NFL SGP Picks: Smarter Same Game Parlays For Bills Vs. Ravens Sunday Night Football
NFL same game parlays and player props are available at sportsbooks within Sunday Night Football odds. TheLines.com staff remains focused on delivering smarter same game parlay ideas. NFL Week 4 continues tonight with a battle between the Buffalo Bills and Baltimore Ravens. Sportsbook software has become increasingly sophisticated in adjusting odds for correlated outcomes in SGPs. Our strategy is to target what appear to be uncorrelated SGPs that may actually fit a player’s role. Yet, SGP machines often spit out longshot prices better than fair odds, in our opinion.
Below, we’ll highlight NFL SNF player props and a potential Bills vs. Ravens smarter SGP strategy for those player prop picks.
NFL Same Game Parlay Odds Boosts
TheLines recommends comparing odds boosts across the sports betting market to lock in the best available price.
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BETFINDER TOOL: SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PLAYER PROPS
To search Sunday Night Football player props, type in the player’s name below. For additional odds, click the “Show all bets” button. Click on the odds anywhere in the table to bet now.
2024 strategy for nfl same game parlays
When it comes to SGPs, we cannot emphasize enough how important it is to shop for the best price available. In our research for this season’s strategy, we sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps:
SGP machines tend to offer lower payouts than fair odds on correlated same game parlays.
One example of an uncorrelated SGP that apps may have trouble pricing is running back with high red zone usage for potential touchdowns but low rushing volume, overall, for high-end yardage totals.
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SMARTER NFL SGP PICKS: BILLS AT RAVENS SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
I will be referencing FanDuel Sportsbook odds, but as mentioned above, it’s a very strong practice to shop for the best odds. If you only have one or two sportsbooks, now is the time to open more and claim additional NFL promo codes.
Same Game Parlay Idea No. 1 at +4232
- Dalton Kincaid anytime TD
- Dalton Kincaid under 3.5 receptions
- Dalton Kincaid 40+ Receiving Yards
Not to pick on Ravens linebacker Roquan Smith, but whatever weight Lamar Jackson lost this offseason, he appears to have found. The Pro Bowl linebacker appears much slower than last year and has been endlessly picked on so far, allowing an eye-popping 162 receiving yards in coverage (second-most among linebackers). If that isn’t evidence enough, Baltimore’s defense has allowed 280 receiving yards to tight ends, second only to the Chiefs (335). New Ravens DC Zach Orr has a leak on his defense, with one of the most talented young TEs in the league coming to town. With this specific matchup against the Ravens, we should see an uptick in the receiving department from the Utah product.
Kincaid’s redzone usage shouldn’t be much of a concern for bettors. In Week 2 he saw zero redzone snaps, however, the game was out of hand at 31-10 when Tua exited with a concussion in the third quarter. This was abruptly corrected on Monday night when he notched a touchdown in the first quarter.
Keep in mind this exact parlay would’ve cashed had you bet it against the Jaguars. Dalton Kincaid season might arrive in full force tonight in Baltimore.
Same Game Parlays: Idea No. 2 at +289
- Derrick Henry under 68.5 rush yards
- Derrick Henry anytime touchdown
If we exclude Henry’s breakout performance against the Cowboys last week, the veteran running back is averaging a dusty 4.1 yards per carry. Unless a favorable matchup presents itself like the Dallas game, I’d recommend pouncing on Henry unders while there’s still meat on the bone.
Aiding this under is the fact Josh Allen, the MVP front runner, is on the other sideline. The Ravens defense looks like a shell of last year’s squad, allowing 5.7 YPP and 8.1 YPA through the air. Because of this lackluster defense, we may see the Bills throttle down and force the Ravens abandon the run altogether, unless it comes via Lamar’s legs.
It’s worth noting that the only team to hold a lead on Buffalo at halftime was Arizona in Week 1, but James Conner was incredibly inefficient with 16 carries for 50 yards and a touchdown. I’m willing to bank on Sean McDermott’s defense to limit King Henry in this one.
Sunday Night Football Team Injuries
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HOW TO FIND SAME GAME PARLAYS
Most SGP promos will require you to opt-in to receive the SGP promo benefits. We are seeing some bonus bets back SGP offers for all users at FanDuel and profit boost offers at bet365, DraftKings, and Caesars. BetMGM offers SGP insurance tokens for bonus bets back if one leg loses.
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