Best Bills At Dolphins SNF Prop Bets, Same Game Parlay Promos: Ride Bills RB James Cook?

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Written By Derek Wagner | Last Updated
snf player props

NFL Week 18 odds culminate with Sunday Night Football betting as the Bills square off with the Dolphins for the defacto AFC East championship game. These SNF player props arrived mid-week, giving avid prop bettors plenty of time to dig in and select their favorite props before kickoff. Sportsbook odds have installed the Bills spread at  , with Miami   on the moneyline to win the game. The Over/Under is set at .

Below, I’ll explain who I’m targeting for SNF player props as Week 18 wraps up. Use our free Prop Finder Tool on TheLines.com to shop the best player prop numbers and best anytime touchdown odds at the best betting sitesClick on the odds below to bet now.

SNF PLAYER PROPS: BILLS AT DOLPHINS

Bills RB James Cook over rushing yards

I’m still trying to figure out what’s wrong with the Bills passing attack of late, but I want to steer clear of it as much as possible. Josh Allen has failed to go over 170 passing yards in two of his last three games, and he’s also completed 50% or fewer of his passes in two. Something is off. The only thing we can be sure of right now for Buffalo is that James Cook’s volume has increased.

The third-year back has had at least 16 carries in the last three games, leading me to believe his over is worth a look. The Buffalo offense has quietly transformed into one of the league’s better ground attacks, averaging 130.3 rushing yards per contest (7th). When the Dolphins stepped up in class against the Ravens’ elite running attack last week, they were bulldozed for 6.1 YPC by Justice Hill and Gus Edwards. I struggle to see them slowing down Cook, especially without Bradley Chubb coming off one of the edges. Chubb is primarily a pass rusher, but he led the team in tackles for loss at 11. His presence will be missed in both the pass and run game.

Dolphins TE Durham Smythe over receiving yards

With Waddle out, someone has to see increased volume in the offense; enter Durham Smythe. Once Waddle exited the Week 16 game after just 28 offensive snaps, Smythe has been Tua’s security blanket in the passing attack. We’ve seen him go for 56 and 54 receiving yards in the last two weeks. It’ll be a tad trendy since his workload is on the upswing, but it’s got a good shot at going over if Tyreek Hill is playing through injury. Hill sustained a left ankle injury against the Titans a few weeks ago; however, he also left last week’s game against the Ravens after landing awkwardly while attempting to make a catch on 3rd and 10. If Hill’s ankle is bothering him and he’s not getting separation, look for Smythe to see increased work, as he’s been a reliable target of late.

Dolphins RB De’Von Achane over rushing yards

The Bills’ defense has been stout against the run, only giving up 80.7 yards to running backs per game. Take that number with a grain of salt, as they’ve only faced two teams (Dolphins & Eagles) that sit inside the top 10 in rushing this season. When they met the Eagles in Week 12, Siriani’s tailbacks torched the Bills’ defense for 120 yards on the ground, averaging 6.6 yards a pop. When they last played the Phins in Week 4, the rookie running back shredded them for 101 yards.

The step-up in class hasn’t been kind to McDermott’s defense, and I’d expect Achane to burn them again. Raheem Mostert also missed last week’s game with knee and ankle injuries, leading me to believe he’s not a significant threat to vulture carries from the rookie. As always, check the inactive before kickoff to see if anything changes.

Best of luck betting on SNF player props!

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