Best Chiefs at Packers SNF Prop Bets, Same Game Parlay Promos: Can Rashee Rice Go Over 45 Yards?

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Written By Derek Wagner | Last Updated
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NFL Week 13 betting concludes with Sunday Night Football odds as the Chiefs visit the Packers. These SNF player props arrived mid-week, giving sports bettors plenty of time to sink their teeth into their favorite props before this matchup kicks off. Kansas City is a road favorite, with Green Bay on the moneyline to win the game. The Over/Under set at .

Below, I’ll explain who I’m targeting for SNF player props as Week 13 wraps up. Use our free Prop Finder Tool on TheLines.com to shop the best player prop numbers and best anytime touchdown odds at the best betting sites. Click on the odds below to bet now.

SNF PLAYER PROPS: CHIEFS AT PACKERS

Chiefs WR Rashee Rice over receiving yards

Kansas City finally started utilizing Rice as a true WR1 last week, and the results speak for themselves. The rookie receiver from SMU tallied eight receptions on ten targets for 107 yards and a score. The ten targets were surprisingly the first time he’d hit double digits in a game this season. Outside of Rice, the Chiefs receiver room is bare. Marques Valdes Scantling has bricks for hands, and Kadarius Toney missed last week’s game with an ankle injury. Even if he plays against Green Bay, Toney’s dropped passes are well-documented.

Additionally, the Packers have been torched by WR1s this season, ranking 23rd in DVOA against them thus far. Their defense has allowed WR1s to go over this number in two of their last three games, the other being the Pittsburgh game. Last week, they yielded 95 yards to Amon-Ra St. Brown, and the week before that, Keenan Allen torched them for 116 yards. If Rice continues this trajectory as a WR1, we should expect him to comfortably go over this number tonight.

Chiefs RB Isaiah Pacheco over rushing yards

For starters, Pacheco’s usage has been going up. Over the past three games, he’s tallied at least 15 carries. In 11 games this season, he’s totaled 50 or more rushing yards in eight. His matchup tonight is favorable, as he’s greeted tonight by a Green Bay defense that ranks 18th in run DVOA and 20th in rush EPA. Since Week 8, they rank 8th in rush EPA, but that number is slightly inflated. They faced an ineffective Vikings rushing attack and an injured Rams offense operating in a negative game script.

We also saw Pacheco have success on the ground in outdoor games last year. In games where Pacheco had double-digit carries in outdoor games last season, he notched 58, 66, 69, 70, and 82 rushing yards. If he hits 10 carries tonight, there’s little reason to believe he will go under this rushing yards prop.

Packers WR Christian Watson under 18.5 longest reception

Bettors and Christian Watson fantasy owners rejoiced last week with Watson’s breakout game of 94 yards and a touchdown, but I’m expecting the Chiefs to lock him up tonight. Quietly, Steve Spagnuolo’s defense ranks 8th in explosive rate, doing a fantastic job at limiting splash plays. In fact, they’ve kept WR1s under this number in two of their last three games, one of which was against Tyreek Hill. Part of their success in this department is derived from their blitz and pressure rate.

The Chiefs own the highest pressure rate in the league at 27.5%, a tick above the Lions’ 24.8% they faced last week. Spags is bringing a blitz on over 34% of snaps (6th highest), which aids their high-pressure rate. Love has been fantastic this season when he hasn’t been pressured, tied for the 15th-best passing grade (via PFF) when he’s had a clean pocket. While his passing grade ranks 13th in the league under pressure, he’s completing a mere 45% of passes when pressured. That’s the fifth lowest out of quarterbacks with a minimum of 100 dropbacks. I don’t see Spagnuolo giving Love enough time to find Watson on a deep ball tonight.

Best of luck betting on SNF player props!

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BetMGM Same Game Parlay Insurance

BetMGM‘s SGP offer returns for the NFL Week 13 slate. Place a Same Game Parlay for Sunday’s games, and if your parlays lose by only one leg, you’ll receive bonus bets back. Check the promotions tab on BetMGM for full terms and conditions.

FanDuel SGP Promotions

FanDuel Sportsbook has a Same Game Parlay offer every weekend. All customers receive a 50% profit boost token on a 3+ Leg Same Game Parlay for Sunday’s 1 p.m. ET slate of games. You’ll also receive a 50% profit boost for the 4:05 p.m. and 4:25 p.m. ET games. Lastly, you’ll receive a 30% profit boost to use on a 3+ Leg “Anytime Touchdown Scorer” Parlay on games on Sunday, Dec. 3. Make sure you opt-in before placing these parlays.

DraftKings SGP Promotion

DraftKings Sportsbook has SGP profit boosts to use on any NFL game on Sunday. Log in to your account and opt-in to the NFL 50% boost promotion along the banner at the top. Place a 3+ leg NFL SGP for any game on 12/3, and you’ll receive a 50% profit boost. Head over to DraftKings Sportsbook to view this offer’s full terms and conditions.

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