NFL SGP Picks: Smarter Same Game Parlays For Bills Vs. Dolphins Thursday Night Football
NFL same game parlays and player props are available at sportsbooks within the Thursday Night Football odds catalog. This week, TheLines.com staff is focused on delivering smarter ideas for NFL SGP picks for the Bills vs. Dolphins game on Thursday Night Football in Miami.
Sportsbook software has become increasingly sophisticated in adjusting odds for correlated outcomes in SGPs. Yet, sportsbook SGP machines often spit out longshot prices better than the fair odds for uncorrelated parlays that may still fit a player’s role. Remember to manage your bankroll. These are never meant to be full-unit bets, like bets on the spread or moneyline of games.
BETFINDER TOOL: THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PLAYER PROPS
To search Thursday Night Football player props, type in the player’s name below. For additional odds, click the “Show all bets” button. Click on the odds anywhere in the table to bet now.
2024 STRATEGY FOR NFL SGP Picks
When it comes to SGPs, we cannot emphasize enough how important it is to shop around. In our research for this season’s strategy, we sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps:
SGP machines tend to offer lower payouts than the fair odds on correlated same game parlays.
One example of an uncorrelated SGP that apps may have trouble pricing is running back with high red zone usage for potential touchdowns but low rushing volume, overall, for high-end yardage totals.
- Join TheLines.com’s free sports betting Discord, with more than 4,000 community members and our staff sharing betting ideas every day. Go to the #roles server to get push notifications to the Discord app from TheLines.com staff when they lock in a bet.
SMARTER SGP Picks: bills AT dolphins THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
I will be referencing FanDuel Sportsbook odds, but as mentioned above, it’s a very strong practice to shop for the best odds. If you only have one or two sportsbooks, now is the time to open more and lock in additional NFL promo codes.
Same Game Parlay Idea No. 1 at +821 Odds
- Tyreek Hill 100+ Receiving Yards
- Tyreek Hill UNDER 6.5 Receptions
Hill secured seven of 12 targets for 130 yards, including an 80-yard touchdown in Week 1. What is important to remember with Hill is his big play-making ability.
In 2023, he led the NFL in targets coming with pre-snap motion (137) and targets coming off play-action (56). Last season, wide receivers saw a roughly 15% increase in yards per route run with pre-snap motion on the play and a 31% increase with the use of play-action compared to a play without motion or play-action. On those plays and targets, Hill averaged 4.94 yards per route run, posting 627 receiving yards, which led all wide receivers by a far margin.
With Hill’s ability to take one reception the distance, it shouldn’t surprise anyone to see the “Cheetah” go under his reception line but over his receiving yards line.
Same Game Parlays: Idea No. 2 at +362 Parlay Odds
- Josh Allen Anytime TD Scorer
- Josh Allen UNDER 36.5 Rushing Yards
Although we have seen Allen scramble more under OC Joe Brady, this line seems to have baked that in. Allen has thrown for over 300 yards in five straight games against Miami. He also has another five rushing touchdowns in those outings.
It makes sense to expect Allen to have continued success through the air in this spot once again. With Buffalo coming into this game as an underdog, one can expect Allen to be slinging it around on TNF rather than rushing a lot. It is worth noting that Allen had seven games of a TD and less than 36 rushing yards last season.
Best of luck with your NFL SGP picks Thursday night.
HOW TO FIND TNF PROMOS FOR SAME GAME PARLAYS
Most SGP promos will require you to opt-in to receive the SGP promo benefits. We are seeing some bonus bets back SGP offers for all users at FanDuel and profit boost offers at bet365, DraftKings, and Caesars. BetMGM offers SGP insurance tokens for bonus bets back if one leg loses.
bills VS. dolphins ODDS
Latest NFL Betting News
RELATED ARTICLES
