NFL Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks: Picking Derrick Henry And Ravens Roll Over Texans?
This Christmas Day, get ready to unwrap your Netflix account as the NFL takes to the streaming site Wednesday. The second of two holiday matchups features the Baltimore Ravens (10-5) visiting the Houston Texans (9-6) with heavy AFC playoff implications. On the NFL Week 17 odds board, the Ravens are Baltimore Ravens -27.5 (-115) on DraftKings road favorites and the over/under sits at 33.5 (-112) on DraftKings points. In the season of giving, we’re giving you some SGP picks for this NFL Christmas Day slate.
Click any odds below to place a bet. You can also scan the best sportsbook promos from the best sports betting sites.
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2024 STRATEGY FOR NFL SGP PICKS
As always, when betting on NFL odds, be sure to shop around. But when dealing with SGPs, that importance magnifies. In our research for this season’s strategy, we sometimes found the same SGP at double the price vs. other betting apps:
SGP machines offer lower payouts than the fair odds on correlated same-game parlays.
One example of an uncorrelated SGP that apps may have trouble pricing is a tailback with high red zone usage for potential touchdowns but low rushing volume overall for high-end yardage totals.
- Join TheLines.com’s free sports betting Discord — with over 4,800 community members and our staff sharing bets daily.
Smarter Same-Game Parlay: Ravens at Texans
We used BetMGM Sportsbook for these NFL SGP picks. However, I strongly recommend price shopping when building your SGPs. If you only have one or two sportsbook accounts, now is a great time to open more and lock in extra NFL promo codes as the postseason looms.
NFL SGP Picks for Texans-Ravens: +525
- Derrick Henry 100+ rushing yards (+115)
- Lamar Jackson Under 29.5 pass attempts (-120)
- Texans under 17.5 team points (+170)
There’s strong correlation between the first two legs. As Henry receives more carries, Jackson throws the ball less. In wins this year, Jackson went over 29.5 pass attempts twice, coincidentally both times against Cincinnati.
And in a twist of expectation, against the NFL’s top rushing defenses, Henry thrives. Against five top-10 defenses behind the Ravens (No. 1) in success rate, Henry rushed for 128 yards per game, exceeding 100 yards three times. Compare that to his 99.6-yard average in nine games against teams outside the top 10 in success rate (100+ yards four times). Houston checks in eighth in rushing success rate.
The good news is that the Texans locked up the AFC South and are pretty rooted in their AFC Playoff standing. The bad news: Houston lost another offensive piece, this time Tank Dell, who suffered a frightening injury in Week 16. Home or away, the offense just hasn’t quite been there for the Texans of late. They mustered 20 against the Dolphins in Week 15 and 19 against the Chiefs last week. At this point, Houston’s looking to get to the postseason as healthy as possible.
Baltimore, on the other hand, needs to win out to secure the AFC North title. The Ravens kicked the door open last week with a 34-17 win over the Steelers, and Baltimore has the more favorable finishing stretch of the two teams (Texans, Browns while Steelers face Chiefs, Bengals). Under 17.5 team total for the Texans is a bet that this game gets a bit out of control with two teams in opposite trajectories.
Ravens At Texans: spread, moneyline, total
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how to find NFL promos for same-game parlays
Most SGP promos require you to opt in to qualify for SGP promotional benefits. Currently, FanDuel Sportsbook offers a no-sweat SGP with certain qualifiers. Lose your SGP and get your stake back as bonus bets.
There are also profit boost offers at bet365, DraftKings, and Caesars. BetMGM offers SGP insurance tokens for bonus bets back if one leg loses.
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