NFL SGP Picks: Uncorrelated Same Game Parlays For Buccaneers Vs. Falcons Thursday Night Football

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Written By Jeffrey Schreiber | Last Updated

NFL same game parlays and player props are available at sportsbooks within Thursday Night Football odds. TheLines.com staff is focused on delivering smarter NFL SGP picks and ideas. NFL Week 5 begins with an NFC South battle between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Atlanta Falcons. Sportsbook software has become increasingly sophisticated in adjusting odds for correlated outcomes in SGPs. Our strategy is to target what appear to be uncorrelated SGPs that may actually fit a player’s role. Yet, sportsbook SGP machines often spit out longshot prices better than the fair odds, in our opinion.

Below, we’ll highlight NFL TNF player props and a potential Bucs vs. Falcons smarter SGP strategy for those player prop picks.

Thursday Night Football SGP Odds Boosts

NFL SUPER BOWL LIX
Barkley Over 89.5 Rush Yards & Hurts Over 49.5 Rush Yards
+275
BET NOW
NFL CHIEFS VS. EAGLES
Brown Most Receiving Yards in Super Bowl LIX
+225
BET NOW
NFL SUPER BOWL LIX
Hurts Over 1.5 Pass TDs & Over 29.5 Rush Yards
+280
BET NOW
NFL SUPER BOWL LIX
Barkley Over 99.5 Rush Yards & Over 19.5 Receiving Yards
+225
BET NOW
NFL SUPER BOWL LIX
Brown & Smith Each Over 59.5 Receiving Yards
+275
BET NOW
NFL BACK TO BACK TO BACK
Mahomes Over 274.5 Pass Yards & Over 1.5 Pass TDs
+240
BET NOW
NFL STEELERS VS. RAVENS
Henry 80+ rushing yards & Pickens 45+ receiving yards
+120
+145
21% Boost
NFL AFC CHAMPIONSHIP
Mahomes & Allen Each Record 225+ Passing Yards
+140
+175
25% Boost
NFL RAMS VS. EAGLES
Barkley 100+ rushing yards & Nacua 75+ receiving yards
+160
+200
25% Boost
NFL NFL BOOST
Mahomes 240+ Passing Yards & Gibbs 75+ Rushing Yards
+140
+180
29% Boost
NFL VIKINGS VS. RAMS
Jefferson & Nacua Each Record 80+ Receiving Yards
+150
+185
23% Boost
NFL PACKERS VS. EAGLES
Barkley 90+ rushing yards & Jacobs 60+ rushing yards
+140
+175
25% Boost
NFL TNF BOOST
Nacua 80+ & Samuel 40+ Receiving Yards
+129
+160
24% Boost
NFL SNF BOOST
Darnold & Goff Each Record 275+ Passing Yards
+140
+175
25% Boost
NFL MNF BOOST
Kittle 60+ & LaPorta 35+ Receiving Yards
+150
+185
23% Boost
NFL SNF BOOST
Daniels 260+ & Penix 200+ Total Yards
+150
+185
23% Boost
NFL CARDINALS VS. RAMS
Nacua 75+ receiving yards & McBride 55+ receiving yards
+145
+180
24% Boost
NFL TNF BOOST
Metcalf & Allen Each Record 50+ Receiving Yards
+125
+160
28% Boost
NFL RAVENS VS. TEXANS
Stroud 225+ Passing Yards & Jackson 40+ Rushing Yards
+140
+175
25% Boost
NFL CHIEFS VS. STEELERS
Mahomes & Wilson Each Record 220+ Passing Yards
+135
+165
22% Boost

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TheLines recommends comparing odds boosts across the sports betting market to lock in the best available price.
Learn more about Odds Boosts here.

BetFinder Tool: THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PLAYER PROPS

To search Thursday Night Football player props, type in the player’s name below. For additional odds, click the “Show all bets” button. Click on the odds anywhere in the table to bet now.

2024 Strategy For NFL SGP Picks

When it comes to SGPs, we cannot emphasize enough how important it is to shop around. In our research for this season’s strategy, we sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps:

same game parlay

SGP machines tend to offer lower payouts than the fair odds on correlated same game parlays.

One example of an uncorrelated SGP that apps may have trouble pricing is running back with high red zone usage for potential touchdowns but low rushing volume, overall, for high-end yardage totals.

  • Join TheLines.com’s free sports betting Discord, with more than 4,000 community members and our staff sharing betting ideas every day. Go to the #roles server to get push notifications to the Discord app from TheLines.com staff when they lock in a bet.

Smarter NFL SGP PICKS: bucs AT falcons Thursday Night Football

I will be referencing FanDuel Sportsbook odds, but as mentioned above, it’s a very strong practice to shop for the best odds. If you only have one or two sportsbooks, now is the time to open more and lock in additional NFL promo codes.

Same Game Parlay Idea No. 1 at +493 Odds

  • Bucky Irving anytime TD
  • Bucky Irving UNDER 44.5 Rushing Yards

This rushing line for Irving seems to indicate that the Bucs’ rookie has taken over this backfield, as it is almost ten yards higher than fellow RB Richard White. Meanwhile, bettors should be wary of this, considering the actual numbers here. White logged 58% of Tampa Bay’s offensive snaps and still has the edge in this backfield. While Irving has been more of an efficient runner, the matchup for the Bucs’ running success here isn’t ideal. Atlanta has played the run well, allowing 4.0 yards per carry to running backs (9th).

Now, it makes sense to bet on Irving regarding a potential touchdown for a Bucs RB. Irving handled all four backfield touches inside the 10-yard line in Week 4, cashing one in for his first rushing score of the season. It is clear that Irving is the Bucs’ preferred RB down inside scoring position.

Same Game Parlays: Idea No. 2 at +1523 Parlay Odds

  • Chris Godwin Anytime Touchdown
  • Chris Godwin UNDER 64.5 Receiving Yards
  • Chris Godwin 6+ Receptions

Godwin has been a reception machine to begin the 2024 season. Godwin enters Week 5 ranked No. 7 among wideouts in targets and No. 3 in receptions (27). It is worth noting that Godwin is averaging only 6.1 air yards per target (WR91), showcasing that he has reception upside but is less likely to have a big yardage game. This role for Godwin has allowed him access to more opportunities in Bucs OC Liam Coen’s offense. Given these stats, it makes sense to bet on Godwin to have six or more receptions but to be wary of him going over his yardage total.

Godwin’s slot role gives him another matchup advantage this week. Atlanta has allowed 50% of the receptions to receivers to come via the slot, the sixth-highest rate in the league. All three touchdowns scored by wideouts against Atlanta have come from the slot. The Falcons are playing Cover 3 on 41.7% of passing snaps, which is sixth in the NFL. Godwin leads the team with 27.8% of the targets facing Cover 3.

It is worth noting that Godwin has had a stat line of six receptions, less than 65 receiving yards, and a TD in one of his four games played this season.

Thursday Night Football Injury Report

Player Pos Position Injury Status Snaps/g Snaps Per Game Comment
Atlanta Falcons
There Aren’t Any Injured Players for This Team Currently
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
There Aren’t Any Injured Players for This Team Currently

HOW TO FIND TNF Promos For Same Game Parlays

Most SGP promos will require you to opt-in to receive the SGP promo benefits. We are seeing some bonus bets back SGP offers for all users at FanDuel and profit boost offers at bet365DraftKings, and CaesarsBetMGM offers SGP insurance tokens for bonus bets back if one leg loses.

Bucs vs. Falcons odds

Photo by AP/Jason Behnken

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