NFL Same Game Parlay Strategy: Cowboys vs. Buccaneers MNF Picks

Written By Eli Hershkovich on January 16, 2023
NFL Same Game Parlay

As you’re handicapping Wild Card odds, let’s dissect my NFL same game parlay for Buccaneers at Cowboys. If you’re unfamiliar with this type of wager, it allows bettors place multiple bets from the same game into one single parlay.

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Cowboys at Buccaneers: NFL Same Game Parlay

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Leg 1: Target Dallas’ Offense?

Bettors have been wagering on Dak Prescott — just not in a positive light. Over at Caesars Sportsbook, 11 times more money has been placed on Prescott over interceptions than over passing yards, passing touchdowns, and rushing yards combined.

Mind you, the eight-year veteran dialed up a league-high 15 interceptions this season. Nevertheless, he’ll face a Bucs defense that is much stingier against the run, especially with Vita Vea and Akiem Hicks back in the lineup.

Moreover, their unit ranks No. 28 in Football Outsiders’ variance category. This category weighs a defense’s game-to-game consistency as judged by total DVOA rating for each game. The mistake-prone Prescott could certainly generate another dud, but his productivity also shouldn’t be ignored.

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Since Week 10, Prescott has notched the 10th-ranked Dropback EPA. There’s a reasonable chance that he and the Cowboys’ explosive passing game takes advantage of an inconsistent secondary.

Couple that with the Dallas’ top-rated red zone efficiency versus Tampa Bay’s bottom-10 proficiency in that department. Therefore, I’ll take Prescott over passing TDs () as the first leg in my NFL same game parlay.

Leg 2: Which Cowboys Pass Catcher Benefits?

Prescott will look towards Ceedee Lamb, his favorite target, often. But the Buccaneers have most notably struggled to cover tight ends, surrendering the the 13th-most receiving yards and nine touchdowns this season. Considering Dalton Schultz’s low receiving yards prop (), it appears to be a valuable number.

This NFL same game parlays is +180 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Check the odds though at FanDuel Sportsbook and BetMGM as well, as SGP prices can vary greatly. Good luck with the rest of your Wild Card Weekend wagers.

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