NFL SGP Picks: Smarter Same Game Parlays For Falcons At Raiders MNF
Same-game parlays represent one of the most popular ways to bet NFL Week 15 odds. For island games during the 2024 NFL season, TheLines.com will offer some possible NFL SGP picks that bettors can consider. We’ll look for SGP angles with some negative correlation to uncover longshots with a better chance of cashing than the odds imply. The idea is that while sportsbook SGP machines adjust odds for correlated parlays, the inverse is true for uncorrelated.
Here, we’ll examine SGP options for the Falcons and Raiders for MNF odds. You can also explore promo codes from the best sports betting sites.
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To search MNF player props for the Falcons and Raiders, type in the player’s name below. For additional odds, click the “Show all bets” button. Click on the odds anywhere in the table to bet now.
Potential NFL SGP Picks For Falcons At Raiders
Cousins Serving Up Hot Turnovers
To say it’s been a tough stretch of games for Kirk Cousins is putting it mildly.
In the four games since the Falcons beat the Cowboys, Cousins has thrown eight interceptions. He also has four fumbles over that time frame. The Falcons have lost all four games while scoring an average of 14 PPG. Not great, Bob.
On some level, one can expect positive regression in this sense. Cousins’ career INT% is a perfectly reasonable 2.2. The number looks even better since he became a full-time starter.
However, it’s reasonable to conclude that throwing interceptions is something of a true “talent” for Cousins at this point. His declining velocity and inability to move after tearing his Achilles make many of his throws high-risk. Cousins still has the accuracy, and he still has the veteran feel, but his arm simply won’t let him make some of the throws he’s trying to get through.
Can Falcons Get Off Mat?
The only remotely positive thing one can say about the aforementioned losing skid for Atlanta is the competition has been fairly stiff. Aside from the Saints, the other three teams to beat them (Denver, L.A. Chargers, Minnesota) are all very likely heading to the playoffs. Two of those games were on the road.
Facing the Raiders, though it’s again on the road, could be the perfect bounce-back opportunity.
Not only are the Raiders atrocious in general, but they’re also looking likely to have third-string quarterback Desmond Ridder take the snaps. Ridder won’t be a massive downgrade from Aidan O’Connell, but he should be a downgrade nonetheless.
Atlanta needs to rebound here and take advantage of this soft schedule to try to catch Tampa Bay.
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Predictions For NFL SGP Picks
The floor for the Raiders with Ridder at QB is very low. Not only is he very bad at football, but he probably can’t even execute the full depth of the playbook. He’s only been on the team since late October and was signed from another team’s practice squad.
Bettors can take advantage of the left-tail outcomes by laying the points with Atlanta.
Even in a lot of those wins and covers, the chances of Cousins playing a clean game seem relatively low. The Raiders can put enough pressure on the QB (as long as Maxx Crosby plays), that it’s reasonable to expect at least one misstep. Certainly, the market does, making the yes interception prop a favorite.
Adventurous bettors can parlay Cousins to throw a pick with alternate lines to get an even better price.
Regarding SGPs, we cannot emphasize enough the importance of shopping around. Our research for this season’s strategy sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps.
These NFL SGP picks pay out best at DraftKings Sportsbook (+325).
- K. Cousins Over 0.5 INTs (-115)
- Falcons -4 (-108)
If you put these prices into a normal parlay calculator, you’d get a $26 payout on a $10 bet. Because of the inverse correlation, the SGP software offers almost 1.5x that amount. The software does not look at matchup research.
Good luck with your NFL SGP picks for the Raiders vs. Falcons.
Raiders Vs. Falcons Odds
While this article focuses on same-game parlay picks and odds for Falcons at Raiders, find the best odds below for the main markets, like spread and total. And be sure to lock in the best NFL promo codes before you make any wagers on NFL Week 15 odds.
Monday Night Football Injury Report
| Player | Pos Position | Injury | Status | Snaps/g Snaps Per Game | Comment | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Atlanta Falcons | ||||||||||
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Las Vegas Raiders | ||||||||||
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Raiders at Falcons Matchup
| STATS |
Falcons
ATL
|
Raiders
LV
|
|---|---|---|
| Offense Ranking OFF RNK | 6th | 27th |
| Defense Ranking DEF RNK | 23rd | 15th |
| Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG | 369.8 | 303.2 |
| Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG | 345.2 | 333.1 |
| Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG | 239.3 | 223.4 |
| Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG | 1.4 | 1.7 |
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