NFL Rookie Of The Year Odds: Texans QB CJ Stroud Stretches Lead

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Written By Evan Scrimshaw | Last Updated
nfl rookie of the year

Week 6 of the NFL season saw further consolidation of NFL Rookie of the Year odds at betting sites, with Texans QB CJ Stroud gaining steam and others falling off. With Anthony Richardson potentially out for the season and Bryce Young continuing to struggle, this race needs a serious shakeup if it’s not gonna be Stroud’s.

Unfortunately, this week is a bit of a quiet week for the Rookie of the Year markets. With both Houston and Carolina on bye, only Bijan Robinson and Puka Nacua have a chance to show out. However, there is one piece of news this week that could shake up the markets.

NFL Rookie of the Year Odds

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Rookie of the Year Odds: Week 6 Takeaways

While injuries have knocked out two people who could have plausibly contended for this race, another injury might have made it slightly more interesting. Let’s be clear – if Stroud plays the rest of the season healthy, he’ll win the award. He has made the Texans competent, even if they’re not spectacular, and for what was a joke of a franchise, stability and competence is a major victory.

Stroud wasn’t incredible last week, but he’s still been good. He’s still averaging 7.8 yards per attempt. He’s seventh in the NFL by Dropback EPA, and even with his low completion percentage, he’s 16th in Success Rate. When he completes the ball, it’s going for a valuable play, much better for winning games than QBs who never try to move the ball downfield.

Puka Nacua saw the decline that’s been expected with Cooper Kupp back in Week 6, and Bijan Robinson getting 80 scrimmage yards in another losing effort won’t keep him in the race. Unless either of them seriously picks up the pace – which Nacua likely can’t because of Kupp – this race will be Stroud’s.

Bijan Robinson would be aided by a potential switch at QB in Atlanta, as part of why he can’t get anywhere on the ground is Desmond Ridder’s incompetence. But with Arthur Smith insistent on Ridder, Robinson seems unlikely to have open running lanes soon.

Enter Titans QB Will Levis ()?

The one potentially interesting part of this market is in Tennessee. Again, Offensive Rookie of the Year is Stroud’s to lose. Nobody is disputing that. But we could be on track to see a fourth rookie QB this season if Ryan Tannehill is hurt badly enough that they go to Will Levis.

This Titans team is a mess, and at some point, Tennessee will need to decide if getting Levis some game time will be necessary. It’s doubtful that Levis will be good enough to contend against Stroud earnestly, but if Levis is handed the starting reigns going into Week 8 and Stroud misses some time, there’s some intrigue.

Beyond Levis replicating 2001 Tom Brady, however, there’s little intrigue left in this race.

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Offensive Rookie Of The Year Rankings

This Rookie of the Year ballot is not a predictive exercise. This is where they’d be right now, not where I think they will be at the end of the season. Given the injuries to Achane and Richardson, this list will certainly not reflect thinking later on in the year.

  1. Texans QB CJ Stroud
  2. Rams WR Puka Nacua
  3. Colts QB Anthony Richardson (injured)
  4. Falcons RB Bijan Robinson
  5. Dolphins RB DeVon Achane (injured)

NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Odds

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