NFL SGP Picks: Smarter Same Game Parlays For Saints At Packers MNF
Same-game parlays represent one of the most popular ways to bet NFL Week 16 odds. For island games during the 2024 NFL season, TheLines.com will offer some possible NFL SGP picks that bettors can consider. We’ll look for SGP angles with some negative correlation to uncover longshots with a better chance of cashing than the odds imply. The idea is that while sportsbook SGP machines adjust odds for correlated parlays, the inverse is true for uncorrelated.
Here, we’ll examine SGP options for the Saints and Packers for MNF odds. You can also explore promo codes from the best sports betting sites.
BetFinder Tool: Find Odds For NFL SGP Picks
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Potential NFL SGP Picks For Saints At Packers
Jacobs Running Wild
In the past six games, Josh Jacobs has really pressed down the gas. He has 11 touchdowns in that time frame while averaging almost 87 YPG.
For the season, Jacobs’ 13 touchdowns represent almost a third of the team’s total.
The former Raider finds himself in a dream matchup this week. New Orleans comes to town and brings a defense that’s in the bottom four in rush defense EPA/play, DVOA, and Success Rate. They’re also 31st in Adjusted Line Yards.
Green Bay’s offensive line looked dominant against Seattle, and it’s easy to imagine them looking so again here.
What’s Left Of New Orleans’ Offense?
New Orleans lost Taysom Hill for the year, and Alvin Kamara is all but ruled out of this meaningless game. Top receivers Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed haven’t suited up in months, though the former looks like he has a chance to return.
There just isn’t much left here for the Saints offense, especially with Spencer Rattler likely taking the snaps. Green Bay’s defense isn’t anything amazing, but it should be up to the task of bottling up this group outdoors in the cold.
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Predictions For NFL SGP Picks
Even if Jacobs has another big day, there are still paths to this game staying under. Green Bay seems content to get to around 30 points in most of their big wins, at which point they switch into clock-churning mode. Playing outdoors against a poor defense will only encourage them to lean more into that strategy.
Scores like 31-10 and 27-13 would keep this under the total. Given what New Orleans is running out there on offense and the fact their defense might have trouble getting off the field against even a vanilla Packers offense, it’s not hard to picture the game ending in a similar fashion to Eagles/Steelers. That one saw only a handful of total possessions in the second half.
Regarding SGPs, we cannot emphasize enough the importance of shopping around. Our research for this season’s strategy sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps.
These NFL SGP picks pay out best at DraftKings Sportsbook (+700).
- J. Jacobs 2+ TDs (+215)
- Under 42.5 total points (-110)
If you put these prices into a normal parlay calculator, you’d get a $50.13 payout on a $10 bet. Because of the inverse correlation, the SGP software offers almost 1.5x that amount. The software does not look at matchup research.
Good luck with your NFL SGP picks for the Packers vs. Saints.
Packers Vs. Saints Odds
While this article focuses on same-game parlay picks and odds for Saints at Packers, find the best odds below for the main markets, like spread and total. And be sure to lock in the best NFL promo codes before you make any wagers on NFL Week 16 odds.
Monday Night Football Injury Report
| Player | Pos Position | Injury | Status | Snaps/g Snaps Per Game | Comment | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Green Bay Packers | ||||||||||
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New Orleans Saints | ||||||||||
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Saints at Packers Matchup
| STATS |
Saints
NO
|
Packers
GB
|
|---|---|---|
| Offense Ranking OFF RNK | 21st | 7th |
| Defense Ranking DEF RNK | 30th | 4th |
| Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG | 320.1 | 370.5 |
| Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG | 379.9 | 314.5 |
| Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG | 205.2 | 223.6 |
| Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG | 1.1 | 1.1 |
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