NFL SGP Picks: Smarter Same Game Parlays For Bears Vs. Jaguars In London

Same game parlays represent one of the most popular ways to bet NFL Week 6 odds. For island games during the 2024 NFL season, TheLines.com will offer up some possible NFL SGP picks that bettors can consider. We’ll be looking for SGP angles that have some kind of negative correlation included in hopes of uncovering longshots that have a better chance of cashing than the odds imply. The idea here is while sportsbook SGP machines adjust odds down for correlated parlays, the inverse is true for uncorrelated.
Here, we’ll take a look at SGP options for the Bears vs. Jaguars in London on Sunday morning (U.S. time).
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Potential NFL SGP Picks For Bears vs. Jaguars
Caleb Williams To Keep Rolling?
It’s been a rough go of it for Caleb Williams so far. All of the rookie QB discourse has been about how amazing Jayden Daniels looks and how he should have gone No. 1 overall. Meanwhile, the Bears offense has sputtered to a 26th-place start in DVOA.
Williams showed signs of life in Week 5 against the Panthers. He went for 304 yards on 10.5 YPA while firing a pair of TD passes.
Granted, any accomplishments against the Panthers should be taken with a heaping helping of salt. At the same time, the Jaguars aren’t any better. In fact, they’ve been worse — dead last in defense DVOA while allowing the highest EPA/play passing in the league.
The rush defense has somehow stayed afloat, continuing a theme from last year when they ranked top six in both DVOA and EPA/play allowed.
If the Bears can score, it will likely come through the air.
Another Jaguars Shootout?
Jacksonville’s season is on life support thanks in large part to that aforementioned defense. They’re sitting 1-4 after allowing 105 points over the past three weeks.
However, it’s important to keep in mind the offenses they faced during that stretch are stronger than what the Bears have demonstrated. Josh Allen and C.J. Stroud are a couple of the premier QBs in the NFL, and while Joe Flacco can be poor at times, he can also pile up big yardage when the deep balls are finding homes.
The Bears have a bottom-10 offense by DVOA and EPA/play. Caleb Williams ranks 27th in EPA+CPOE composite.
Their defense, however, is quite strong. It ranks top 10 by most metrics and has been elite against the pass.
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Predictions For NFL SGP Picks
It’s tough to run on the Jags as they seem to like to load the box, but that comes at the expense of their passing defense. They’re also atrocious in the red zone, allowing 70.59% TDs, 30th in the NFL.
Nobody should be surprised if Williams has another two-touchdown day.
At the same time, with the quality of the Bears defense and the fact it’s still hard to trust their offense, there’s no guarantee the game would still go over the total. There are two ways that could happen: either the Bears don’t score much more, or they win the game comfortably, with their strong defense locking up an inconsistent Jags offense.
When it comes to SGPs, we cannot emphasize enough how important it is to shop around. In our research for this season’s strategy, we sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps. The following NFL SGP picks pay out best at Caesars Sportsbook (+580).
- Under 44 points (-108)
- C. Williams Over 1.5 passing TDs (+110)
If you were to put these prices into a normal parlay calculator, you’d get a $30.44 payout on a $10 bet. Because of the inverse correlation, the SGP software is offering more than 1.5x that amount. The software does not look at matchup research.
Good luck with your NFL SGP picks for the Bears vs. the Jaguars.
Bears Vs. Jaguars Odds
While this article focuses on same game parlay picks and odds for Bears vs. Jaguars, find the best odds below for the main markets, such as the spread and over/under. And be sure to lock in the best NFL promo codes before you make any wagers on NFL Week 6 odds.
Bears vs. Jaguars Injury Report
Player | Pos Position | Injury | Status | Snaps/g Snaps Per Game | Comment | ||||||
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Chicago Bears | ||||||||||
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Jacksonville Jaguars | ||||||||||
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Bears vs. Jaguars Matchup
STATS |
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Offense Ranking OFF RNK | 32nd | 25th |
Defense Ranking DEF RNK | 27th | 31st |
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG | 283.5 | 306.2 |
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG | 354.2 | 389.9 |
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG | 181.5 | 204.5 |
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG | 0.9 | 1.4 |