NFL SGP Picks: Building Smarter Same Game Parlays For Eagles Vs. Packers In Brazil
Same game parlays represent one of the most popular ways to bet NFL odds these days. For island games during the 2024 NFL season, TheLines.com will offer up some possible NFL SGP picks that bettors can consider. We’ll be looking for SGP angles that have some kind of negative correlation included in hopes of uncovering longshots that have a better chance of cashing than the odds imply. The idea here is while sportsbook SGP machines adjust odds down for correlated parlays, the inverse is true for uncorrelated.
Here, we’ll take a look at SGP options for Eagles vs. Packers on Friday night. This game takes place in Sao Paolo, Brazil, and matches two playoff teams from 2023.
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Potential NFL SGP Picks For Eagles Vs. Packers
Eagles Rushing Offense
Philadelphia looks like it should have an extremely imposing rushing attack this season. The Eagles have added Saquon Barkley to the mix. A top-tier RB like Barkley gives the Eagles a boost. They have featured more middling backs, like Miles Sanders and D’Andre Swift, in recent seasons.
Up front, they added Mekhi Becton. That should increase the power of this group, assuming he takes to his new job at guard.
Packers Rushing Defense
This could be bad news for a Green Bay defense that finished bottom 10 in both rush defense DVOA and EPA/play. New coordinator Jeff Hafley is surely aware of this weakness. But, the scheme can only do so much. The Packers brought back the linebackers and interior linemen who struggled to stop the run. They seem likely to do so again.
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Predictions For NFL SGP Picks
I could see a scenario where both Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley exceed their rushing totals here. Barkley especially has a pretty modest number, as low as Over 64.5 (-115) on BetMGM.
However, even if that happens, the Eagles winning won’t be guaranteed. They have some question marks of their own on defense, working in multiple young pieces in the secondary while adjusting to a new scheme from Vic Fangio. Fangio’s scheme often takes some time, even for veterans to grasp.
Plus, the Packers have a solid pass rush and coverage elites like Jaire Alexander and Xavier McKinney to help limit Philly’s passing game.
If the Eagles struggle in other phases of the game, perhaps Hurts and Barkley can exceed their rushing totals, but Green Bay pulls out the win. They’re a moneyline underdog at Green Bay Packers +1100 on BetMGM.
When it comes to SGPs, we cannot emphasize enough how important it is to shop around. In our research for this season’s strategy, we sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps. The following NFL SGP picks pay out best at DraftKings Sportsbook (+1200).
- Packers moneyline (+110)
- Jalen Hurts Over 37.5 rushing yards (-110)
- Saquon Barkley Over 63.5 rushing yards (-115)
If you were to put these prices into a normal parlay calculator, you’d get about a $65 payout on a $10 bet. Because of the inverse correlation, the SGP software is offering about double that. The software is not looking at matchup research.
Good luck with your NFL SGP picks for Eagles vs. Packers.
Eagles Vs. Packers Odds
While this article focuses on same game parlay picks and odds for Eagles vs. Packers, find the best odds below for the main markets like spread and over/under. And be sure to lock in the best NFL Week 1 promo codes before you make any wagers on NFL Week 1 odds.
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