NFL Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks: Travis Kelce Christmas Day Gift In Week 17?
Make sure those Netflix passwords are punched in – the NFL comes to your streaming service this Christmas Day. The first game of the afternoon features the Kansas City Chiefs (14-1) visiting the Pittsburgh Steelers (10-5). Both teams have AFC Playoff positions locked up, and a win here locks up the top seed – and a bye – for the Chiefs. On the NFL Week 17 odds board, the Steelers are Pittsburgh Steelers 2 (-108) on BetRivers home underdogs with a total of 45 (-118) on BetRivers points. Let’s unwrap some SGP picks for this Christmas Day NFL slate.
Click any odds below to place a bet. You can also scan the best sportsbook promos from the best sports betting sites.
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2024 STRATEGY FOR NFL SGP PICKS
As always, when betting on NFL odds, be sure to shop around. But when dealing with SGPs, that importance magnifies. In our research for this season’s strategy, we sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps:
SGP machines offer lower payouts than the fair odds on correlated same-game parlays.
One example of an uncorrelated SGP that apps may have trouble pricing is a tailback with high red zone usage for potential touchdowns but low rushing volume overall for high-end yardage totals.
- Join TheLines.com’s free sports betting Discord — with over 5,200 community members and our staff sharing bets daily.
Smarter Same-Game Parlay: Chiefs at Steelers
We used DraftKings Sportsbook for these NFL SGP picks. However, I strongly recommend price shopping when building your SGPs. If you only have one or two sportsbook accounts, now is a great time to open more and lock in extra NFL promo codes as the postseason looms.
DK offers a no-sweat same-game parlay you can use this weekend for the SGP below, or any SGP you craft (3+ legs, min. -500 odds per leg, max. $10 bonus bet return). Opt into the promo by finding its banner in the promos section at the top of your app.
As a way of saying Happy Holidays, here’s a potential SGP to unwrap:
NFL SGP Picks for Chiefs AT Steelers: +600
- Steelers moneyline (+120)
- Travis Kelce Over 4.5 receptions (-130)
- Patrick Mahomes Over 15.5 rushing yards (-115)
The Chiefs need a win to secure the top seed in the AFC and the coveted bye. But they do have two chances at it; a win next week in Denver (a team that’s given Mahomes & Co. fits) also secures the bye. The Steelers also need a win here to maintain their standing in the AFC North. While a 34-17 loss at Baltimore complicated things, Pittsburgh could win out and clinch the division still.
At home, Pittsburgh is 5-1 on the season. Notably, the Steelers were without QB Russell Wilson in its lone loss (Week 5 vs. Dallas). They own home wins over the Chargers and Ravens and flipped the result of AFC North games against Baltimore and Cleveland in Acrisure Stadium. As a bonus to the offense, receiver George Pickens is expected to return.
On the other end, teams target the tight end with the seventh-most frequency against Pittsburgh. Part of that is out of necessity, as T.J. Watt often neutralizes longer-developing routes with his pass rush, forcing teams to turn to quick hitters. Kelce’s seen 8.4 targets per game since Thanksgiving. When the importance of the game rises, so does Kelce’s involvement. With a chance at the No. 1 seed up for grabs, expect Kelce to be a focal point.
Mahomes also appears to be moving fine. He picked up 15 yards on a single scamper in Week 16 and rushed for 16+ yards in three of his last five (nine times this year). Another response to Watt’s rush is that he likely tucks and runs a couple of times this game. Every time Mahomes rushed the ball 3+ times, he’s gained 16+ yards this year.
Chiefs At Steelers: spread, moneyline, total
Team injuries
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how to find NFL promos for same-game parlays
Most SGP promos require you to opt in to qualify for SGP promotional benefits. Currently, FanDuel Sportsbook offers a no-sweat SGP with certain qualifiers. Lose your SGP and get your stake back as bonus bets.
There are also profit boost offers at bet365, DraftKings, and Caesars. BetMGM offers SGP insurance tokens for bonus bets back if one leg loses.
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