Same Game Parlay Strategies: Bills At Patriots Thursday Night Football

Written By Staff on November 30, 2022
Bills same game parlay

The Buffalo Bills visit the New England Patriots at 8:15 p.m. ET on Thursday, Dec. 1. The Bills Patriots spread has Buffalo as a favorite, while the total is set at . This article will go over Bills at Patriots same game parlay strategy, including general SGP pointers and game-specific picks.

TheLines.com football writers Mo Nuwwarah and Brett Gibbons will also offer their personal SGP strategies below.

Bills At Patriots betting odds

Bills At Patriots Game Parlay Promos

FanDuel Thursday Night No-Sweat SGP

FanDuel Sportsbook offers a risk-free same game parlay with their current SGP promo. To be eligible, you must place a three-leg or longer SGP of at least $1 paying out +400 or more, and if your parlay fails, FanDuel will refund it in free bets. Opt in under the promos section of the FD Sportsbook app.

DraftKings Sportsbook SGP Profit Boost

Simply go to the promos section on DraftKings Sportsbook to claim this bonus. Once you are there, click the opt-in button and your promotion will activate. All users get up to 100% profit boost token for a SGP with 3+ legs with a max wager of $50.

The minimum odds per leg are -300 or longer (-200, +300, etc). There is a minimum total SGP odds of +100 or longer (+200, +500, etc). The more legs you add, the higher percentage profit boost will be added.

Bills At Patriots Same Game Parlay Strategies

DraftKings SGP from Mo Nuwwarah

The Patriots have one of the most acclaimed and highly-rated defenses by advanced metrics. Football Outsiders’ DVOA had them in the top spot until that mess against the Vikings. They remain first by some margin in EPA/play.

I think a lot of that is built off the back of “running it up” versus weak quarterbacks. They pumped their stats up big-time in two games against Zach Wilson and another against Sam Ehlinger. While DVOA is opponent-adjusted, the Patriots have shown a repeatable ability to outperform expectations against young QBs, as Bill Belichick seems able to trick them with his devious schemes.

That wasn’t the case at all last season against Josh Allen. Outside of a Monday Night Football affair in comically harsh conditions, Allen eviscerated this defense, one that had a more talented secondary than this year’s version of the Pats. He averaged 311 yards in the other two meetings, firing 8 TDs and 0 INTs.

The market doesn’t seem to expect big things given he’s in a bit of slump. Injury related? Early money has moved the line down from Patriots +5 to Patriots +4 to even +3.5, and the total is fairly low as well. We can buy on an Allen bounce back here and some Bills points at a reduced price.

Additionally, Patriots QB Mac Jones has been pretty terrible this year before a huge game against the poor Vikings defense. Facing a top-rated Bills unit in potentially negative script, he may revert to making mistakes.

  • Bills ML
  • Bills over 27.5 points
  • J. Allen over 304.5 passing yards
  • M. Jones o0.5 INTs

This Bills same game parlay pays out +800 on DraftKings Sportsbook.

FanDuel SGP from Brett Gibbons

When it comes to piecing together same game parlays, it’s best practice to choose legs that correlate. Some outcomes increase the probability of other legs cashing and boosts your mathematical probability of cashing the entire parlay. For example, the Bills are 5-1 on the season when receiver Stefon Diggs reaches 100 receiving yards, with that sole loss being a fluky one to the Vikings in Week 10.

While pairing Bills -4 with under 23.5 team points offers a gaudy price, those two parts are inversely related. However, Stefon Diggs 90+ receiving yards (alt. line offered by FanDuel Sportsbook) implies offensive success, leading to a more likely Bills -4 cash. On top of that, if Diggs pulls in 90 or more receiving yards, his chances of scoring are also much higher. The third leg of this SGP could be Diggs anytime touchdown +120.

These three correlated legs satisfies FanDuel’s legs requirement while also offering a +491 price tag, satisfying the minimum odds requirement, too.

Bills At Patriots Player Props

Search for a player in our NFL Player Props Search tool below by typing their name into the search bar. To place a bet, click on the odds in the table.

Bills At Patriots Betting News & Angles

Patriots Vs. Bills Weather

This game will take place at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass. The current forecast as of Tuesday calls for clear skies, 36-degree temperatures, and a 10 mph wind.

Bills Offense Vs. Patriots Defense

Bills OffenseStats (Rank)Patriots Defense
28.2 (2)Points/Gm18.4 (6)
0.427 (3)Points/Play0.297 (8)
415.9 (2)Yards/Gm307.8 (4)
279.2 (3)Pass Yards/Gm198.5 (9)
136.7 (8)Rush Yards/Gm109.3 (9)
6.2 (2)Yards/Play5 (7)
7.4 (5)Yards/Pass6 (6)
5.3 (2)Yards/Rush4.2 (10)
50.78% (2)3rd Down %29.41% (3)
53.46% (19)Red Zone %51.52% (7)
1.7 (30)Turnovers/Game1.6 (5)
5.23% (8)Sack Rate9.3% (2)

Patriots Offense Vs. Bills Defense

Patriots OffenseStats (Rank)Bills Defense
21.7 (18)Points/Gm18.1 (5)
0.362 (14)Points/Play0.287 (5)
325.9 (21)Yards/Gm327.3 (12)
216.9 (19)Pass Yards/Gm221.6 (19)
109 (23)Rush Yards/Gm105.6 (7)
5.4 (17)Yards/Play5.2 (9)
7.2 (8)Yards/Pass6.3 (10)
4 (26)Yards/Rush4.2 (9)
37.14% (25)3rd Down %40% (219
38.71% (31)Red Zone %48.57% (4)
1.5 (28)Turnovers/Game1.8 (2)
8.54% (26)Sack Rate7.16% (13)

Good luck with your Bills at Patriots same game parlay!


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