Best Vikings At Broncos SNF Prop Bets, SGP Promos: Can TJ Hockenson Go Over 60 Yards?
NFL Week 11 betting concludes with Sunday Night Football odds as the Vikings visit the Broncos. These SNF player props arrived on Thursday, giving sports bettors plenty of time to lock in their favorite props before kickoff. Denver is a home favorite, with Minnesota on the moneyline to win the game. The Over/Under is set at .
Below, I’ll explain who I’m targeting for SNF player props as Week 11 wraps up. Use our free Prop Finder Tool on TheLines.com to quickly hunt for the best player prop numbers and best anytime touchdown odds at the best betting sites. Click on the sportsbook odds below to bet now.
SNF PLayer props: Vikings at Broncos
Vikings TE TJ Hockenson Over Receiving Yards
TJ Hockenson is having the best season of his career, on pace for over 1,100 receiving yards. His 95 targets place him sixth in the league, and over the last two games with Josh Dobbs, he’s been targeted an eye-popping 27 times. This number will likely decrease slightly when Justin Jefferson returns from injury. However, the attention that Jefferson draws upon his return will still free up the Iowa product for significant gains.
He gets a Denver Broncos defense that has been weak against TEs tonight. The Broncos have allowed the most receiving yards to tight ends with 620. On Monday night against the Bills, they allowed rookie TE Dalton Kincaid to reel in five of his six targets for 51 yards. Three of the last four tight ends against the Broncos have gone over 50 receiving yards, the lone exception being Luke Musgrave for the Packers. They don’t defend tight ends well, ranking 26th in DVOA against the position.
Since safety Justin Simmons returned to action in Week 5, the team has been particularly stout against WR1s, limiting Garrett Wilson to 54 yards and Stefon Diggs to 34 yards. If they continue this dominance against primary receivers, Dobbs will be forced to move the ball using weapons other than Jordan Addison.
Javonte Williams Under Rushing Yards
Although Javonte Williams has been on a tear the last three games with at least 79 rushing yards in each, he’s benefited from playing two subpar run defenses. The Packers and Chiefs grade out in the bottom ten in rush EPA, and in each game, the North Carolina product was able to eclipse 80 yards on the ground. The problem for Williams is that he has been inefficient with his 48 rushing attempts in the last two weeks (3.41 YPC). I expect those inefficiencies to continue against a Vikings defense, allowing 3.6 YPC to primary running backs in the previous four weeks.
Furthermore, over the last five weeks, the Vikings’ defense ranks third in rush EPA on first down. That doesn’t bode well for a predictable Sean Payton offense that has run the ball at the tenth-highest clip on first down over the last three games. If Payton remains adamant about running the ball on first down to set up the play action, it could be a long day for Russel Wilson and company.
|Offense Ranking OFF RNK||10th||23rd|
|Defense Ranking DEF RNK||13th||30th|
|Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG||350.7||300.5|
|Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG||320.3||388.2|
|Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG||258.6||185|
|Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG||2||1.3|
Sunday Night Football Odds Boosts
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SNF Same Game Parlay Promos
BetMGM Same Game Parlay Insurance
BetMGM‘s SGP offers are back for the NFL Week 11. Place Same Game parlays for Sunday’s games, and if your parlays lose by only one leg, you’ll receive bonus bets back. Check the promotions tab on BetMGM for full terms and conditions.
FanDuel SGP Promotions
FanDuel Sportsbook has a Same Game Parlay offer every weekend. All customers receive a 50% profit boost token on a 3+ Leg Same Game Parlay for Sunday’s 1 p.m. ET slate of games. You’ll also receive a 50% profit boost for the 4:05 p.m. and 4:25 p.m. ET games. Lastly, you’ll receive a 30% profit boost to use on a 3+ Leg “Anytime Touchdown Scorer” Parlay on games on Sunday, Nov. 19. Make sure you opt-in before placing these parlays.
DraftKings SGP Promotion
DraftKings Sportsbook has SGP profit boosts to use on any NFL game on Sunday. Log in to your account and opt-in to the NFL 50% boost promotion along the banner at the top. Place a 3+ leg NFL SGP for any game on 11/19, and you’ll receive a 50% profit boost. Head over to DraftKings Sportsbook to view this offer’s full terms and conditions.
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