NFL SGP Picks: Buy Low On Cardinals Offense Vs. Chargers For Week 7 MNF?

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Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated
nfl sgp picks

Various NFL same game parlays and player props are available within MNF odds. TheLines.com staff is focused on delivering smarter NFL SGP picks and ideas. NFL Week 7 continues with a Monday night clash between the Los Angeles Chargers and Arizona Cardinals, with rookie WR Marvin Harrison Jr. (concussion) possibly suiting up. Below, we’ll highlight NFL MNF player props and a potential Chargers at Cardinals smarter SGP strategy for those player prop picks.

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BETFINDER TOOL: Monday NIGHT FOOTBALL PLAYER PROPS

To search Monday Night Football player props, type in the player’s name below. For additional odds, click the “show all bets” button. Click on the odds anywhere in the table to bet now.

2024 strategy for nfl sgp picks

Regarding SGPs, we cannot emphasize enough the importance of shopping around. In our research for this season’s strategy, we sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps:

same game parlay

SGP machines offer lower payouts than fair odds on correlated same-game parlays.

One example of an uncorrelated SGP that sportsbooks may have trouble pricing is a running back with high red zone usage for potential touchdowns but low rushing volume overall for high-end yardage totals.

NFL SGP PICKS: chargers at cardinals Monday NIGHT FOOTBALL

I’ll reference odds at Caesars Sportsbook, but as mentioned above, shopping for the best odds is a recommended practice. If you only have one or two sportsbooks, now is the time to open more and lock in additional NFL promo codes.

Same Game Parlays: +850

  • Cardinals Alternate Spread (-2.5)
  • Justin Herbert Over 195.5 Passing Yards
  • Trey McBride Anytime Touchdown

On the surface, pairing Arizona’s alternate spread with Herbert to live through the air may not be the best idea. But for bettors who buy into the possibility that the Chargers could face a negative game script, he’ll be required to do just that.

It seems unlikely, but I expect the Cardinals’ offense to break out after delivering a bottom-10 EPA per play during the last four games. Jim Harbaugh’s defense tops the list for DVOA, but it has taken advantage of a soft schedule and a Patrick Mahomes-led passing attack that has yet to hit its stride.

Additionally, McBride gets a tasty matchup against a group that has surrendered the second-highest target share to opposing tight ends. He hasn’t scored this season, giving bettors a buy-low opportunity for their NFL SGP picks.

Monday NIGHT FOOTBALL INJURY REPORT

Player Pos Position Injury Status Snaps/g Snaps Per Game Comment
Arizona Cardinals
There Aren’t Any Injured Players for This Team Currently
Los Angeles Chargers
There Aren’t Any Injured Players for This Team Currently

HOW TO FIND MNF PROMOS FOR SAME GAME PARLAYS

Most SGP promos will require you to opt-in to receive these SGP promo benefits. We’re finding some SGP promotions provide partial bonus bets for all customers at FanDuel and profit boost offers at bet365, Caesars, and DraftKings Sportsbooks.

Elsewhere, BetMGM is gifting SGP insurance tokens for bonus bets back if one leg loses.

Sportsbook software has become increasingly sophisticated in adjusting odds for correlated outcomes in SGPs. Our strategy is to target what appear to be uncorrelated SGPs that may fit a player or team’s script. SGP machines often spit out longshot prices that are better than the fair odds. We recommend disciplined bankroll management with SGPs. These should usually be fractional unit wagers and looked at as fun, lottery-ticket-type bets.

Photo by Associated Press/Morry Gash

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