Best Packers at Vikings SNF Prop Bets, Same Game Parlay Promos: Fade Ty Chandler Fantasy Hype?
NFL Week 17 betting wraps up with Sunday Night Football odds as the Packers collide with the Vikings for an NFC North showdown. These SNF player props arrived mid-week, giving avid prop bettors plenty of time to dig in and select their favorite props before kickoff. Sportsbook odds have installed the Minnesota spread at , with Green Bay on the moneyline to win the game. The Over/Under is set at .
Below, I’ll explain who I’m targeting for SNF player props as Week 17 wraps up. Use our free Prop Finder Tool on TheLines.com to shop the best player prop numbers and best anytime touchdown odds at the best betting sites. Click on the odds below to bet now.
SNF Player props: packers at vikings
Aaron Jones over rushing yards
Although Green Bay possesses the league’s ninth-lowest rushing rate, that number is on the upswing since Jones has returned. Since coming back from injury, the veteran tailback has resorted to his former workhorse role, amassing 34 carries for 180 yards in two games. His return is a welcome sight to Packer faithful, as their explosive threat, WR Christian Watson, is dealing with a nagging hamstring injury. With Watson doubtful again, expect a heavy dose of Jones to pace their methodical offense.
Furthermore, the Vikings’ run defense, which is 11th in rush EPA, is slightly inflated due to their schedule. Five of their 15 games this season have come against opponents who rank in the bottom 10 in the league in rushing EPA. They’ve been gashed on the ground when their defense has had to step up in class against Philadelphia and Detroit.
K.J. Osborn over receiving yards
While the injury to tight end T.J. Hockenson is devastating to the Vikings’ offense; it leaves room for targets to go elsewhere amongst a stacked skills position group. Enter K.J. Osborn. Osborn tallied seven targets last week against the Lions, which was the second most on the team behind Justin Jefferson’s 10. After Hockenson left the game, 25% of the targets went Osborn’s way.
Additionally, Osborn will draw Keisean Nixon in coverage when lined up in the slot. Nixon has allowed 579 yards in coverage on the season, which ranks in the top-25 of all cornerbacks. It’s certainly possible that Minnesota feeds Justin Jefferson on the outside with Jaire Alexander suspended for the game; however, the mismatch lies in the slot. In their Week 8 matchup, Kirk Cousins targeted Dixon eight times, and the cornerback surrendered 60 receiving yards in their 24-10 loss.
Ty Chandler under rushing yards
Since assuming the bulk of the carries in the Minnesota backfield, it’s been a bumpy road for the second-year North Carolina product. He shredded the Bengals porous run defense for 132 yards and a score in Week 15, only to follow that up with a 17-yard performance on eight carries last week against the Lions. The Bengals’ issue in stopping Chandler was partly because D.J. Reader, the team’s stud defensive tackle, suffered a torn right quad after only two plays.
Now, Chandler is going up against a stout Green Bay run defense of late. In the season’s first seven weeks, the Packers run defense ranked 25th in rush EPA. Then, linebacker De’Vondre Campbell returned from injury. Since his return, Joe Barry’s unit ranks 13th in rush EPA. It’s worth noting that in Week 8, these two teams squared off, and the Packers limited Alexander Mattison to a mere 31 yards on 16 carries.
Kevin O’Connell’s pass-heavy gameplan could also aid the under here. Despite missing Justin Jefferson for seven games due to injury, the Minnesota offense has accumulated the fourth-most pass attempts per game this season with 37. O’Connell’s lack of interest in the run, coupled with a stiff Green Bay run defense of late, make me believe Chandler’s under is the play.
Best of luck betting on SNF player props!
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Vikings Vs. Packers Player Props
SNF: Packers At Vikings Spread, Moneyline, and Total
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