NFL SGP Picks: Smarter Same Game Parlays For Jaguars At Bills Monday Night Football

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Written By Mo Nuwwarah | Last Updated
NFL SGP picks

Same game parlays represent one of the most popular ways to bet NFL Week 3 odds. For island games during the 2024 NFL season, TheLines.com will offer up some possible NFL SGP picks that bettors can consider. We’ll be looking for SGP angles that have some kind of negative correlation included in hopes of uncovering longshots that have a better chance of cashing than the odds imply. The idea here is while sportsbook SGP machines adjust odds down for correlated parlays, the inverse is true for uncorrelated.

Here, we’ll take a look at SGP options for the Jaguars at Bills in Monday Night Football odds.

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Monday Night Football Same Game Parlay Odds Boosts

NFL SNF BOOST
Daniels 260+ & Penix 200+ Total Yards
+150
+185
23% Boost
NFL AFC CHAMPIONSHIP
Mahomes & Allen Each Record 225+ Passing Yards
+140
+175
25% Boost
NFL RAMS VS. EAGLES
Barkley 100+ rushing yards & Nacua 75+ receiving yards
+160
+200
25% Boost
NFL NFL BOOST
Mahomes 240+ Passing Yards & Gibbs 75+ Rushing Yards
+140
+180
29% Boost
NFL VIKINGS VS. RAMS
Jefferson & Nacua Each Record 80+ Receiving Yards
+150
+185
23% Boost
NFL PACKERS VS. EAGLES
Barkley 90+ rushing yards & Jacobs 60+ rushing yards
+140
+175
25% Boost
NFL STEELERS VS. RAVENS
Henry 80+ rushing yards & Pickens 45+ receiving yards
+120
+145
21% Boost
NFL SNF BOOST
Darnold & Goff Each Record 275+ Passing Yards
+140
+175
25% Boost
NFL MNF BOOST
Kittle 60+ & LaPorta 35+ Receiving Yards
+150
+185
23% Boost
NFL TNF BOOST
Nacua 80+ & Samuel 40+ Receiving Yards
+129
+160
24% Boost
NFL CARDINALS VS. RAMS
Nacua 75+ receiving yards & McBride 55+ receiving yards
+145
+180
24% Boost
NFL TNF BOOST
Metcalf & Allen Each Record 50+ Receiving Yards
+125
+160
28% Boost
NFL RAVENS VS. TEXANS
Stroud 225+ Passing Yards & Jackson 40+ Rushing Yards
+140
+175
25% Boost
NFL CHIEFS VS. STEELERS
Mahomes & Wilson Each Record 220+ Passing Yards
+135
+165
22% Boost
NFL SNF BOOST
Evans 70+ & Lamb 65+ Receiving Yards
+160
+200
25% Boost
NFL TNF BOOST
Herbert & Nix Each Record 210+ Passing Yards
+150
+185
23% Boost
NFL MNF BOOST
Jefferson 75+ & Bowers 55+ Receiving Yards
+154
+195
27% Boost
NFL SNF BOOST
Love & Smith Each Record 225+ Passing Yards
+140
+175
25% Boost

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BetFinder Tool: Find The Best Odds For NFL SGP Picks

To search MNF player props for the Jaguars and Bills, type in the player’s name below. For additional odds, click the “Show all bets” button. Click on the odds anywhere in the table to bet now.

Potential NFL SGP Picks For Jaguars At Bills

Buffalo’s Caveman Football

Offensive coordinator Joe Brady has continued his embracing of caveman ball for the Buffalo Bills. After wrapping last season with a 6-1 stretch using his run-focused offense, the Bills are off to another 2-0 start this year. They ground Miami to dust in Week 2 despite Allen having one of the lowest passing outputs of his career (139 yards).

The team is not built with the sort of pass catchers that have helped fuel Allen’s passing bonanza in recent years. Keon Coleman isn’t ready to be a WR1. When the running back and tight end are arguably the two top pass catchers, you’re generally looking at a less explosive offense.

In short, the Bills seem likely to keep working their grinding strategy, even if Jacksonville represents a tougher task there. The Jags did stop the run at an efficient rate last year, ranking top six in both EPA/play allowed and rush defense DVOA.

Jaguars Looking To Avoid 0-3 Start

Still, the Jaguars have their own issues after dropping the first two games of the season.

First, turnovers sank them against Miami.

Then, they outplayed the Browns, but an inability to finish drives wound up seeing them finish with 13 points.

A road game in Buffalo is a tough ask for turning this around. Particularly when the Bills will be looking for a small measure of revenge after dropping a frustrating game in London to this team last year. Although some money has come in on the Jags to move them off of +6, they’re still decent-sized underdogs.

Predictions For NFL SGP Picks

The Bills have shown they can win games with their caveman strategies, but such a process can result in shorter games and more difficulty pulling away from the opponent. It might be a tough task to cover more than a field goal when playing offense this way, but getting the win doesn’t seem too difficult for Buffalo.

Basically, there are worlds where Buffalo wins a lower-scoring game — one which might even result in them finishing below their implied team total.

When it comes to SGPs, we cannot emphasize enough how important it is to shop around. In our research for this season’s strategy, we sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps. The following NFL SGP picks pay out best at DraftKings Sportsbook (+375).

  • Bills ML (-230)
  • Bills Under 23.5 points (+124)

If you were to put these prices into a normal parlay calculator, you’d get about a $22.14 payout on a $10 bet. Because of the inverse correlation, the SGP software is offering about 1.5x that amount. The software is not looking at matchup research.

Good luck with your NFL SGP picks for Bills vs. Jaguars.

Bills Vs. Jaguars Odds

While this article focuses on same game parlay picks and odds for Jaguars at Bills, find the best odds below for the main markets like spread and over/under. And be sure to lock in the best NFL promo codes before you make any wagers on NFL Week 3 odds.

Bills at Jaguars Injuries

Player Pos Position Injury Status Snaps/g Snaps Per Game Comment
Buffalo Bills
There Aren’t Any Injured Players for This Team Currently
Jacksonville Jaguars
There Aren’t Any Injured Players for This Team Currently

Bills at Jaguars Matchup

STATS
Jaguars logo Jaguars JAX
Bills logo Bills BUF
Offense Ranking OFF RNK 25th 10th
Defense Ranking DEF RNK 31st 17th
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG 306.2 359.1
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG 389.9 341.5
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG 204.5 227.9
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG 1.4 0.5
Photo by ASSOCIATED PRESS

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