NFL Week 16 Playoff Picture With Best Available Sportsbook Futures

Written By FairwayJay on December 22, 2021
nfl playoff picture

As the regular season winds down, there is still much to be decided in the NFL playoff picture. The NFL playoff odds are far from settled, and the Green Bay Packers are the only team to clinch a playoff spot heading into Week 16 odds and matchups.

Here is the playoff picture and NFL playoff odds for the AFC and NFC along with where teams stand and clinching scenarios with tiebreakers likely coming into play. Seven teams from each conference make the playoffs, with the top-four seeds reserved for division winners.

Below are the best available odds for each team in futures markets across legal U.S. sportsbooks tracked by TheLines. Click on them to bet now on Super Bowl odds, division futures and odds to make the playoffs.

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NFL Playoff Odds: AFC

1. Kansas City Chiefs (10-4)

Remaining schedule: Steelers, at Bengals, at Broncos

The Chiefs late comeback and overtime win over the Chargers was their seventh straight win and moved them two games clear of Los Angeles in the AFC West. A Week 16 home win over the Steelers combined with a Chargers loss at Houston would secure Kansas City’s sixth straight AFC West title.

2. New England Patriots (9-5)

Remaining schedule: Bills, Jaguars, at Dolphins

The Patriots fell to the No. 2 seed following a Week 15 loss to the Indianapolis Colts. That snapped New England’s seven-game win streak. But a home win over the Buffalo Bills in Week 16 combined with a Miami loss at New Orleans on Monday Night Football secures the AFC East title for the Patriots. A Bills win over the Patriots makes them tied on top of the AFC East with Buffalo holding a tiebreaker via a better current division record.

3. Tennessee Titans (9-5)

Remaining schedule: 49ers, Dolphins, at Texans

The Titans dominated the stat sheet including 201 rushing yards and 39 minutes of ball possession, but four turnovers proved costly in a Week 15 loss at Pittsburgh. It kept the Titans from being the No. 1 seed heading into Week 16. Tennessee can clinch the AFC South in Week 16 with a home win over the 49ers combined with a Colts road loss to the Cardinals.

4. Cincinnati Bengals (8-6)

Remaining schedule: Ravens, Chiefs, at Browns

The Bengals not only earned a big road win at Denver in Week 15, but moved to the top of the AFC North following the Ravens home loss to the Packers. The Bengals were picked to finish last in the AFC North, and Cincinnati has sailed over their season win total of 6.5. Cincinnati goes for the season sweep over Baltimore in a key Week 16 game with the winner in sole possession of first place.

5. Indianapolis Colts (8-6)

Remaining schedule: at Cardinals, Raiders, at Jaguars

The Colts are riding the NFL’s leading rusher Jonathan Taylor to pay dirt and the playoffs. Taylor is clearly an MVP candidate in a season where quarterbacks have underwhelmed at times. Indianapolis loses division tiebreakers to Tennessee since they lost both games to the Titans.

6. Los Angeles Chargers (8-6)

Remaining schedule: at Texans, Broncos, at Raiders

The Chargers blew their chance to win the AFC West with a Week 15 overtime loss to the Chiefs. But the Bolts are still a strong play to make the playoffs (), and have a better conference record than the Bills and Ravens.

7. Buffalo Bills (8-6)

Remaining schedule: at Patriots, Falcons, Jets

The Bills are a underdog in Week 16 at New England in a key AFC East showdown for first place. Buffalo currently holds the division record tie-breaker over the Patriots, and common-games tiebreaker over Baltimore for the seventh and final wild card spot. A loss at New England drops the Bills chances of making the playoffs significantly, but a favorable schedule in the final two weeks provides more hope.

In The Hunt: Baltimore Ravens (8-6)

Remaining schedule: at Bengals, Rams, Steelers

The Ravens have lost three straight games by a combined four points, including a pair in the closing seconds as they went for two-point conversions and failed. What looked like a near certain division title now has the birds flying south and on the outside looking in at the playoffs. The Ravens battle the Bengals at Cincinnati in a huge Week 16 division match-up with first place on the line and the Ravens hoping to get QB Lamar Jackson (ankle) back to start.

In The Hunt: Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6-1)

Remaining Schedule: at Chiefs, vs. Browns, at Ravens

The Steelers chances of making the playoffs are slim (), and those odds will drop further following a Week 16 loss to the Chiefs. The Steelers still have division games remaining against the Browns and Ravens. Don’t waste any futures bets on the Steelers at this stage of the season. Four teams remain in the playoff picture with 7-7 records, but the odds are stacked against the Raiders, Dolphins, Browns and Broncos.

NFL Playoff Odds:

1. Green Bay Packers (11-3)

Remaining schedule: Browns, Vikings, at Lions

The Packers are in position to earn the NFC’s No. 1 seed for the second straight season at odds of . Green Bay is the only undefeated team at home ahead of games against the Browns and Vikings. The Packers are also the only NFC team to repeat as division champs in 2021 with reigning NFL MVP Aaron Rodgers currently the favorite to win MVP.

2. Dallas Cowboys (10-4)

Remaining schedule: WFT, Cardinals, at Eagles

The Cowboys moved up to the No. 2 spot in the NFL playoff picture heading into a Week 16 match-up versus rival Washington. Dallas could be resting starters by Week 18 with the Cowboys a longshot to gain the No. 1 seed. The Cowboys are 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS against NFC teams this season.

3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-4)

Remaining schedule: at Panthers, at Jets, Panthers

A very bad shutout loss by the Buccaneers in Week 15 to the Saints has dropped the defending Super Bowl champs odds of earning the No. 1 seed (). Tampa Bay can clinch the AFC South with a win in Week 16.

4. Arizona Cardinals (10-4)

Remaining schedule: Colts, at Cowboys, Seahawks

The Cardinals have lost two straight games to fall from the top spot in the NFC. Arizona is now tied with the Rams atop the NFC West, but the Cardinals do hold the tiebreaker edge with a better division record after splitting the season series.

5. Los Angeles Rams (10-4)

Remaining schedule: at Vikings, at Ravens, 49ers

The Rams have won three straight games, which followed three straight losses. A Week 16 game at Minnesota is key for both teams and the Rams can still win the division but play three current playoff teams to close the regular season.

6. San Francisco 49ers (8-6)

Remaining schedule: at Titans, Texans, at Rams

The rugged NFC West has three teams in position to make the playoffs with the 49ers quietly moving up having won five of their last six games. The Week 16 road game at Tennessee is significant for both teams playoff positioning, and the 49ers odds to make the playoffs are still with a head-to-head win over the Vikings.

7. Minnesota Vikings (7-7)

Remaining schedule: Rams, at Packers, Bears

The Vikings now control their playoff destiny with their MNF win over the Bears. Minnesota has blown so many leads and games this season against playoff teams, and the Vikings still have two very tough games remaining. The Vikings hold the common games tiebreaker over the Eagles.

In The Hunt: Philadelphia Eagles (7-7)

Remaining schedule: Giants, at WFT, Cowboys

The Eagles are to make the playoffs, which is better than the Vikings (). The Eagles remaining schedule is more favorable.

In The Hunt: New Orleans Saints (7-7)

Remaining schedule: vs. Dolphins, vs. Panthers, at Falcons

The Saints were given little chance to beat the Buccaneers in Tampa, but New Orleans pulled off the upset in Week 15 to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Saints can squeeze into the playoffs over the Vikings if their only loss in the final three weeks is against the Dolphins in Week 16 and the Vikings’ only loss comes in Green Bay in Week 17. New Orleans would win the fifth tiebreaker on strength of victory.

In The Hunt: Washington Football Team (6-8)

Remaining schedule: at Cowboys, vs. Eagles, at Giants

The Washington Football Team has lost two straight division games, and now has the rematches with Dallas and Philadelphia ahead before a final week road game against the Giants. The Football Team’s NFL playoff picture is fading, with odds to make it at .

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FairwayJay is a leading national sports and gaming analyst and is recognized as one of the sports industry's most insightful professionals. Jay has pursued his passions and maintained a pulse on the sports, gaming and poker industries while living in Las Vegas for nearly two decades. He's been a regular featured guest on sports and gaming radio shows, podcasts and produces sports betting and related industry articles and content for various sites and sources.

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