NFL SGP Picks: Smarter Same Game Parlays For Jets Vs. Vikings In London
Same game parlays represent one of the most popular ways to bet NFL Week 5 odds. For island games during the 2024 NFL season, TheLines.com will offer up some possible NFL SGP picks that bettors can consider. We’ll be looking for SGP angles that have some kind of negative correlation included in hopes of uncovering longshots that have a better chance of cashing than the odds imply. The idea here is while sportsbook SGP machines adjust odds down for correlated parlays, the inverse is true for uncorrelated.
Here, we’ll take a look at SGP options for the Jets vs. Vikings in London on Sunday morning (U.S. time).
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Potential NFL SGP Picks For Jets vs. Vikings
Rodgers Playing It Safe
Aaron Rodgers has long been known for his stellar turnover avoidance, and the early portion of 2024 has been no different.
Rodgers has just one interception thus far, and he has repeatedly targeted backs and tight ends in the short areas of the field. His average depth of target (6.6) is among the league’s lowest, ranking 24th.
Meanwhile, he has failed to build a rapport with WR Garrett Wilson. Wilson has just 20 catches on the season and has not dominated the targets in the manner that many expected. As the lone explosive option out wide, that has limited the Jets’ chances for bigger plays.
Unsurprisingly, given all this, Rodgers’ yards per completion is the lowest of his entire career.
Flores’ frequent blitzing — the Vikings rank second in blitz rate — should only encourage more shorter passes from Rodgers.
Will Offenses Struggle?
The total in this game is quite low, reflecting a fairly high likelihood of a defensive battle.
Minnesota’s defense is among the league’s best. DVOA has them No. 1 by a mile, with almost double the quality of the second-place Saints. Brian Flores is unsurprisingly taking the league by storm yet again now that he has some better players for his scheme.
The Jets haven’t been quite as strong as expected on that end, but there have still been impressive flashes. And this group was widely projected as the top one in the league entering the season, or at least in the top five. Aside from getting pasted by the 49ers, they’ve been solid.
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Predictions For NFL SGP Picks
Flores’ schemes have put QBs consistently on the back foot so far this season. But if there’s anyone who can solve this thorny puzzle, it should be a seasoned vet like Rodgers. He’s seen just about all there is to see, and he may be able to sniff out some of Flores’ blitzes before the snap and get the ball out quickly.
That should result in plenty of completions, but to what end? Peppering Tyler Conklin and Allen Lazard with targets is a nice way to rack up some completions, but won’t necessarily result in a ton of yards. If this game turns into a cagey defensive battle with slower drives, Rodgers may go over his completions total without clearing his yardage.
When it comes to SGPs, we cannot emphasize enough how important it is to shop around. In our research for this season’s strategy, we sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps. The following NFL SGP picks pay out best at Caesars Sportsbook (+580).
- A. Rodgers Under 225.5 passing yards (-113)
- A. Rodgers Over 21.5 completions (-113)
If you were to put these prices into a normal parlay calculator, you’d get a $25.53 payout on a $10 bet. Because of the inverse correlation, the SGP software is offering more than twice that amount. The software is not looking at matchup research.
Good luck with your NFL SGP picks for Jets vs. Vikings.
Jets Vs. Vikings Odds
While this article focuses on same game parlay picks and odds for Jets vs. Vikings, find the best odds below for the main markets, such as the spread and over/under. And be sure to lock in the best NFL promo codes before you make any wagers on NFL Week 5 odds.
Jets vs. Vikings Injury Report
| Player | Pos Position | Injury | Status | Snaps/g Snaps Per Game | Comment | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Minnesota Vikings | ||||||||||
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New York Jets | ||||||||||
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Jets vs. Vikings Matchup
| STATS |
Jets
NYJ
|
Vikings
MIN
|
|---|---|---|
| Offense Ranking OFF RNK | 24th | 12th |
| Defense Ranking DEF RNK | 5th | 16th |
| Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG | 310.3 | 346.9 |
| Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG | 313.8 | 335.4 |
| Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG | 218.5 | 237.8 |
| Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG | 1.1 | 1.2 |
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