NFL Power Rankings: Discrepancy With Packers Vs. Bears Week 1 Odds

, ,
Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated
NFL Power Rankings

With NFL Week 1 odds underway, there are a handful of slight differences between the betting market and TheLines’ NFL power rankings. For reference, these ratings are designed to evaluate a team’s outlook on a week-by-week basis. The ranks are a composite of 10 staff members — in the order of which team they would have favored on a neutral field this week. The biggest contrast between these Week 1 NFL power rankings and the board involves Packers odds and Bears odds.

Click any betting odds below to place a wager at the best sports betting sites. These prices are the best available in your state.

Week 1 NFL power rankings: packers at bears

Despite moving on from four-time MVP Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay is perched seven spots higher than Chicago in TheLines’ Week 1 NFL power rankings. For context, the Packers slot in at No. 19 while the Bears rank No. 26 — ahead of only the Panthers, Bucs, Rams, Texans, Colts, and Cardinals.

But according to the betting market, this NFC North divisional affair would be priced as a pick’em on a neutral field. Keep in mind that home-field advantage projects to be worth roughly 1.4 points to the spread in 2022. This estimate takes into account the rolling average from recent seasons.

Therefore, TheLines is a bit higher on Green Bay than the current state of the market. Earlier in the week, this line swung more in Green Bay’s direction. It actually shrunk to as low as a pick’em at a pair of sportsbooks. Nevertheless, Packers wide receiver Christian Watson was ruled out Friday, shifting the spread back to a consensus of Bears -1.5. For bettors eyeing a wager on Chicago, the best number available is currently .

Even if Jordan Love struggles without his top target, the Packers should find success on the ground. The Bears let up the fifth-most EPA per carry last season. Although the addition of linebacker T.J. Edwards and defensive tackle Andrew Billings will help rectify this concern, Green Bay tailbacks Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon are still set up to exploit it.

Sign up for’s free Discord channel, and you can receive instant notifications when our staff members place a wager. There, you’ll find NFL Week 1 best bets, my entire futures portfolio, and even some action on this game. The best price on Packers’ moneyline odds is .

FREE Politics Pick’em Contest! Make your picks in our elections game and compete for $25 in prizes.

You can subscribe to the audio-only version of the show on AppleSpotify, or wherever you find your favorite podcasts.

nfl betting promos

If you’re in a state with legal sports wagering, TheLines has you covered with the best sportsbook promo codes. Just click on any of the following promos and bonus codes to get started.

UP TO $1,000
In Bonus Bets
First Bet Safety Net up to $1,000, or Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets
Sign Up, Deposit and Play Today in VA!
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Use Bonus Code: THELINESVA
up to $1,500
In Bonus Bets
Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn’t Win*
*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Use Bonus Code: THELINES
$1,000 FIRST BET
On Caesars
Up to $1,000 Back as a Bonus Bet if Your Bet Loses
Stream NFL Games In-App for Free
21+ Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Use Promo Code: THELINES1000
Bet $5
Get $150
Win or Lose
Bet $5 Get $150 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose
Available on Desktop, Android & iOS
To Claim: Click Play Now
Up to $100
Bonus Bet
Up to $100 Back if Your First Bet Doesn’t Win
Get Your Bets Boosted
To Claim: Click Play Now
$500 BONUS
2nd Chance Bet
Up To $500 in Bet Credits
ONLY 1x Play Through!
Use Exclusive Bonus Code: LINESRIV

21+ at most sportsbooks; gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER