NFL Playoffs SGP Picks: Smarter Same Game Parlays For Broncos At Bills

Same-game parlays represent one of the most popular ways to bet NFL playoffs odds. For playoffs games during the 2024-25 NFL season, TheLines.com will offer some possible NFL SGP picks that bettors can consider. We’ll look for SGP angles with some negative correlation to uncover longshots with a better chance of cashing than the odds imply. The idea is that while sportsbook SGP machines adjust odds for correlated parlays, the inverse is true for uncorrelated.
Here, we’ll examine SGP options for the Broncos and Bills on Sunday in the early game.
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Potential NFL SGP Picks For Broncos At Bills
Can Broncos Step Up In Class?
Denver has put together a great season, beating expectations and making the playoffs in a top-heavy AFC.
However, it’s notable they did so against a schedule that graded out as one of the league’s easiest (24th).
When the Broncos did step up against the best in the league, they had mixed results. They nearly beat the Chiefs in Arrowhead. The Ravens, on the other hand, crushed them 41-10.
Given that the Ravens look like a more similar team to the Bills (MVP-level dual-threat QB, questionable receiving weapons, strong rushing attack), it’s fair to wonder whether this team is ready for that kind of challenge. Late-season flops against the Chargers and Bengals did little to assuage any fears.
This defense has some great metrics, but they have feasted on a pretty weak schedule of opposing offenses. Even the Chiefs were not the unit they evolved into by year’s end after making some personnel changes and getting a key WR back.
What Will Allen’s Passing Volume Look Like?
Josh Allen may have put together an MVP campaign, but it didn’t come with a lot of passing volume. He only averaged about 233 YPG, with a median of a hair over that at 233.5.
Some of his lowest-volume games were actually in big wins. He failed to crack 182 yards in romps over the Jets, 49ers, and Dolphins.
Considering that the Bills prefer to lean on their ground game when they are ahead, those stats track with offensive coordinator Joe Brady’s strategy.
Even a convincing Bills win might not require a whole lot from Allen. This offensive line has shown the ability to strangle opponents when playing with a lead. And in a cold January playoff game, that could be even more true than usual.
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Predictions For NFL SGP Picks
In the playoffs, we often see feisty upstart teams dismissed without mercy. Examples from just last year in the AFC included the Texans thumping the Browns and these same Bills manhandling the Steelers.
I suspect the Broncos may be headed toward a similar fate.
And if they do flop here, I think we’ll see a run-heavy approach from a leading Bills team. They have the personnel to get it done with James Cook and this offensive line. In fact, it wouldn’t surprise me if this looked a lot like the Cowboys game last year when the Bills won 31-10 despite just 15 pass attempts from Allen.
Regarding SGPs, we cannot emphasize enough the importance of shopping around. Our research for this season’s strategy sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps.
These NFL SGP picks pay out best at DraftKings Sportsbook (+625).
- J. Allen Under 228.5 passing yards (-110)
- Bills -17.5 (+259)
If you put these prices into a normal parlay calculator, you’d get a $58.53 payout on a $10 bet. Because of the inverse correlation, the SGP software offers a small boost over that. The software does not look at matchup research.
Good luck with your NFL SGP picks for the Bills vs. Broncos.
Bills Vs. Broncos Odds
While this article focuses on same-game parlay picks and odds for Broncos at Bills, find the best odds below for the main markets, like spread and total. And be sure to lock in the best NFL promo codes before you make any wagers on NFL wild card odds.
Broncos At BIlls NFL Injury Report
Player | Pos Position | Injury | Status | Snaps/g Snaps Per Game | Comment | ||||||
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Buffalo Bills | ||||||||||
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Denver Broncos | ||||||||||
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Broncos at Bills Matchup
STATS |
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Offense Ranking OFF RNK | 20th | 10th |
Defense Ranking DEF RNK | 8th | 17th |
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG | 324.6 | 359.1 |
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG | 317.1 | 341.5 |
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG | 212.4 | 227.9 |
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG | 1.1 | 0.5 |