NFL Wild Card Opening Odds: Miami Dolphins At Buffalo Bills

Written By Brett Gibbons on January 8, 2023

The Buffalo Bills (13-3) host the Miami Dolphins (9-8) in the AFC Wild Card Round on Sunday, Jan. 15 at 1:00 p.m. ET at Highmark Stadium. The Bills won their third-straight AFC East title, but have not made the AFC Championship Game since 2020. The Bills opened as a -10 (-110) favorite at FanDuel Sportsbook and the Dolphins opened +380 on the money line. Find Dolphins at Bills Wild Card opening odds below.

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NFL Wild Card Opening Odds: Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills

Place a bet on Wild Card opening odds by clicking on the odds in the table below. Toggle between point spread, money line, and point total in the listed tabs.

Point Spread
Money Line

Game
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
Dolphins
Bet now
+10
Bills
Bet now
-10

Game
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
Dolphins
Bet now
+380
Bills
Bet now
-490

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How The Bills Got Here

We all know about the circumstances surrounding why the Bills locked up the second overall seed in the AFC Playoffs. They managed to take care of business against the Patriots in Week 18 to finish the year 13-3. It’s Buffalo’s fourth-straight 10-win season after they failed to do so since 1999. Josh Allen remains in NFL MVP consideration (), though the award appears to be Patrick Mahomes’ to lose.

The Bills entered Week 18 fourth in the NFL in scoring (28 points per game) and third in yards per play (6.2). Defensively, the Bills capped opposing explosiveness despite facing a cast of offenses that included the Chiefs, Dolphins twice, and Vikings. Their EPA per play was sixth-best and the defense forced the seventh-most turnovers in the NFL despite playing one fewer game.

The issue came in taking care of the football on offense. Allen threw 14 interceptions on the season– down from 2021, but still the fourth-most in the league. As a result, Buffalo’s turnover differential finished evenly (0).

Regardless, the Bills are among Super Bowl favorites ().

How The Dolphins Got Here

A hot 8-3 start– including an 8-0 record with a healthy Tua Tagovailoa in the lineup– turned into five straight losses and a Week 18 battle for playoff contention. Tagovailoa missed the game with another concussion, putting the team in the hands of Skylar Thompson. Defense led the way en route to an 11-6 win over the lifeless Jets at home.

With Tagovailoa, the Dolphins feature one of the NFL’s premiere passing games. Tyreek Hill finished the season with over 1,700 receiving yards while counterpart Jaylen Waddle finished with 1,350 of his own. On the entire season, the passing attack still finished eighth in EPA per dropback and Tagovailoa finished atop the league in QB rating.

However, it did take a bit of intervention from the Bills for the Dolphins to make the playoffs. Sure enough, the two are slated for their third meeting of the year. The Dolphins split the series 1-1, with both games finishing within a field goal.

NFL Playoffs Begin Jan. 15 With Super Wild Card Weekend

The Kansas City Chiefs secured the AFC’s top overall playoff seed Saturday with their win over the Raiders. Patrick Mahomes & Co. get the coveted bye week for the Wild Card Round. The bye also fortifies their position as the Super Bowl odds favorites. On the other side, the Philadelphia Eagles locked up the NFC’s top overall seed. Led by NFL MVP contender Jalen Hurts, the Eagles also get an extra week’s rest and await winners of the Wild Card Round.

Aside from this game, the Cincinnati Bengals take on the Baltimore Ravens and the AFC South-champion Jacksonville Jaguars face the Los Angeles Chargers in the AFC Playoffs. The San Francisco 49ers play either the Packers or Seahawks, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers face the Dallas Cowboys, and the Minnesota Vikings host the New York Giants on the NFC side.

Super Wild Card weekend begins Jan. 15 with the Seahawks at 49ers. Follow along with TheLines for NFL Playoff odds and coverage.

Brett Gibbons Avatar
Written by
Brett Gibbons

Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. He’s a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. He’s also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career.

View all posts by Brett Gibbons