NFL SGP Picks: Smarter Same Game Parlays For Lions At Texans Sunday Night Football
Same-game parlays represent one of the most popular ways to bet NFL Week 10 odds. For island games during the 2024 NFL season, TheLines.com will offer some possible NFL SGP picks that bettors can consider. We’ll look for SGP angles with some negative correlation to uncover longshots with a better chance of cashing than the odds imply. The idea is that while sportsbook SGP machines adjust odds for correlated parlays, the inverse is true for uncorrelated.
Here, we’ll look at SGP options for the Lions and the Texans for SNF odds.
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To search SNF player props for the Lions and Texans, type in the player’s name below. For additional odds, click the “Show all bets” button. Click on the odds anywhere in the table to bet now.
Potential NFL SGP Picks For Lions At Texans
Goff On Record Pace For Completion Rate
The record for NFL completion percentage in a single season is 74.4%, set by Drew Brees in 2018 when the Saints fell to the Rams in the playoffs following the infamous missed pass interference call.
Well, Jared Goff is on pace to break that mark. His incredible start to 2024 has seen him complete an astounding 74.9% of his passes. Four times this season already, he has started games 10-for-10 or better.
Offensive coordinator Ben Johnson is in his bag, the offensive line is dominating opposing pass rushes, and the Lions have too many weapons for defenses to cover.
It’s all adding up to the masterful efficiency we’re seeing, and Goff gets to move indoors this week after shining despite poor weather in Green Bay last week. That puts him back in his comfort zone.
Volume Is Not Always High
At the same time, volume has been hit or miss with this Lions’ passing offense. That’s partially due to the team’s tremendous ground game and frequent playing from ahead. Those game states limit the number of throws even attempted by Goff.
A market number of 29.5 attempts looks pretty typical, but it hasn’t matched Goff’s output this year. He’s averaging 26.4 attempts per game with a median of 24 (there’s an outlier 55-attempt game in a rare comeback attempt versus Tampa Bay).
Just because Goff is cooking doesn’t mean he’s serving hearty meals. Many of his games are more like dining courses — delicious but limited in quantity.
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Predictions For NFL SGP Picks
Can Jared Goff enjoy another high-efficiency, low-volume day? Considering his season, it’s difficult to say he can’t. The Texans present a pretty stern test with their defense, but there’s a lot of room between Goff’s typical 2024 game and the attempts ceiling the market has set.
As long as Ben Johnson remains ahead of defensive coaches, Goff should continue to shine.
Regarding SGPs, we cannot emphasize enough the importance of shopping around. Our research for this season’s strategy sometimes found the same SGP at double the price among the best sports betting sites. The following NFL SGP picks pay out best at Caesars Sportsbook (+360).
- J. Goff Over 21.5 completions (+110)
- J. Goff Under 29.5 pass attempts (-109)
If you put these prices into a normal parlay calculator, you’d get a $30.27 payout on a $10 bet. Because of the inverse correlation, the SGP software is offering a 20% bonus for that amount. The software does not look at matchup research.
Good luck with your NFL SGP picks for Texans vs. Lions.
Texans Vs. Lions Odds
While this article focuses on same-game parlay picks and odds for Lions at Texans, find the best odds below for the main markets, like spread and totals. And be sure to lock in the best sportsbook promos before you make any wagers on NFL Week 10 odds.
Sunday Night Football Injury Report
| Player | Pos Position | Injury | Status | Snaps/g Snaps Per Game | Comment | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Houston Texans | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Lions at Texans Matchup
| STATS |
Lions
DET
|
Texans
HOU
|
|---|---|---|
| Offense Ranking OFF RNK | 2nd | 18th |
| Defense Ranking DEF RNK | 10th | 5th |
| Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG | 394.8 | 335.2 |
| Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG | 318.6 | 308.5 |
| Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG | 243.8 | 221.2 |
| Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG | 0.9 | 1.1 |
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