NFL Same Game Parlay Picks: Texans Vs. Jets Week 9 TNF

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Written By Jeffrey Schreiber | Last Updated

NFL Week 9 kicks off with an AFC battle between the Houston Texans and New York Jets. TheLines.com staff is focused on delivering smarter NFL SGP picks and ideas. Our strategy is to target what appear to be uncorrelated SGPs that may actually fit a player’s role. Yet, sportsbook SGP machines often spit out longshot prices better than the fair odds, in our opinion. NFL same game parlays and player props are available at sportsbooks within Thursday Night Football odds.

Below, we’ll highlight NFL TNF player props and a potential Texans vs. Jets smarter SGP strategy for those player prop picks.

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BetFinder Tool: THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PLAYER PROPS

To search Thursday Night Football player props, type in the player’s name below. For additional odds, click the “Show all bets” button. Click on the odds anywhere in the table to bet now.

2024 Strategy For NFL SGP Picks

When it comes to SGPs, we cannot emphasize enough how important it is to shop around. In our research for this season’s strategy, we sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps:

same game parlay

SGP machines tend to offer lower payouts than the fair odds on correlated same game parlays.

One example of an uncorrelated SGP that apps may have trouble pricing is running back with high red zone usage for potential touchdowns but low rushing volume, overall, for high-end yardage totals.

  • Join TheLines.com’s free sports betting Discord, with more than 4,000 community members and our staff sharing betting ideas every day. Go to the #roles server to get push notifications to the Discord app from TheLines.com staff when they lock in a bet.

Smarter NFL SGP PICKS: Texans AT jets Thursday Night Football

I will be referencing FanDuel Sportsbook odds, but as mentioned above, it’s a very strong practice to shop for the best odds. If you only have accounts at one or two sportsbooks, now is the time to open more and lock in additional NFL promo codes.

Same Game Parlay Idea at +1370 Odds

  • Tank Dell anytime touchdown
  • Tank Dell Under 58.5 receiving yards
  • Tank Dell 4+ receptions made

Dell’s receiving yards total instantly jumps out to me as an overreaction to the likelihood of Houston being without Stefon Diggs in this game. Already down Nico Collins for another week, the Texans are expected to lean more on their speedster WR, but I am wary of him accomplishing that in the receiving yards department. Dell only had four catches for 35 yards in Week 8. Everything for Dell has been down this season compared to his rookie year. He is averaging only 1.0 yards per route run after 2.22 last season. He has been targeted on 16.7% of his routes after 23.5% last season.

While Collins’ and Diggs’ absences add volume potential for Dell in terms of receptions, this is still a tough matchup on paper. Dell still played outside receiver with Diggs out, and we have not seen him play from the slot often to open his career. The Jets have allowed a league-low 48.8% catch rate to outside receivers thus far in 2024.

It is worth noting that Dell has accomplished these three seemingly “uncorrelated” legs in two of his last three games. With all the WR injuries in recent weeks, the Texans seem to be focusing on getting Dell the football down inside scoring position, resulting in two touchdown grabs in his last three games. Additionally, Dell has four-plus receptions made in four of his last five outings.

Thursday Night Football Injury Report

Team injuries

Last Updated on 12.08.2024
Player Pos Position Injury Status Snaps/g Snaps Per Game Comment
Houston Texans
Azeez Al-Shaair LB Suspension Out 55.1 Al-Shaair has been suspended three games for a late tackle and unsportsmanlike conduct.
Brandon Hill S Knee Out 0 Hill is dealing with a right knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Brevin Jordan TE Knee Out 43.5 Jordan suffered a torn ACL and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the remainder of the 2024-25 season.
British Brooks RB Knee Out 17.6 Brooks suffered a torn meniscus and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He is expected to miss the remainder of the 2024-25 season.
Case Keenum QB Foot Out 0 Keenum is dealing with a foot injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Christian Harris LB Calf Questionable 0 The Texans have opened the 21-day practice window for Harris as they await his return from the injured reserve list.
Dalton Keene TE Knee Out 0 Keene suffered a torn ACL and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Eric Murray S Head Questionable 58.1 Week 15
Folorunso Fatukasi DT Foot Questionable 30.9 Week 15
Jalen Pitre S Shoulder Questionable 55.7 Week 15
Jaylon Thomas OT Undisclosed Out 0 Thomas is battling an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Jimmie Ward S Head Questionable 46.6 Week 15
Ka’dar Hollman CB Knee Out 30.6 Hollman is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Kenyon Green G Shoulder Questionable 66.7 The Texans have opened the 21-day practice window for Green as they await his return from the injured reserve list.
LaDarius Henderson G Foot Out 0 Henderson underwent foot surgery and has been placed on the non-football injury list. He will miss at least four games.
Stefon Diggs WR Knee Out 53.9 Diggs has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the remainder of the 2024-25 season.
Teagan Quitoriano TE Knee Out 21.6 Quitoriano is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Xavier Hutchinson WR Shoulder Questionable 36.8 Week 15
New York Jets
Breece Hall RB Knee Questionable 46.9 Week 15
C.J. Mosley LB Neck Out 29.8 Mosley is dealing with a neck injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the remainder of the 2024-25 season.
Greg Zuerlein K Knee Out 7.9 Zuerlein is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Irvin Charles WR Knee Questionable 17.2 Week 15
Jermaine Johnson LB Achilles Out 46.5 Johnson has suffered a ruptured Achilles and has been placed on the injured reserve. He will miss the remainder of the 2024-25 season.
Jimmy Ciarlo LB Knee Out 0 Ciarlo is dealing with an ACL injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the remainder of the 2024-25 season.
Jordan Travis QB Undisclosed Out 0 Travis is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the non-football injury list. He will miss at least four games.
Leki Fotu DT Knee Out 33 Fotu has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Malik Taylor WR Undisclosed Out 0 Taylor is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-2025 season.
Marcus Riley WR Undisclosed Out 0 Riley is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Morgan Moses OL Wrist Questionable 53.8 Week 15
Qwan’tez Stiggers CB Illness Questionable 17 Week 15
Sauce Gardner CB Hamstring Questionable 62.4 Week 15
Tyron Smith OL Neck Out 59.7 Smith is dealing with a neck injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least the next 4 games.
Xavier Newman-Johnson OL Groin Questionable 4.8 Week 15
Zaire Barnes LB Ankle Out 0 Barnes is dealing with an ankle injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.

HOW TO FIND TNF Promos For Same Game Parlays

Most SGP promos will require you to opt in to receive the SGP promo benefits. We are seeing some bonus-bets-back SGP offers for all users at FanDuel and profit boost offers at bet365DraftKings, and CaesarsBetMGM offers SGP insurance tokens for bonus bets back if one leg loses.

Photo by Darron Cummings

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