NFL SGP Picks: Smarter Same Game Parlays For Jaguars At Bills Monday Night Football
Same game parlays represent one of the most popular ways to bet NFL Week 3 odds. For island games during the 2024 NFL season, TheLines.com will offer up some possible NFL SGP picks that bettors can consider. We’ll be looking for SGP angles that have some kind of negative correlation included in hopes of uncovering longshots that have a better chance of cashing than the odds imply. The idea here is while sportsbook SGP machines adjust odds down for correlated parlays, the inverse is true for uncorrelated.
Here, we’ll take a look at SGP options for the Jaguars at Bills in Monday Night Football odds.
Monday Night Football Same Game Parlay Odds Boosts
Check back here for the latest odds boosts and promotions.
TheLines recommends comparing odds boosts across the sports betting market to lock in the best available price.
Learn more about Odds Boosts here.
BetFinder Tool: Find The Best Odds For NFL SGP Picks
To search MNF player props for the Jaguars and Bills, type in the player’s name below. For additional odds, click the “Show all bets” button. Click on the odds anywhere in the table to bet now.
Potential NFL SGP Picks For Jaguars At Bills
Buffalo’s Caveman Football
Offensive coordinator Joe Brady has continued his embracing of caveman ball for the Buffalo Bills. After wrapping last season with a 6-1 stretch using his run-focused offense, the Bills are off to another 2-0 start this year. They ground Miami to dust in Week 2 despite Allen having one of the lowest passing outputs of his career (139 yards).
The team is not built with the sort of pass catchers that have helped fuel Allen’s passing bonanza in recent years. Keon Coleman isn’t ready to be a WR1. When the running back and tight end are arguably the two top pass catchers, you’re generally looking at a less explosive offense.
In short, the Bills seem likely to keep working their grinding strategy, even if Jacksonville represents a tougher task there. The Jags did stop the run at an efficient rate last year, ranking top six in both EPA/play allowed and rush defense DVOA.
Jaguars Looking To Avoid 0-3 Start
Still, the Jaguars have their own issues after dropping the first two games of the season.
First, turnovers sank them against Miami.
Then, they outplayed the Browns, but an inability to finish drives wound up seeing them finish with 13 points.
A road game in Buffalo is a tough ask for turning this around. Particularly when the Bills will be looking for a small measure of revenge after dropping a frustrating game in London to this team last year. Although some money has come in on the Jags to move them off of +6, they’re still decent-sized underdogs.
- Join TheLines.com’s free sports betting Discord — with over 4,000 community members and our staff sharing ideas daily.
Predictions For NFL SGP Picks
The Bills have shown they can win games with their caveman strategies, but such a process can result in shorter games and more difficulty pulling away from the opponent. It might be a tough task to cover more than a field goal when playing offense this way, but getting the win doesn’t seem too difficult for Buffalo.
Basically, there are worlds where Buffalo wins a lower-scoring game — one which might even result in them finishing below their implied team total.
When it comes to SGPs, we cannot emphasize enough how important it is to shop around. In our research for this season’s strategy, we sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps. The following NFL SGP picks pay out best at DraftKings Sportsbook (+375).
- Bills ML (-230)
- Bills Under 23.5 points (+124)
If you were to put these prices into a normal parlay calculator, you’d get about a $22.14 payout on a $10 bet. Because of the inverse correlation, the SGP software is offering about 1.5x that amount. The software is not looking at matchup research.
Good luck with your NFL SGP picks for Bills vs. Jaguars.
Bills Vs. Jaguars Odds
While this article focuses on same game parlay picks and odds for Jaguars at Bills, find the best odds below for the main markets like spread and over/under. And be sure to lock in the best NFL promo codes before you make any wagers on NFL Week 3 odds.
Bills at Jaguars Injuries
| Player | Pos Position | Injury | Status | Snaps/g Snaps Per Game | Comment | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Buffalo Bills | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Jacksonville Jaguars | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Bills at Jaguars Matchup
| STATS |
Jaguars
JAX
|
Bills
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| Offense Ranking OFF RNK | 26th | 20th |
| Defense Ranking DEF RNK | 30th | 14th |
| Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG | 285.5 | 305.8 |
| Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG | 380 | 321.8 |
| Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG | 159.3 | 195.5 |
| Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG | 0.8 | 0.5 |
Latest NFL Betting News
RELATED ARTICLES
