NFL SGP Picks: Broncos Vs. Saints Week 7 Thursday Night Football

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Written By Jeffrey Schreiber | Last Updated

NFL Week 7 kicks off with an NFC vs AFC battle between the Denver Broncos and New Orleans Saints. TheLines.com staff is focused on delivering smarter NFL SGP picks and ideas. Our strategy is to target what appear to be uncorrelated SGPs that may actually fit a player’s role. Yet, sportsbook SGP machines often spit out longshot prices better than the fair odds, in our opinion. NFL same game parlays and player props are available at sportsbooks within Thursday Night Football odds.

Below, we’ll highlight NFL TNF player props and a potential Broncos vs. Saints smarter SGP strategy for those player prop picks.

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BetFinder Tool: THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PLAYER PROPS

To search Thursday Night Football player props, type in the player’s name below. For additional odds, click the “Show all bets” button. Click on the odds anywhere in the table to bet now.

2024 Strategy For NFL SGP Picks

When it comes to SGPs, we cannot emphasize enough how important it is to shop around. In our research for this season’s strategy, we sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps:

same game parlay

SGP machines tend to offer lower payouts than the fair odds on correlated same game parlays.

One example of an uncorrelated SGP that apps may have trouble pricing is running back with high red zone usage for potential touchdowns but low rushing volume, overall, for high-end yardage totals.

  • Join TheLines.com’s free sports betting Discord, with more than 4,000 community members and our staff sharing betting ideas every day. Go to the #roles server to get push notifications to the Discord app from TheLines.com staff when they lock in a bet.

Smarter NFL SGP PICKS: broncos AT saints Thursday Night Football

I will be referencing FanDuel Sportsbook odds, but as mentioned above, it’s a very strong practice to shop for the best odds. If you only have one or two sportsbooks, now is the time to open more and lock in additional NFL promo codes.

Same Game Parlay Idea at +1047 Odds

  • Courtland Sutton Anytime Touchdown
  • Courtland Sutton UNDER 45.5 Receiving Yards

Sutton caught four passes for 53 yards and his second touchdown of the year in Week 6. While Sutton has clearly been rookie QB Bo Nix’s favorite target, he only averages 3.5 catches for 46.2 yards per game this season. Looking at the likelihood of these two seemingly uncorrelated outcomes to happen for Sutton actually makes sense. He has a 24.5% target share (WR16) but is leading all wide receivers with 50% of Denver’s red zone targets and 66.7% of their throws into the end zone.

What is working against Sutton’s yardage potential on Thursday Night Football is his matchup against a stingy Saints backend. The Saints are good at defending outside receivers, allowing 7.7 yards per target (12th). Sutton is playing 86.2% of his snaps on the outside.

While Sutton has gone over his yardage total in each game in which he has scored a TD this year, it is worth noting that just a season ago, the results were different. In three games last season Sutton scored a TD but went for less than 46 receiving yards.

Thursday Night Football Injury Report

Player Pos Position Injury Status Snaps/g Snaps Per Game Comment
Denver Broncos
There Aren’t Any Injured Players for This Team Currently
New Orleans Saints
There Aren’t Any Injured Players for This Team Currently

HOW TO FIND TNF Promos For Same Game Parlays

Most SGP promos will require you to opt-in to receive the SGP promo benefits. We are seeing some bonus bets back SGP offers for all users at FanDuel and profit boost offers at bet365DraftKings, and CaesarsBetMGM offers SGP insurance tokens for bonus bets back if one leg loses.

Photo by John Froschauer

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