The NFL offseason is a time for rumors, speculation, and fans talking themselves in and out of dozens of scenarios. For some fan bases, the excitement of arguing who should be the starting quarterback might be more captivating than watching whoever wins the job. Some of the top sportsbooks offer NFL QB competition odds.
Three big operators have established odds on who will break the huddle Week 1, with four sets of NFL QB competition odds available per site.
Let’s dive into the scenarios and prices for each.
NFL QB competition odds: New England Patriots
2020 was the first season in 20 years Bill Belichick finished with a sub-.500 record. It’s no secret it was also his first season since 2000 without Tom Brady didn’t start at least one game for him. It was also the lowest offensive rating (-4.2) of any Belichick-coached team in his two-plus decades running NFL franchises, per Pro Football Reference.
With injuries and inconsistent play from Cam Newton, Belichick did something that he’s never done in New England: draft a QB in the first round. College Football Playoff champ Mac Jones went to the Pats 15th overall.
NFL QB competition odds: New Orleans Saints
Another team potentially attempting to replace a surefire Hall of Fame QB with a former first-round pick is the Saints. Drew Brees announced his retirement after the 2020 season, leaving the franchise he led to a Super Bowl with a major question at the position.
Last offseason, the Saints took a flyer on former division rival Jameis Winston, displaced from his job in Tampa Bay by Tom Brady. He is reportedly the frontrunner to replace Brees in 2021. Winston came in when Brees was injured but did not win the starting job in subsequent weeks. He didn’t start a single game in 2020.
That opportunity went to Taysom Hill, who has also been effective in wildcat formations as a runner and as a pass catcher. In four starts last year, Hill completed more than 73% of his passes three times, albeit against the Falcons twice, the worst passing defense in the league in 2020 in passing yards allowed.
NFL QB competition odds: San Francisco 49ers
The last team priced by all three books had a big question mark entering the draft last month. Who is the third overall pick? The team answered it with Trey Lance.
Just remember we are about 15 months removed from when Jimmy Garoppolo led the Niners to the Super Bowl. The team has a potent offense on the ground and in the air. However, it appears the team has lost confidence with the QB who lost a Super Bowl. It’s not a question of if Lance will replace Jimmy G but when.
Garoppolo remains the heavy favorite to start Week 1 heading into camp. He might be the safest bet on the board as Lance adapts to the NFL from FCS play following a COVID-shortened 2020 campaign. He literally only played one game in last season at North Dakota State.
Josh Rosen has also landed in the Bay Area, along with former Eagles QB Nate Sudfeld.
NFL QB competition odds: Chicago Bears
Despite making the 2020 playoffs as the inaugural seventh seed, the Bears let starting QB Mitch Trubisky leave. Their former third-overall pick will likely hold a clipboard in Buffalo next year, leaving fans to debate who should take over under center.
The team brought in veteran Andy Dalton from Dallas before trading up nine spots to get Justin Fields at pick 11 in the draft. Trading a future first-round pick to the Giants suggests Fields will get a long look in offseason preparation; although, head coach Matt Nagy has suggested Fields will back up Dalton early. The odds continue to move in Dalton’s direction since open.
The team still has former Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles as well.
NFL QB competition odds: Denver Broncos
FanDuel is the only major book currently taking action on the most intriguing possibility of the offseason: Will Aaron Rodgers get traded by the Packers? The 2020 MVP reportedly wanted out of Wisconsin during the NFL Draft and has Denver as his most likely landing spot in the odds if traded.
The Broncos have seen Drew Lock get more experience but remain uncertain he is the guy. Teddy Bridgewater came to town via trade after losing his spot in Carolina to Sam Darnold. Brett Rypien also got some snaps last season.