.

On the Jaguars’ side of the ball, it’s simple to project a lack of offense with Trevor Lawrence at less than 100%. The Saints have also played elite defense in 2023. New Orleans has held opponents to the NFL’s second-lowest completion rate (55.9%) and fifth-fewest yards per pass attempt (5.4) while incurring the league’s second-most interceptions (8). 

Saints WR Rashid Shaheed Props

Now, let’s turn our attention to player props. Even if both teams struggle to score in this game, there should still be plenty of passing volume from both sides. Enter Saints wide receiver Rashid Shaheed. The Jaguars secondary has been vulnerable to big plays in 2023.

In three of the last four games, the Jaguars’ defense has given up more than a third of their total passing yards on pass plays totaling over 20 yards. Jacksonville’s defense has allowed the third-most yards after the catch in 2023, per Pro Football Reference (796). Finally, the Jaguars defense has conceded the most completions and the second-most passing yards to opposing QBs in 2023.

There are few WRs that fit the big-play mold better than the Saints’ second-year burner. Shaheed has the fifth-highest average depth of target (ADOT) in football (18.2). Additionally, the sophomore has the second-most catches of 40+ yards in the NFL, while the Saints have the second-most 40+ yard passing plays in 2023 (5).

  • Rashid Shaheed OVER Longest Reception
  • Rashid Shaheed OVER Receiving Yards

Sportsbook Promos To Use on Same Game Parlays & Other Bets

Be sure to check the promotions section of your sportsbook today, as many will post a new SGP promotion for all users for TNF. Most SGP promos will require you to opt-in to receive the SGP promo benefits. We are seeing some bonus bets back SGP offers for all users at FanDuel and profit boost offers at bet365, DraftKings, and Caesars. BetMGM offers SGP insurance tokens for bonus bets back if one leg loses.

If you do not have an account at one of the sportsbooks below, click PLAY NOW to lock in a sign-up bonus. We’ve ranked the best available here. Best of luck if you are wagering on NFL TNF player props this week!

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