NFL SGP Picks: Smarter Same Game Parlays For Ravens At Chargers MNF
Same-game parlays represent one of the most popular ways to bet NFL Week 12 odds. For island games during the 2024 NFL season, TheLines.com will offer some possible NFL SGP picks that bettors can consider. We’ll look for SGP angles with some negative correlation to uncover longshots with a better chance of cashing than the odds imply. The idea is that while sportsbook SGP machines adjust odds for correlated parlays, the inverse is true for uncorrelated.
Here, we’ll examine SGP options for the Chargers and Ravens for MNF odds. You can also explore promo codes from the best sports betting sites.
BetFinder Tool: Find Odds For NFL SGP Picks
To search MNF player props for the Chargers and Ravens, type in the player’s name below. For additional odds, click the “Show all bets” button. Click on the odds anywhere in the table to bet now.
Potential NFL SGP Picks For Ravens At Chargers
Handicapping Lamar Jackson’s Rushing Vs. Chargers
The Lamar Jackson MVP train has slowed down after an ugly defeat in Week 11. Jackson will need to rebound here if he hopes to snag his third trophy, and he has a fascinating matchup with the Chargers.
One trait the Chargers have shown this year is a strong preference for zone defense. According to PFF’s tracking, the Chargers have played zone 79.1% of the time, which ranks fourth in the NFL.
That should mean a lot of eyes on the quarterback, who figures to limit Jackson’s rushing.
While Jackson is as effective as ever running the ball (he reportedly lost a bit of weight this offseason), he’s still averaging the second-lowest yards per game rushing of his career, excepting his partial rookie season. He just doesn’t take off as often as he used to. With Derrick Henry carrying more of the rushing load, that works just fine for Baltimore.
Still, that doesn’t mean Jackson can’t rip off a couple of big plays. He has an explosive run (15+ yards) in all but two games this season.
And the only time the Chargers faced a similar QB, they allowed six carries for 64 yards to Kyler Murray.
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Predictions For NFL SGP Picks
While I don’t expect much rushing volume from Jackson, one or two big plays could still push him over a rushing yardage total that’s more than 10 yards below his season-long average. It’s well within reason to think he could do something similar to what Murray did.
Regarding SGPs, we cannot emphasize enough the importance of shopping around. Our research for this season’s strategy sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps.
These NFL SGP picks pay out best at DraftKings Sportsbook (+550).
- L. Jackson Under 7.5 rushes (-120)
- L. Jackson Over 41.5 rushing yards (-115)
If you put these prices into a normal parlay calculator, you’d get a $24.28 payout on a $10 bet. Because of the inverse correlation, the SGP software offers more than double that. The software does not look at matchup research.
Good luck with your NFL SGP picks for the Chargers vs. Ravens.
Chargers Vs. Ravens Odds
While this article focuses on same-game parlay picks and odds for Ravens at Chargers, find the best odds below for the main markets, like spread and total. And be sure to lock in the best NFL promo codes before you make any wagers on NFL Week 12 odds.
Monday Night Football Injury Report
| Player | Pos Position | Injury | Status | Snaps/g Snaps Per Game | Comment | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Los Angeles Chargers | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Ravens at Chargers Matchup
| STATS |
Ravens
BAL
|
Chargers
LAC
|
|---|---|---|
| Offense Ranking OFF RNK | 1st | 24th |
| Defense Ranking DEF RNK | 22nd | 11th |
| Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG | 422.5 | 309.5 |
| Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG | 347.6 | 323.7 |
| Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG | 243.4 | 198.1 |
| Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG | 0.7 | 0.5 |
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