NFL SNF Player Props, Same Game Parlay Promos: Bills at Bengals

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Written By Derek Wagner on November 5, 2023
anytime touchdown odds

The NFL Week 9 slate for Sunday finishes with Sunday Night Football odds as the Bills visit the Bengals. These SNF player props rolled in on Thursday, giving bettors plenty of time to pick their favorite props before this AFC showdown. Cincinnati is a home favorite, with Buffalo on the moneyline to win the game. The Over/Under is .

This game features two defenses that have been burned this season, making me think some overs may be in play. Below, I’ll explain who I’m targeting for SNF player props as Week 9 wraps up. Use our free Prop Finder Tool on to quickly search for the best player prop numbers and best anytime touchdown odds at the best sports betting sites.


Bengals QB Joe Burrow Over Rushing Yards ()

A month ago, this number would’ve been unplayable, given his calf injury. Now, Burrow has had the bye week to recover and has looked as healthy as ever. His 43 rushing yards last week were the most he’s had in a game since Week 13 against Kansas City last year.

With pass rushers Von Miller and Leonard Floyd on the edges, Burrow may need to climb the pocket and take off a few times tonight. Buffalo has only given up 117 rushing yards to quarterbacks thus far, but they’ll likely have their hands full in coverage with Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr Chase. Remember that when these two teams squared off in the postseason in January, Burrow scampered for 31 yards while Chase and Higgins were limited to just under 90 combined receiving yards. 

Bills TE Dalton Kincaid Over Receiving Yards ()

While Dawson Knox has been sidelined due to injury, Kincaid has seen his target share shoot through the roof. In fact, his 15 targets the last two games have him as the eighth most targeted TE over that span behind stars like Travis Kelce, T.J. Hockenson, and George Kittle.

He also faces a Bengals team getting demolished by tight ends this season. Last week was particularly rough, as their defense allowed Kittle to reel in nine catches for 149 yards in their 31-17 victory. They’ve been so putrid against tight ends that they’ve allowed the sixth most receiving yards to the position, and that’s with the team having been on the bye already. The main culprits behind this weakness are the linebacking core of Logan Wilson and Germaine Pratt.

Out of linebackers with a minimum of 200 coverage snaps, Wilson and Pratt are in the bottom 13 regarding coverage grades (via PFF), with Pratt ranking dead last. From a DVOA perspective, the Bengals’ defense ranks 29th against tight ends. I fully expect Kincaid’s hot stretch to continue tonight against a weak group of linebackers opposite him. 

Bills logo Bills BUF
Bengals logo Bengals CIN
Offense Ranking OFF RNK 4th 27th
Defense Ranking DEF RNK 14th 31st
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG 383.3 291.7
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG 319.9 389.3
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG 260.9 215.9
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG 1.7 0.8


NFL Odds Boosts

Prescott Over 299.5 Pass Yards & Over 1.5 Pass TDs
Metcalf Over 59.5 Receiving Yards & TD

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BetMGM Same Game Parlay Insurance

BetMGM‘s SGP offer returns for the NFL Week 9 slate. Place an SGP for Sunday’s games, and if your parlays lose by only one leg, you’ll receive bonus bets back. Check the promotions tab on BetMGM for full terms and conditions.

FanDuel SGP Promotions

FanDuel Sportsbook has a Same Game Parlay offer every weekend. All customers receive a 50% profit boost token on a 3+ Leg Same Game Parlay for Sunday’s 1 p.m. ET slate of games. You’ll also receive a 50% profit boost for the 4:05 p.m. and 4:25 p.m. ET games. Lastly, you’ll receive a 30% profit boost to use on a 3+ Leg “Anytime Touchdown Scorer” Parlay on games on Sunday, Nov. 5. Make sure you opt-in before placing these parlays.

DraftKings SGP Promotion

DraftKings Sportsbook has SGP profit boosts to use on any NFL game on Sunday. Log in to your account and opt-in to the NFL 50% boost promotion along the banner at the top. Place a 3+ leg NFL SGP for any game on 11/5, and you’ll receive a 50% profit boost. Head over to DraftKings Sportsbook to view this offer’s full terms and conditions.


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