NFL Thanksgiving Player Props, Same Game Parlay Promos & Odds Boosts: Packers At Lions

Written By Jeffrey Schreiber | Last Updated
thanksgiving player props

NFL Thanksgiving player props and same-game parlays are now available at the best NFL betting apps. NFL Week 12 kicks off on Thanksgiving day with an NFC North between the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions. The Lions are point home favorites. The Over/Under for this game is set at . Below, we’ll highlight NFL Thanksgiving player props and a potential SGP strategy for those player prop picks.

NFL THANKSGIVING Player Props: packers at lions

Head To Head

Packers logo Packers GB
Lions logo Lions DET
Offense Ranking OFF RNK N/A N/A
Defense Ranking DEF RNK N/A N/A
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG

nfl Same game parlay STRATEGY

The key to long-term profitability in SGP betting is correlation. Unlike traditional parlay bets, which can be risky because of the number of things that have to go right, correlated parlays are safer. Getting the broad story of a game correct makes it easier to hit a parlay.

Bettors should be aware of the overall decline in scoring this year in the NFL. Primetime game total unders are now hitting at over a 70% clip this season. We must be creative and conservative this week in betting NFL player prop odds.

That said, while both defenses are around league average by EPA, the Packers do have one glaring weakness. Their rush defense is in the bottom 10 of the league, while the Lions rushing offense is Top 5 in the league. Identifying key matchups can be crucial to successful betting.

Potential Packers at Lions Thanksgiving Props & Same Game Parlay Picks

Lions ML ()

The Lions are set to play home indoors for the second straight game, facing a Packers defense ranking in the bottom ten by DVOA. Jared Goff is set up for passing game success as the engineer of Detroit’s top-echelon offense. With Green Bay’s defense grading in the bottom ten by defensive line-adjusted sack rate, Goff should have all day to throw the football to open receivers. Amon-Ra St. Brown has banked 100+ yards and/or a receiving TD in all nine of his 2023 appearances.

A run-heavy game plan should also come with success if the Lions choose to do so. With the Lions’ big advantage on the ground, the Lions should be able to control this game. With the Packers beating the Chargers in Week 11 and Detroit struggling, this line is less juiced than it should be. That makes it an even more attractive parlay piece.

David Montgomery Anytime Touchdown ()

All the necessary boxes are checked for Montgomery to hit pay-dirt in this matchup. He is in a time share with fellow RB Jahmyr Gibbs, but the Lions trust “D-Mont” as the preferred ball carrier inside the five-yard line. The lead back as a home favorite is always a good bet to score a touchdown. Montgomery has a rushing TD in 6/7 games this year, including multiple the last time Detroit played Green Bay.

The Lions should be able to rush all over Green Bay. Yardage props are not the most sensible, as the split with Gibbs can throw up uncertainty. That said, in the red zone, it should be Montgomery’s ball.

AJ Dillon Props

With Aaron Jones not expected to suit up, Dillon will undoubtedly be fed with a lot of opportunity here. Dillon played every second-half snap following Jones’ injury against the Chargers. Although playing in likely unfriendly game script, the pure volume should be enough for the Boston College product. The Lions have allowed RBs to hit paydirt against them in four straight games.

While one can expect inefficiency, Dillon will be the only option in this game for Green Bay. If they want to keep this game close, a heavy dose of Dillon will be necessary. The Lions did allow 183 rushing yards last week, which should give Dillon backers optimism.

  • Anytime touchdown:
  • Rushing Yards: Over
  • Rushing Attempts: Over

Thanksgiving Odds Boosts

Steelers, Dolphins, Bears, Lions All Win

DISCLAIMER does not promote or endorse any form of wagering or gambling to users under the age of 21. This site encourages responsible gambling and provides advice for anyone who believes they, or someone they know, may have a gambling addiction.

TheLines recommends comparing odds boosts across the sports betting market to lock in the best available price.
Learn more about Odds Boosts here.

How To Find SGP Promos

Most SGP promos will require you to opt-in to receive the SGP promo benefits. We are seeing some bonus bets back SGP offers for all users at FanDuel and profit boost offers at bet365, DraftKings, and Caesars. BetMGM offers SGP insurance tokens for bonus bets back if one leg loses.

Thanksgiving New User Sportsbook Promo Codes

If you do not have an account at one of the sportsbooks below, click PLAY NOW to lock in a sign-up bonus. We’ve ranked the best available here. Best of luck if you are wagering on NFL player props this week!

UP TO $1,000
In Bonus Bets
First Bet Safety Net up to $1,000, or Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets
Sign Up, Deposit and Play Today in VA!
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Use Bonus Code: THELINESVA
up to $1,500
In Bonus Bets
Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn’t Win*
*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Use Bonus Code: THELINES
$1,000 FIRST BET
On Caesars
Up to $1,000 Back as a Bonus Bet if Your Bet Loses
Stream NFL Games In-App for Free
21+ Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Use Promo Code: THELINES1000
Bet $5
Get $200
If Your Bet Wins
Bet $5 Get $200 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins
PLUS a Daily Boost or Bonus All Summer
Available on Desktop, Android & iOS
To Claim: Click Play Now
Up to $100
Bonus Bet
Up to $100 Back if Your First Bet Doesn’t Win
Get Your Bets Boosted
To Claim: Click Play Now
$500 BONUS
2nd Chance Bet
Up To $500 in Bet Credits
ONLY 1x Play Through!
Use Exclusive Bonus Code: LINESRIV