NFL Divisional Opening Odds: Jacksonville Jaguars At Kansas City Chiefs

Written By Brett Gibbons on January 15, 2023
Jaguars Chiefs odds

The Kansas City Chiefs (14-3) host the Jacksonville Jaguars (10-8) in the AFC Divisional Round Round at Arrowhead Stadium on Saturday, Jan. 21 at 4:30 p.m. ET. The Chiefs come off the coveted bye week while the Jaguars completed a thrilling comeback over the Chargers in the Wild Card Round. KC won the first matchup this season 27-17 at home back in November. The Chiefs opened as -8.5 favorites at FanDuel Sportsbook and the Jaguars opened at +310 on the money line. Find Jaguars at Chiefs AFC Divisional opening odds below.

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NFL Divisional Opening Odds: Jaguars At Chiefs

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How The Chiefs Got Here

Stop us if you’ve heard this one before: Patrick Mahomes put together an MVP season. Currently a heavy odds-on favorite, Mahomes looks to secure his second MVP award this year. In conjunction with his other-worldly play and securing the AFC’s top seed, the Chiefs are also Super Bowl 57 odds favorites.

The Chiefs system, orchestrated by Andy Reid and Eric Bienemy, continues to thrive without an all-star cast. Tyreek Hill exited in the offseason, but Mahomes still managed 5,250 passing yards in the regular season, just shy of the NFL record. Role players like Jerick McKinnon and Marquez Valdes-Scantling became invaluable pass catchers late in the season. The passing attack is still anchored by Travis Kelce, though.

KC pulled a favorable draw, as well, avoiding both the Bengals and Bills before the AFC Championship round (and only having to play one of them).

Their 14 wins this year extends the Chiefs’ 10+ win season streak to eight– fourth-most ever and one shy of third. Despite a pair of quarterbacks during that streak, the Chiefs look to enter the dynasty conversation with a second Super Bowl win in the last four seasons.

How The Jaguars Got Here

Trevor Lawrence turned around one of the most disastrous halves in NFL Playoff history to mount a 27-0 comeback over the Chargers in the AFC Wild Card round. He threw four first-half interceptions– including three to Asante Samuel Jr.– and completed just five passes. However, a different quarterback walked out of the gates at halftime, throwing three second-half touchdowns to no interceptions.

Lawrence and the offense completed the comeback, but the defense made it possible. After allowing 17 first-quarter points (note: mostly on short fields off turnovers), the defense held the Chargers to just three total second-half points.

Riley Patterson hit a short walk-off field goal to complete the comeback, 31-30.

The Jaguars continue to defy expectations and the odds.Back-to-back miracles got them to this point. However, in Arrowhead against a much more disciplined Chiefs team, the Jaguars cannot afford to fall behind four scores again.

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Brett Gibbons Avatar
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Brett Gibbons

Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. He’s a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. He’s also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career.

View all posts by Brett Gibbons