NFL SGP Picks: Smarter Same Game Parlays For Bengals At Steelers Saturday
Same-game parlays represent one of the most popular ways to bet NFL Week 18 odds. For island games during the 2024 NFL season, TheLines.com will offer some possible NFL SGP picks that bettors can consider. We’ll look for SGP angles with some negative correlation to uncover longshots with a better chance of cashing than the odds imply. The idea is that while sportsbook SGP machines adjust odds for correlated parlays, the inverse is true for uncorrelated.
Here, we’ll examine SGP options for the Steelers and Bengals on Saturday in the evening window.
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Potential NFL SGP Picks For Bengals At Steelers
Bengals Offense Rolling
Cincinnati’s offense continues to make headlines. The team needed four straight wins to claw back to .500, but it wasn’t for a lack of points.
Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, and Tee Higgins continue to look unstoppable. The only time the Bengals have scored fewer than 27 points since Week 8 was a 24-6 win over the Browns in which the offense took their collective foot off the gas.
The offense ranks seventh in EPA/play, fifth in DVOA, and seventh in Success Rate. They scored 38 points last time they faced the Steelers.
A couple of minor concerns do exist here with the injuries to Higgins and Chase Brown.
However, aside from that, all indications are the Bengals should score some points here against a Steelers defense that’s been fading down the stretch.
How Motivated Will Steelers Be?
Pittsburgh enters Week 18 in an interesting situation. They could land in either No. 3, No. 5, or No. 6 seeds.
However, the No. 3 path will close off by the time of kickoff unless Baltimore loses as the biggest favorites of the season (around -20) against Cleveland.
That presents bettors with an interesting hypothetical. Will the Steelers rest anyone, or will they play for seeding? The difference between No. 5 and No. 6 isn’t nothing. The higher seed will face reeling Houston while the lower seed faces the juggernaut Ravens offense.
Still, it’s reasonable to conclude there’s at least a chance the Steelers rest some guys. T.J. Watt has been banged up for weeks. Russell Wilson hasn’t looked good in some time. George Pickens just fought his way back from an injury.
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Predictions For NFL SGP Picks
There are two ways the Bengals could run away from the Steelers here. Either they simply outclass them, or their opponents opt to rest some key pieces.
Either way, I expect the Steelers to try to grind the clock and try to get out of there with minimal injuries. Justin Fields is sure to help that cause if he starts.
The Bengals might find themselves with a similar motivation if they have a lead.
Thus, we could see this game go under even if the Bengals score their customary 27-plus.
Regarding SGPs, we cannot emphasize enough the importance of shopping around. Our research for this season’s strategy sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps.
These NFL SGP picks pay out best at DraftKings Sportsbook (+1300).
- Bengals team total Over 27.5 (+160)
- Game total Under 48 (-112)
If you put these prices into a normal parlay calculator, you’d get a $39.22 payout on a $10 bet. Because of the inverse correlation, the SGP software offers more than three times that. The software does not look at matchup research.
Good luck with your NFL SGP picks for the Steelers vs. Bengals.
Steelers Vs. Bengals Odds
While this article focuses on same-game parlay picks and odds for Bengals at Steelers, find the best odds below for the main markets, like spread and total. And be sure to lock in the best NFL promo codes before you make any wagers on NFL Week 18 odds.
Bengals At Steelers NFL Injury Report
| Player | Pos Position | Injury | Status | Snaps/g Snaps Per Game | Comment | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Cincinnati Bengals | ||||||||||
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Pittsburgh Steelers | ||||||||||
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Bengals at Steelers Matchup
| STATS |
Bengals
CIN
|
Steelers
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| Offense Ranking OFF RNK | 9th | 23rd |
| Defense Ranking DEF RNK | 25th | 13th |
| Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG | 365.5 | 319.4 |
| Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG | 348.3 | 326.7 |
| Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG | 272.9 | 192 |
| Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG | 1.3 | 1 |
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