NFL Same Game Parlay Strategy: Cowboys vs. 49ers Divisional Picks

Written By Evan Scrimshaw on January 22, 2023
nfl same game parlay

With the NFL Playoffs edging closer to Super Bowl 57, a lot of bettors are going to want to get in on the action for the final game of the weekend. With two of America’s most popular teams and the closest thing to a primetime slot, a lot of bets will be made, including a lot of NFL same game parlay options.

While SGPs can be good fun, they can also be profitable, especially if you properly understand how to correlate them to create +EV bets. For a full betting guide for this game, read our Cowboys vs. 49ers preview, which includes injury reports, weather and offense vs. defense stats.

How To Bet On Cowboys vs. 49ers Odds

NFL Same Game Parlay Strategy

The Niners are over a field goal favorites in Divisional Playoff odds, they’re likely to be playing from neutral or positive game scripts in this game. Accordingly, they’re likely to be more run heavy, while the Cowboys easily could find themselves having to throw more.

Leg 1: 49ers Moneyline

The Niners are top six in Offense and Defense by both DVOA and PFF grades. They also boast a top-two defense by both metrics, and they have been the best team in football the last two months of the season.

With an offense that has put up 30+ points in all but one game of the Purdy era and a defense that can stifle anyone, they should win this game, and even potentially handily, against a Cowboys team that has looked good precisely once in recent memory.

Leg 2: Christian McCaffrey Over Rushing Yards

At an Over price of yards, McCaffrey’s average of 93 yards in the games Purdy has started clears the total easily, and in an expected run-heavy script, there’s little reason to think that will change. Throw in that the Cowboys are below average in yards per rush, and CMC should find his way to this Over.

Leg 3: Tony Pollard Under Rushing Yards

On the other side of the ball, Tony Pollard’s rushing total is inflated compared to what it should be. His Over/Under sits at / . Having gone under 49.5 in three of the final four weeks of the regular season, Pollard did pop last week in the Wild Card round. However, that was against a bad Bucs team. The Niners give up the fewest yards per game to RBs, and if San Francisco gets ahead, it’ll be a lot more passes to RBs than rushes.

Leg 4: George Kittle Under Receiving Yards

Lastly, George Kittle didn’t get the offensive share some were expecting this week, especially with the return of Deebo Samuel to a full, consistent workload. Kittle has been either mediocre or amazing this season, and with the way Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo are playing, it’s hard to see the case for Kittle getting much, especially in a run heavy script. Therefore, we’re going to bet him Under 64.5 yards. His odds sit at Over/Under /

These four plays combined come to +580 on FanDuel Sportsbook, creating a solidly correlated SGP at good odds for bettors that should also meet requirements for sportsbook NFL same game parlay promos below.

NFL Same Game Parlay Promos

FanDuel Sportsbook

FanDuel is offering a No Sweat Same Game Parlay. Opt in under the promos section on the sportsbook app and place a 3+ leg SGP or SGP+ with cash on any NFL divisional round game(s). If your bet loses, get up to $5 in bonus bets back. So take a shot and bet $5 on a Jaguars or Chiefs same game parlay, knowing you have those bonus bets in your back pocket.

This is the SGP promo we would recommend most this weekend, as it carries the least risk.

BetMGM One Game Parlay Insurance

Opt in under Promos on the BetMGM app, place a football One Game Parlay wager with four legs or more, and if one leg misses, get up to $25 back in bet credits.

DraftKings Sportsbook Stepped Up SGP

Opt-in under the Promos tab on the DK Sportsbook app and receive four Stepped Up tokens for NFL same game parlays, one for each divisional round game. Tokens can be used on cash pre-game 3+ leg NFL SGPs. The boost depends on how many legs your SGP has:3 legs: 20%

  • 4 legs: 25%
  • 5 legs: 30%
  • 6 legs: 40%
  • 7 legs: 50%
  • 8 legs: 65%
  • 9 legs: 80%
  • 10 legs: 100%
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