NFL SGP Picks: Smarter Same Game Parlays For Seahawks At Lions Monday Night Football

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Written By Mo Nuwwarah | Last Updated
nfl sgp picks

Same game parlays represent one of the most popular ways to bet NFL Week 4 odds. For island games during the 2024 NFL season, TheLines.com will offer up some possible NFL SGP picks that bettors can consider. We’ll be looking for SGP angles that have some kind of negative correlation included in hopes of uncovering longshots that have a better chance of cashing than the odds imply. The idea here is while sportsbook SGP machines adjust odds down for correlated parlays, the inverse is true for uncorrelated.

Here, we’ll take a look at SGP options for the Seahawks at Lions in Monday Night Football odds.

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BetFinder Tool: Find Odds For NFL SGP Picks

To search MNF player props for the Seahawks and Lions, type in the player’s name below. For additional odds, click the “Show all bets” button. Click on the odds anywhere in the table to bet now.

Potential NFL SGP Picks For Seahawks At Lions

Goff’s Interception Struggles

Interceptions were a big issue with Jared Goff during his team with the Rams. He fired at least 12 picks in each of his last three seasons there, which may have played a big role in his ultimate dismissal via trade.

Whether it be the work of offensive coordinator Ben Johnson, playing behind a superior offensive line, Goff’s own improvement, or (more likely) some combination thereof, Goff has significantly cleaned that up since landing in Motown. There, he’s thrown a total of 27 interceptions across 48 starts from 2021-23.

Unfortunately, that weakness has cropped back up in the early going of 2024. Goff has four interceptions against just three touchdowns.

Ripping accurate throws has never been the issue with Goff. Rather, he sometimes struggles to read defenses, and few, if any, coordinators do better work disguising their looks than Seahawks coach Mike Macdonald. He’s known for his simulated pressures and confusing looks.

Facing Mike Macdonald’s devious schemes, Goff may find himself in danger of more errors.

Seattle’s Soft Schedule

The Seahawks are off to a fantastic 3-0 start, one of just five teams that can say that. However, of those five teams, they have almost certainly faced the easiest schedule. It would be difficult to find an easier path than Broncos, Patriots, and the Skylar Thompson-led Dolphins. Those teams landed 26th, 32nd, and 29th in TheLines’ NFL power rankings this week.

Thus, we may be looking at a mirage here. The Seahawks certainly have the ingredients to be a solid team. In fact, many, including myself, touted them as a sleeper heading into this season.

However, it’s difficult to fully buy in given the cupcake path they have enjoyed to this point.

Furthermore, the Seahawks are dealing with a litany of injuries on the defensive side. Four key defensive pieces may be out: EDGE Uchenna Nwosu, LB Jerome Baker, and DLs Leonard Williams and Byron Murphy II.

Facing a powerful Lions offense, if the backups can’t get up to speed quickly, we could see the Lions run away with this one.

Predictions For NFL SGP Picks

I feel like it’s more likely than not Goff will give the ball away here, but the market is pricing it the other way, so I see some value there.

However, the Seahawks also look like a potential paper tiger that could be due for a big fall back to earth. Even if they garner a turnover from Goff, I’m concerned these teams might be on different levels. The Lions may reassert themselves, reminding everyone why they were considered a Super Bowl contender. They have big edges on both lines of scrimmage, and they are the sort of team that can cover a big spread if things are going well because of their offense.

I don’t think it’s out of the realm of possibility that they could cover some alternate spreads while going minus in the turnover department.

When it comes to SGPs, we cannot emphasize enough how important it is to shop around. In our research for this season’s strategy, we sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps. The following NFL SGP picks pay out best at DraftKings Sportsbook (+600).

  • Jared Goff Over 0.5 Interceptions (+105)
  • Lions -7 (+165)

If you were to put these prices into a normal parlay calculator, you’d get a $44.33 payout on a $10 bet. Because of the inverse correlation, the SGP software is offering about 1.5x that amount. The software is not looking at matchup research.

Good luck with your NFL SGP picks for Lions vs. Seahawks.

Lions Vs. Seahawks Odds

While this article focuses on same game parlay picks and odds for Seahawks at Lions, find the best odds below for the main markets like spread and over/under. And be sure to lock in the best NFL promo codes before you make any wagers on NFL Week 4 odds.

Monday Night Football Injury Report

Player Pos Position Injury Status Snaps/g Snaps Per Game Comment
Detroit Lions
Antoine Green WR Concussion Out 22 Green is dealing with a concussion and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Brian Branch DB Illness Questionable 67.7 Week 6
Brodric Martin DL Knee Out 30.7 Martin is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Christian Mahogany G Illness Out 0 Mahogany is dealing with an undisclosed illness and has been placed on the non-football illness list. He will miss at least four games.
Connor Galvin OT Knee Out 52 Galvin is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Derrick Barnes LB Knee Out 49 Barnes is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Emmanuel Moseley CB Pectoral Out 0 Moseley is dealing with a torn pectoral and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Frank Ragnow C Pectoral Questionable 71.3 Week 6
Ifeatu Melifonwu S Ankle Out 0 Melifonwu has been placed on the injured reserve list and will miss at least four games.
John Cominsky DL Knee Out 0 Cominsky is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Marcus Davenport DL Elbow Out 49.5 Davenport suffered an elbow injury has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the remainder of the 2024-25 season.
Michael Badgley K Hamstring Out 0 Badgley suffered a torn hamstring and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Nate Lynn DL Shoulder Out 23 Lynn is dealing with a shoulder injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Netane Muti G Shoulder Out 0 Muti is dealing with a shoulder injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Tre’Quan Smith WR Undisclosed Out 11.5 Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Seattle Seahawks
Abraham Lucas OT Knee Out 0 Lucas is recovering from knee surgery and has been placed on the physically unable to perform list. He will miss at least four games.
Boye Mafe LB Knee Questionable 50.3 Mafe was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Brady Russell TE Shoulder Probable 26.3 Russell was a full participant in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Byron Murphy II DT Hamstring Questionable 33 Murphy II did not practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Cameron Young NT Undisclosed Questionable 0 The Seahawks have opened the 21-day practice window for Young as they await his return from the physically unable to perform list.
DK Metcalf WR Hand Questionable 61.5 Metcalf was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
George Fant OT Knee Out 13 Fant is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
George Holani RB Ankle Out 6 Holani, a practice squad player, is dealing with an ankle injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list.
Jerome Baker LB Hamstring Questionable 47.5 Baker was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Jerrick Reed II S Undisclosed Out 0 Reed II is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the physically unable to perform list. He will miss at least four games.
Johnathan Hankins DT Personal Questionable 32.3 Hankins did not practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Joshua Onujiogu LB Undisclosed Out 0 Onujiogu is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Julian Love FS Thigh Probable 58.5 Love was a full participant in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Kenneth Walker III RB Oblique Questionable 48.5 Walker III was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Leonard Williams DE Ribs Questionable 37 Williams was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Marcus Simms WR Undisclosed Out 0 Simms is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Noah Fant TE Toe Questionable 46.5 Fant was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Pharaoh Brown TE Foot/Knee Questionable 36 Brown was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Tyler Lockett WR Thigh Questionable 48.3 Lockett was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Tyrel Dodson LB Ankle/Shoulder Questionable 65.5 Dodson was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Tyrice Knight LB Knee Questionable 35.3 Knight did not practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.
Uchenna Nwosu LB Knee Questionable 0 Nwosu was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 5 versus the Giants.

Seahawks at Lions Matchup

STATS
Seahawks logo Seahawks SEA
Lions logo Lions DET
Offense Ranking OFF RNK 5th 4th
Defense Ranking DEF RNK 8th 21st
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG 387 397
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG 283.8 349
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG 280.8 245.8
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG 1.5 1
Photo by AP/Rick Scuteri

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