NFL SGP Picks: Smarter Same Game Parlays For Raiders At Chiefs Black Friday

Written By Mo Nuwwarah | Last Updated November 28, 2024

Same-game parlays represent one of the most popular ways to bet NFL Week 13 odds. For island games during the 2024 NFL season, TheLines.com will offer some possible NFL SGP picks that bettors can consider. We’ll look for SGP angles with some negative correlation to uncover longshots with a better chance of cashing than the odds imply. The idea is that while sportsbook SGP machines adjust odds for correlated parlays, the inverse is true for uncorrelated.

Here, we’ll examine SGP options for the Raiders and Chiefs on Black Friday. You can also explore promo codes from the best sports betting sites.

BetFinder Tool: Find Odds For NFL SGP Picks

To search NFL player props for the Chiefs and Raiders, type in the player’s name below. For additional odds, click the “Show all bets” button. Click on the odds anywhere in the table to bet now.

Potential NFL SGP Picks For Raiders At Chiefs

Xavier Worthy’s Up-And-Down Campaign

Xavier Worthy’s rookie campaign has been marked by notable highs and devastating lows.

On the one hand, he leads a 10-1 team in touchdowns and ranks second in catches and targets.

On the other, he has barely caught half of his targets (28 of 54), resulting in horrible efficiency. He has also produced multiple viral lowlights by missing downfield plays, both with drops and poor sideline awareness.

Still, the team appears fully committed to letting Worthy work through his struggles. The Texas product has garnered 5.5 targets per game over the past six contests, up from 4.2 in the first five. After a two-game nadir in which he caught just one pass (on six targets), Worth has been a bit better over the past two. He’s got more than 100 yards on eight catches in that span.

Expect at least one or two deep shots once again here against a very beatable Raiders secondary.

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Predictions For NFL SGP Picks

While Worthy figures to see his share of the targets, his poor efficiency will continue to leave him vulnerable to low reception numbers. It seems inevitable he’ll eventually connect with Mahomes down the field again, but will he be able to round out his game and become more consistent?

If that aspect of his game continues to lack, then he could surpass his alternate receiving numbers even at a low catch total. That’s because his baseline number (around 34.5 receiving yards) is quite a bit lower than his role in the offense reflects.

We can take advantage with a longshot SGP.

Regarding SGPs, we cannot emphasize enough the importance of shopping around. Our research for this season’s strategy sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps.

These NFL SGP picks pay out best at FanDuel Sportsbook (+2772).

X. Worthy Under 2.5 receptions (+108)
X. Worthy 50+ receiving yards (+196)

If you put these prices into a normal parlay calculator, you’d get a $51.57 payout on a $10 bet. Because of the inverse correlation, the SGP software offers almost four-times that. The software does not look at matchup research.

Good luck with your NFL SGP picks for the Chiefs vs. Raiders.

Chiefs Vs. Raiders Odds

While this article focuses on same-game parlay picks and odds for Raiders at Chiefs, find the best odds below for the main markets, like spread and total. And be sure to lock in the best NFL promo codes before you make any wagers on NFL Week 13 odds.

Black Friday NFL Injury Report

Player

Pos

Injury

Status

Snaps/g

Comment

Kansas City Chiefs

BJ Thompson	DE	Chest	Out	0	Thompson is dealing with a medical issue and has been placed on the non-football injury list. He will miss at least four games.
Harrison Butker	K	Left Knee	Out	10.1	Butker is dealing with a left knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Jared Wiley	TE	Knee	Out	14.7	Wiley suffered a torn ACL and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the remainder of the 2024-25 season.
Jaylen Watson	CB	Ankle	Out	62.2	Watson has been placed on the injured reserve list and will miss the remainder of the 2024-25 regular season.
Jody Fortson	TE	Knee	Out	16	Fortson is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Marquise Brown	WR	Shoulder	Out	0	Brown is dealing with a shoulder injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He is unlikely to play in the 2024 regular season.
McKade Mettauer	G	Knee	Out	0	Mettauer suffered a torn MCL and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He is expected to miss the 2024-25 season.
Peyton Hendershot	TE	Calf	Out	18.8	Hendershot has suffered a calf injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Rashee Rice	WR	Knee	Out	38.8	Rice underwent LCL surgery and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He is expected to miss the remainder of the 2024-25 regular season.
Skyy Moore	WR	Core Muscle	Out	16.7	Moore is dealing with a core muscle injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Spencer Shrader	K	Right Hamstring	Questionable	8	Week 14

Las Vegas Raiders

Alexander Mattison	RB	Ankle	Questionable	32.1	Week 14
Christian Wilkins	DT	Foot	Out	55.6	Wilkins is dealing with a fractured foot and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Gardner Minshew II	QB	Collarbone	Out	56.4	Minshew suffered a broken collarbone and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the remainder of the 2024-25 season.
Jake Johanning	G	Undisclosed	Out	0	Johanning is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Jakorian Bennett	CB	Shoulder	Out	46.1	Bennett is dealing with a shoulder injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Jeff Foreman	WR	Knee	Out	0	Foreman is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Luke Masterson	LB	Knee	Out	47.3	Masterson is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Malcolm Koonce	DE	Knee	Out	0	Koonce suffered a torn ACL and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He is expected to miss the rest of the 2024-25 season.
Marcus Epps	S	Knee	Out	58.7	Epps suffered a torn ACL and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the remainder of the 2024-25 season.
Nate Hobbs	CB	Ankle	Questionable	52.9	Week 14
Tomari Fox	DT	Undisclosed	Out	0	Fox is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the entire 2024-25 season.
Zamir White	RB	Quad	Questionable	20	Week 14

Raiders at Chiefs Matchup

STATS	Raiders LV	Chiefs KC
Offense Ranking OFF RNK	24th	14th
Defense Ranking DEF RNK	14th	8th
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG	304.4	341.6
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG	327.7	311.9
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG	226.3	229.8
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG	1.9	1.2

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