NFL SGP Picks: Smarter Same Game Parlays For Patriots Vs. Jaguars In London
Same game parlays represent one of the most popular ways to bet NFL Week 7 odds. For island games during the 2024 NFL season, TheLines.com will offer up some possible NFL SGP picks that bettors can consider. We’ll be looking for SGP angles that have some kind of negative correlation included in hopes of uncovering longshots that have a better chance of cashing than the odds imply. The idea here is while sportsbook SGP machines adjust odds down for correlated parlays, the inverse is true for uncorrelated.
Here, we’ll take a look at SGP options for the Patriots vs. Jaguars in London on Sunday morning (U.S. time).
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Potential NFL SGP Picks For Patriots vs. Jaguars
The Ultimate Ambush Spot
The Jaguars may be bumbling through their worst season since tanking for Trevor, but they might find a reprieve this week with the best situational spot in football. While opponent New England must travel across the pond to Old England, the Jags get to hang around and stew over last week’s hideous loss to the Bears. They’ll be acclimated to the environs and the massive time shift, while the Pats must deal with jet lag and the like.
Last season, we saw a similar situation for the first time ever. The Jags got NFL history’s first London back-to-back and entered the second game as sizable underdogs to the rolling Bills. They ambushed them in the first quarter with an 11-0 lead and held on to win, 25-20.
Buffalo looked predictably lethargic in the first quarter. If the Patriots have a similar response to the travel, they will also fall behind early.
Can Patriots Be A Negative Script Team Now?
At long last, the Patriots have dispensed with the charade and given Drake Maye the nod as the starting QB. That has created a situation where the team’s profile has changed a bit, even if Maye might not bring an appreciably higher level of play than Brissett at the moment.
Brissett operates as an extremely careful game manager. He won’t give you many big plays, but he also won’t turn the ball over. He has a career INT% of 1.4, matching the number of all-time possession conservationist Aaron Rodgers.
That meant it was going to be hard for the Patriots to fall too far behind in a lot of cases, but if they did fall behind, they were in huge trouble. The Jets and 49ers opened big leads on them, and at no point did it look like the Pats had a prayer of making it a game.
Maye demonstrated an ability to complete the ball down the field against Houston. He hit multiple big plays, adding a completely different dimension to the offense.
Now, they still got smoked 41-21. However, those 21 points were 10 shy of the total from the previous three weeks combined. And this Jacksonville team does not bring nearly the same level of play as Houston, which is ranked near the top of our NFL power rankings.
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Predictions For NFL SGP Picks
If the Patriots come out sleepy like the Bills did last year, they’ll likely fall behind early against the Jags. However, just as the Bills fought back and made it a game down the stretch, so too could the Patriots with their newfound downfield passing. Enough holes exist in this Jags secondary, which has the team dead last in defense DVOA, for Maye to pass the Patriots back in it even if they’re down at half.
When it comes to SGPs, we cannot emphasize enough how important it is to shop around. In our research for this season’s strategy, we sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps. The following NFL SGP picks pay out best at DraftKings Sportsbook (+575).
- Jaguars -3.5 first half
- Patriots +5.5 full game
If you were to put these prices into a normal parlay calculator, you’d get a $27.27 payout on a $10 bet. Because of the inverse correlation, the SGP software is offering more than twice that amount. The software does not look at matchup research.
Good luck with your NFL SGP picks for the Patriots vs. the Jaguars.
Patriots Vs. Jaguars Odds
While this article focuses on same game parlay picks and odds for Patriots vs. Jaguars, find the best odds below for the main markets, such as the spread and over/under. And be sure to lock in the best NFL promo codes before you make any wagers on NFL Week 7 odds.
Patriots vs. Jaguars Injury Report
| Player | Pos Position | Injury | Status | Snaps/g Snaps Per Game | Comment | ||||||
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New England Patriots | ||||||||||
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Patriots vs. Jaguars Matchup
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