NFL SGP Picks: Smarter Same Game Parlays For Patriots Vs. Jets Thursday Night Football

NFL same game parlays and player props are available at sportsbooks within the Thursday Night Football odds catalog. This week, TheLines.com staff is focused on delivering smarter ideas for NFL SGP picks for the Patriots vs. Jets game on Thursday Night Football in New York.

Sportsbook software has become increasingly sophisticated in adjusting odds for correlated outcomes in SGPs. Yet, sportsbook SGP machines often spit out longshot prices better than the fair odds for uncorrelated parlays that may still fit a player’s role. Remember to manage your bankroll. These are never meant to be full-unit bets, like bets on the spread or moneyline of games.

BETFINDER TOOL: THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PLAYER PROPS

To search Thursday Night Football player props, type in the player’s name below. For additional odds, click the “Show all bets” button. Click on the odds anywhere in the table to bet now.

2024 STRATEGY FOR NFL SGP Picks

When it comes to SGPs, we cannot emphasize enough how important it is to shop around. In our research for this season’s strategy, we sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps:

SGP machines tend to offer lower payouts than the fair odds on correlated same game parlays.

One example of an uncorrelated SGP that apps may have trouble pricing is running back with high red zone usage for potential touchdowns but low rushing volume, overall, for high-end yardage totals.

• Join TheLines.com’s free sports betting Discord, with more than 4,000 community members and our staff sharing betting ideas every day. Go to the #roles server to get push notifications to the Discord app from TheLines.com staff when they lock in a bet.

SMARTER SGP Picks: patriots AT jets THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

I will be referencing FanDuel Sportsbook odds, but as mentioned above, it’s a very strong practice to shop for the best odds. If you only have one or two sportsbooks, now is the time to open more and lock in additional NFL promo codes.

Same Game Parlay Idea No. 1 at +549 Parlay Odds

• Aaron Rodgers UNDER 211.5 Passing Yards
• Garrett Wilson 80+ Receiving Yards

Rodgers has thrown for 167 and 176 yards in the opening two weeks this season. The Jets have made a clear emphasis to make Rodgers a “game manager” and feed RB Breece Hall. Dating back to 2023, Breece Hall’s last five touch counts are 21, 21, 39, 21, and 32, good for a per-game average of 142.8 total yards and 1.2 TDs. 

Wilson collected 4 of 6 targets for 57 yards in Tennessee, giving him back-to-back weeks of 57+ yards to start 2024. After a 37.9% target share in Week 1, Wilson received 20.7% of the targets this past week. It is clear that Wilson is the No. 1 target for Rodgers.

Wilson gets a physical Patriots secondary with Jonathan Jones, Christian Gonzalez, and Marcus Jones, but the New England aggressiveness did lead to some big plays for the Seattle pass catchers. DK Metcalf pulled in 10 catches for 129 yards and a 56-yard touchdown on a blown coverage. Jaxon Smith-Njigba also grabbed 12 passes for 117 yards. They have allowed a 73.9% completion rate to QB’s (27th).

With Wilson being the only WR in the Jets passing corps with consistent usage, it makes sense to bet on Rodgers to go under his passing yards total while betting on Wilson to accumulate 80+ receiving yards.

Same Game Parlays: Idea No. 2 at +405 Parlay Odds

• Rhamondre Stevenson UNDER 65.5 Rushing Yards
• Rhamondre Stevenson Anytime TD

Stevenson banked Weeks 1-2 touch counts of 28 and 23 with a touchdown in each game. After handling 80% of the backfield touches in Week 1, Stevenson did dip to a 63.4% rate in Week 2, with Antonio Gibson healthier. He notably out-snapped Gibson 12 to 3 in the red zone.

After being torched for 147 yards and 5.2 yards per carry by Jordan Mason in the season opener, the Jets bounced back to allow 82 yards on 23 carries (3.6 YPC) to the Tennessee backfield last week. With Stevenson so likely to handle the bulk of New England’s red zone touches, it makes sense to bet on Stevenson to hit paydirt on TNF but be wary of his chances to exceed his rushing line.

Best of luck with your NFL SGP picks Thursday night.

HOW TO FIND TNF PROMOS FOR SAME GAME PARLAYS

Most SGP promos will require you to opt-in to receive the SGP promo benefits. We are seeing some bonus bets back SGP offers for all users at FanDuel and profit boost offers at bet365, DraftKings, and Caesars. BetMGM offers SGP insurance tokens for bonus bets back if one leg loses.

patriots VS. jets ODDS