NFL SGP Picks: Smarter Same Game Parlays For Chiefs Vs. Falcons Sunday Night Football

NFL same game parlays and player props are available at sportsbooks within the Sunday Night Football odds catalog. This week, our staff at TheLines.com is focusing on smarter ideas for NFL SGP picks for the Chiefs vs. Falcons game on Sunday Night Football in Atlanta.

Sportsbook software has become increasingly sophisticated in adjusting odds for correlated outcomes in SGPs. However, sportsbook SGP machines often spit out longshot prices better than fair odds for uncorrelated parlays that may still fit a player’s role. Remember to manage your bankroll.

BETFINDER TOOL: SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PLAYER PROPS

To search Sunday Night Football player props, type in the player’s name below, for additional odds, click the “Show all bets” button. Click on the odds anywhere in the table to bet now.

2024 strategy for nfl sgp picks

When it comes to SGPs, we cannot emphasize enough how important it is to shop around. In our research for this season’s strategy, we sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps:

SGP machines tend to offer lower payouts than the fair odds on correlated same game parlays.

One example of an uncorrelated SGP that apps may have trouble pricing is a running back with high redzone usage for potential touchdowns but low rushing volume, overall, for high-end yardage totals.

Injuries to Consider For Chiefs vS. FALCONS Same Game Parlays

smarter sgp picks: chiefs at falcons sunday night football

I will be referencing DraftKings Sportsbook for the first SGP pick and Caesars Sportsbook for the second, but as mentioned above, it’s best practice to shop for the best odds. If you only have one or two sportsbooks, now is the time to open more and lock in additional NFL promo codes.

Same Game Parlay Idea No. 1 at +750 Parlay Odds

• Rashee Rice over 95.5 receiving yards
• Patrick Mahomes under 263.5 passing yards.

Rice has blossomed into a true No. 1 receiver with 15 targets through two weeks, while the second on the team in targets is Isaiah Pacheco with eight. As for Travis Kelce, he appears slower than in years past, which makes sense, given he’s 34 years old. He also started slow last year, failing to tally 80 receiving yards until Week 4. Until he proves he can still be that kind of tight end, he should be avoided, and we should lean into Rice’s role as the No. 1 in this KC offense.

Although the Falcons’ secondary is loaded with talent with Justin Simmons and Jessie Bates on the back end, they’ve been burned by opposing No. 1 receivers. In Week 1, George Pickens tallied 85 receiving yards, and DeVonta Smith tallied 76 last week. Both quarterbacks in these games failed to reach 200 receiving yards. Part of the reason for that is teams have found success on the ground against Atlanta, with the Falcons defense surrendering 161.5 rushing yards per contest (6th most). Even without Pacheco (fractured fibula) on the field, I’m optimistic Carson Steele and Samaje Perine can find success on the ground and help push Mahomes under his passing yards prop.

If you were to put these prices into a normal parlay calculator, you’d get about $43.45 on a $10 bet. Because of the inverse correlation, the SGP software is offering almost double that. The software is not looking at matchup research.

Same Game Parlay Idea No. 2 at +800 Parlay Odds

• Tyler Allgeier anytime touchdown
• Bijan Robinson under 71.5 rushing yards

Redzone results speak volumes, and Robinson hasn’t been up to snuff through two weeks. The former first round pick has two carries for -4 yards. Allgeier on the other hand has four carries for 17 yards. Last week, he tallied four redzone snaps to Bijan’s one, so it makes sense to bet on Allgeier to hit paydirt given this redzone trend and how ineffective Bijan has been there.

Workhorse running backs haven’t fared well against KC through two weeks. Derrick Henry tallied 46 yards on 13 carries in Week 1 and Zack Moss only accumulated 34 yards on 12 carries last week. It’s possible that Robinson goes over this total, but Atlanta is only averaging 25 rush attempts (19th) per game through two weeks. Of course if the Chiefs have the lead late, the negative game script can aid this under as well.

Best of luck with your own NFL SGP picks for Sunday night!

Chiefs vs. Falcons Head-to-Head Rankings

CHIEFS VS. FALCONS ODDS

HOW TO FIND SNF PROMOS FOR SAME GAME PARLAYS

Most SGP promos will require you to opt-in to receive the SGP promo benefits. We are seeing some bonus bets back SGP offers for all users at FanDuel and profit boost offers at bet365, DraftKings, and Caesars. BetMGM offers SGP insurance tokens for bonus bets back if one leg loses.