NFL Power Rankings: Discrepancy With Packers Vs. Bears Week 1 Odds

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Written By Eli Hershkovich on September 9, 2023
Week 1 NFL Power Rankings

With NFL Week 1 odds underway, there are a handful of slight differences between the betting market and TheLines’ NFL power rankings. For reference, these ratings are designed to evaluate a team’s outlook on a week-by-week basis. The ranks are a composite of 10 staff members — in the order of which team they would have favored on a neutral field this week. The biggest contrast between these Week 1 NFL power rankings and the board involves Packers odds and Bears odds.

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Week 1 NFL power rankings: packers at bears

Despite moving on from four-time MVP Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay is perched seven spots higher than Chicago in TheLines’ Week 1 NFL power rankings. For context, the Packers slot in at No. 19 while the Bears rank No. 26 — ahead of only the Panthers, Bucs, Rams, Texans, Colts, and Cardinals.

But according to the betting market, this NFC North divisional affair would be priced as a pick’em on a neutral field. Keep in mind that home-field advantage projects to be worth roughly 1.4 points to the spread in 2022. This estimate takes into account the rolling average from recent seasons.

Therefore, TheLines is a bit higher on Green Bay than the current state of the market. Earlier in the week, this line swung more in Green Bay’s direction. It actually shrunk to as low as a pick’em at a pair of sportsbooks. Nevertheless, Packers wide receiver Christian Watson was ruled out Friday, shifting the spread back to a consensus of Bears -1.5. For bettors eyeing a wager on Chicago, the best number available is currently .

Even if Jordan Love struggles without his top target, the Packers should find success on the ground. The Bears let up the fifth-most EPA per carry last season. Although the addition of linebacker T.J. Edwards and defensive tackle Andrew Billings will help rectify this concern, Green Bay tailbacks Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon are still set up to exploit it.

Sign up for’s free Discord channel, and you can receive instant notifications when our staff members place a wager. There, you’ll find NFL Week 1 best bets, my entire futures portfolio, and even some action on this game. The best price on Packers’ moneyline odds is .

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