NFL SGP Picks: Smarter Same Game Parlays For Colts At Vikings SNF

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Written By Derek Wagner | Last Updated
nfl sgp picks

At the tail-end of the NFL Week 9 odds board, same-game parlays and player props are available within SNF odds. Our staff at TheLines.com is focused on delivering smarter NFL SGP picks and ideas. NFL Week 9 continues with a Sunday Night Football between the Indianapolis Colts and Minnesota Vikings. Below, we’ll highlight NFL SNF player props and a potential Colts vs. Vikings smarter SGP strategy for those player prop picks.

Sportsbook software has become increasingly sophisticated in adjusting odds for correlated outcomes in SGPs. Our strategy is to target what appear to be uncorrelated SGPs that may fit a player’s role. Sportsbook SGP machines often spit out longshot prices that are better than the fair odds.

We recommend disciplined bankroll management with SGPs. These should usually be fractional unit wagers and considered fun, lottery-ticket-type bets.

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BETFINDER TOOL: SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PLAYER PROPS

To search Sunday Night Football player props, type in the player’s name below. For additional odds, click the “show all bets” button. Click on the odds anywhere in the table to bet now.

strategy for nfl sgp picks

Regarding SGPs, we cannot emphasize enough the importance of shopping for the best price. Our research for this season’s strategy sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps.

same game parlay

SGP machines offer lower payouts than fair odds on correlated same-game parlays.

One example of an uncorrelated SGP that apps may have trouble pricing is running back with high red zone usage for potential touchdowns but low rushing volume for high-end yardage totals.

NFL SGP PICKS: COLTS AT VIKINGS SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

I will be referencing DraftKings Sportsbook odds. I found that this shop had the best price available when I wrote this. As mentioned above, shopping for the best odds is a strong practice. If you only have one or two sportsbooks, now is the time to open more and lock in additional NFL promo codes.

  • Sam Darnold under 249.5 passing yards
  • T.J. Hockenson 45+ receiving yards
  • T.J. Hockenson Anytime Touchdown

For starters, it makes sense to target Sam Darnold’s under-passing yards in a game where they are favored by more than a field goal. He’s gone under this mark in three of the five games that Minnesota has won. Opponents have also demolished the Colts’ defense on the ground, tallying 151.9 rushing yards (third-most) per contest. If the game script remains in Minnesota’s favor, Aaron Jones could be in store for a big game and force Darnold to go under this prop.

As for T.J. Hockenson, the star TE is getting set to make his season debut after missing time with a torn ACL suffered last December. Kevin O’Connell met with the media on Wednesday this week, saying Hockenson will not be on a snap count against the Colts.

Indianapolis has also been gashed by tight ends, allowing an average of 56 yards to the position per game while surrendering four touchdowns. Dalton Schultz tallied 52 receiving yards (season-high) against them last week, and Jonnu Smith notched 96 and scored the week before.

This is an incredibly low yardage mark for a tight end as skilled as Hockenson. Let’s ride with him to reach paydirt.

SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL INJURY REPORT

Player Pos Position Injury Status Snaps/g Snaps Per Game Comment
Indianapolis Colts
Ashton Dulin WR Ankle Questionable 32.4 Dulin did not practice on Thursday heading into Week 15 versus the Broncos.
Braden Smith OT Personal Questionable 60.9 Smith did not practice on Thursday heading into Week 15 versus the Broncos.
Daniel Scott S Achilles Out 0 Scott has been diagnosed with a ruptured Achilles and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the entire 2024-25 season.
Jaylon Carlies LB Ankle Questionable 29.9 The Colts have opened the 21-day practice window for Carlies as they await his return from the injured reserve list.
Jelani Woods TE Toe Out 0 Woods is dealing with a toe injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Josh Downs WR Shoulder Probable 43.7 Downs was a full participant in practice on Thursday heading into Week 15 versus the Broncos.
JuJu Brents CB Knee Out 66 Brents suffered a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Juwann Winfree WR Undisclosed Out 0 Winfree is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Ryan Coll C Undisclosed Out 0 Coll is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the remainder of the 2024-25 season.
Ryan Kelly C Calf Questionable 54.9 The Colts have opened the 21-day practice window for Kelly as they await his return from the injured reserve list.
Samson Ebukam DE Achilles Out 0 Ebukam has suffered a torn Achilles and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Trevor Denbow S Knee Out 17.6 Denbow is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Trysten Hill DT Undisclosed Out 7.5 Hill, a practice squad player, is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list.
Wesley French C Ankle Out 0 French is dealing with an ankle injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-2025 season.
Will Fries OL Tibia Out 57 Fries suffered a tibia injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Minnesota Vikings
Aaron Jones RB Back Questionable 40.2 Jones was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 15 versus the Bears.
Andrew Van Ginkel OLB Hip Questionable 54.4 Van Ginkel was limited in practice on Thursday heading into Week 15 versus the Bears.
Christian Darrisaw OT Knee Out 60.6 Darrisaw suffered a knee injury and will undergo surgery and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the remainder of the 2024-25 season.
Henry Byrd G Undisclosed Out 0 Byrd, a practice squad player, is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list.
Ivan Pace Jr. LB Hamstring Out 48.7 Pace Jr. is dealing with a hamstring injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
J.J. McCarthy QB Knee Out 0 McCarthy suffered a torn meniscus in his right knee and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Jeremy Flax OL Undisclosed Out 0 Flax is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Jordan Kunaszyk LB Undisclosed Out 0 Kunaszyk is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the injured reserve. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Josh Oliver TE Wrist/Ankle Probable 44.5 Oliver was a full participant in practice on Thursday heading into Week 15 versus the Bears.
Mekhi Blackmon CB Knee Out 0 Blackmon suffered a torn ACL and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
NaJee Thompson CB Knee Out 0 Thompson is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Pat Jones II OLB Knee Questionable 41.2 Jones II was limited in practice Thursday heading into Week 15 versus the Bears.
Stephon Gilmore CB Hamstring Questionable 56.5 Gilmore did not practice on Thursday heading into Week 15 versus the Bears.
Taki Taimani DL Ankle Out 14.9 Taimani is dealing with an ankle injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.

SNF promos for same game parlays

Most SGP promos will require you to opt-in to receive the SGP promo benefits. We are seeing some bonus bets back SGP offers for all users at FanDuel and profit boost offers at bet365, DraftKings, and Caesars. BetMGM offers SGP insurance tokens for bonus bets back if one leg loses.

Photo by Associated Press/Stacy Bengs

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