A lot rides on Week 14 of the NFL season. Division and playoff races are in full swing, teams are making a last-second push, and others are falling out of competition. The Buccaneers and Vikings are battling to stay in the playoff picture, with Tampa being the NFC’s current sixth seed and Minnesota sitting in the final seventh spot. The Cardinals’ playoff hopes are on the line against the Giants, who are clinging to first place in the dreary NFC East.
The Colts and Raiders square up with the AFC’s seventh seed on the line, with Indianapolis currently holding the spot. The Dolphins may have the toughest route to stay alive in the playoffs (currently the sixth seed) and they begin that stretch with the Chiefs this week. Denver and Houston are on the brink of elimination– a loss will remove them from the race.
Let’s take a look at some of the best individual matchups of this pivotal week.
Week 14 prop tool
What is the player props search tool?
The player props search tool was built to make everyone’s life easier, and we didn’t try to hide its purpose in the name. TheLines now provides one-stop shop that gathers odds from a dozen sportsbooks and puts them in one place. Besides cutting minutes off your search by putting DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, BetMGM, and others right in front of you; the search tool also shows you dozens of prop bets for the individual player.
Advice oft-repeated at TheLines is to shop around when placing bets. Just because Fox Bet offers certain odds doesn’t mean another sportsbook won’t offer better odds. For example, BetMGM offers the over/under on Aaron Rodgers’ passing yards Sunday against the Lions at 286.5. However, FanDuel Sportsbook offers the same prop at over/under 280.5. That six yard discrepancy might not seem like much, but it’s solid insurance against a bad beat and maximizes your win probability.
Similarly, two sportsbooks may offer the same prop, but at different odds. For example, Justin Herbert’s season-long odds to win Rookie of the Year lands at -260 at FanDuel Sportsbook. However, DraftKings Sportsbook lists his OROY odds at -835. A $100 bet at FanDuel would pay out $38.46 (plus the initial $100 bet), but the same $100 wager placed at DK would pay out $11.98– roughly a $27 difference (plus the initial $100 bet).
The player props search tool is made to maximize winnings and minimize time flipping through windows and tabs.
How to use the player props tool
The search tool (above) is incredibly easy to use; simply type in a player’s name (ex. T.J. Watt) and your state of residence. Hit enter and that’s it.
From there, you’ll find a list of different props at different odds and at different sportsbooks. There’s even links to the books, so you won’t have to open a new window and re-find those odds. No need to worry about outdated odds, either– the tool is linked to live odds and is ever-changing.
Matchups to watch
Patrick Mahomes vs Josh Boyer
No one blitzes more this season than Josh Boyer’s Miami Dolphins defense; even notorious blitz-happy coordinators like Gregg Williams and Todd Bowles don’t dial up more heat than Boyer. The Dolphins have been successful at it, too– they’re 10th in pressure rate, 10th in sacks, and fourth in the NFL in EPA per play (-0.051). They’re also third in opposing passer rating.
Enter Patrick Mahomes. Since becoming a starting quarterback in 2018, Mahomes leads the NFL in passer rating against the blitz and has a higher rating against the blitz than not. Will Boyer stick to his guns in this game knowing Mahomes shreds defenses that blitz? There’s not exactly a book on how to stop Mahomes. The Chiefs were held under 20 points just once with Mahomes at the helm– a game which he threw for 321 yards against the Colts last season.
At this point, coaches will try anything to put the breaks on Kansas City. What Boyer dials up will be fun to watch.
David Montgomery vs Texans’ front
Chicago has been abysmal running the football this season; through Week 11, they sat last in the NFL in rush yards per game. Over the past two games, David Montgomery found his step, picking up 175 yards and three total touchdowns and that pushed the Bears one spot up to 31st in rush yards per game. It’s been tough sledding for Montgomery behind the Bears’ offensive line– he’s third to last among qualifying running backs at 1.5 average yards before contact.
Luckily for Montgomery, his momentum could continue rolling against the Texans this week. Houston sits 26th in rush defense DVOA, 31st in yards per carry allowed, and 27th in PFF’s rush defense grade. With the Bears’ inefficiency rushing the football this season, Montgomery’s rushing props could come in low. Keep an eye on those numbers this weekend.
Jordan Reed vs Washington linebackers
This matchup is so crucial because of another, disadvantageous matchup for San Francisco. All season long, the Football Team front four has been stellar, ranking third in sacks, third in defense DVOA, and fourth in pass rush win rate. With Chase Young, Montez Sweat, and Ryan Kerrigan breathing down Nick Mullens’ neck all game long, he’s going to need a safety valve. Tight ends and running backs are a quarterback’s best friend when faced with immense pressure and San Francisco is down their best player, George Kittle.
That’s where Jordan Reed comes in; Reed is an immensely talented pass catcher who’s been bogged down with injury his entire career. Reed is healthy this game and he’ll be seeing plenty of targets from Mullens. With volume comes production, so Reed should have a day, right?
Not exactly– Washington fields some of the best coverage linebackers in the NFL. Kevin Pierre-Louis and Cole Holcomb are PFF’s sixth- and seventh-ranked coverage linebackers, respectively. Pierre-Louis also grades out near the top in athleticism, even posting a 4.5 40-time in his combine (first among recorded linebackers). Reed wins his battles with his size combined with his athleticism, but that might not work out this week. It’ll be a fun battle to watch all afternoon long.
Season-long player props
You can still bet on regular season player props too! Click the tab in the table below to view more NFL betting props and futures.