It’s officially the fourth quarter of the NFL season and playoff races are running at their peak. With teams staving off elimination, the betting action is as fun as ever. The Bengals and Chargers– while not widely considered contenders– are fighting to avoid elimination from the playoffs . Minnesota battles Tampa Bay for a playoff position, the winner of which takes control of a wildcard seat and the Rams are fighting to knock the Cardinals out.
While there’s plenty of weeks left for teams to make pushes to the playoffs, Week 13 could be the week eliminated teams look back and point to as the turning point. Let’s take a look at some of the best individual matchups of this pivotal week.
Week 13 prop tool
What is the player props search tool?
The player props search tool was built to make everyone’s life easier, and we didn’t try to hide its purpose in the name. TheLines now provides one-stop shop that gathers odds from a dozen sportsbooks and puts them in one place. Besides cutting minutes off your search by putting DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, BetMGM, and others right in front of you; the search tool also shows you dozens of prop bets for the individual player.
Advice oft-repeated at TheLines is to shop around when placing bets; just because Fox Bet offers certain odds doesn’t mean another sportsbook won’t offer better odds. For example, DraftKings Sportsbook offers the over/under on Aaron Rodgers’ rushing yards against the Eagles at 280.5. However, FanDuel Sportsbook may offer the same prop at over/under 286.5. That six-yard discrepancy might not seem like much, but it’s solid insurance against a bad beat and maximizes your win probability.
Similarly, two sportsbooks may offer the same prop, but at different odds. For example, Justin Jefferson’s season-long odds to win Offensive Rookie of the Year lands at +850 at FanDuel Sportsbook. However, DraftKings Sportsbook lists his OROY odds at +1700. A $100 bet at FanDuel would pay out $850 (plus the initial $100 bet), but the same $100 wager placed at DK would pay out $1700– a $850 difference (plus the initial $100 bet).
The player props search tool is made to maximize winnings and minimize time flipping through windows and tabs.
How to use the player props tool
The search tool (above) is incredibly easy to use; simply type in a player’s name (ex. Mike Evans) and your state of residence. Hit enter and that’s it.
From there, you’ll find a list of different props at different odds and at different sportsbooks. There’s even links to the books, so you won’t have to open a new window and re-find those odds. No need to worry about outdated odds, either– the tool is linked to live odds and is ever-changing.
Matchups to watch
Keenan Allen vs Stephon Gilmore
Last week, it was DeAndre Hopkins, this week it’s Keenan Allen; Stephon Gilmore has had his hands full the past two weeks with some of the NFL’s top receivers. In their matchup with the Cardinals, Gilmore held Hopkins to 55 yards– his fourth-lowest yardage on the season. His 6’1 frame helps Gilmore keep up with some of the bigger and more physical receivers and his 4.4 40-time neutralizes even the speediest receivers.
Keenan Allen leads the NFL in targets (122) and has seen 10 more more targets in eight of ten games since Justin Herbert took over the starting quarterback position. The Achilles heel for Allen this season, though, has been lockdown corners; he was held to just two catches for 29 yards in his matchup with All Pro Jalen Ramsey (Week 5) and to three catches (seven targets) for 39 yards against interception-leader Xavien Howard (Week 10).
The battle between these two won’t just affect Allen’s statline– it could dictate how Herbert plays entirely and shutting down Allen could be a backbreaker for the Chargers.
DeAndre Hopkins vs Jalen Ramsey
Jalen Ramsey might be the NFL’s best cornerback this season. He’s allowing a career-best 5.2 yards per target and has given up just one touchdown so far this season. He’s held Stefon Diggs, Terry McLaurin, DeVante Parker, D.K. Metcalf, and Mike Evans to an average of three receptions for 31 yards this season. Ramsey’s also led the Rams to the third-best pass defense in the NFL (203.5 yards per game).
On the other side, DeAndre Hopkins has struggled against the NFL’s better pass defenses. Of his five 100-yard games, three came against teams in the bottom seven in pass defense (Detroit, New York Jets, Seattle) and a fourth came against the 18th-ranked Bills. Against his toughest opponents– New England’s Stephon Gilmore and Miami’s Xavien Howard– he was held to five catches for 55 yards and three catches for 30 yards, respectively.
To get Kyler Murray going in this critical divisional matchup, Hopkins is going to have to overcome Ramsey and get some open looks. Based on Ramsey’s track record this season, it’s easier said than done.
David Bakhtiari vs Brandon Graham
Last week, Khalil Mack vs David Bakhtiari was a matchup to watch for and the newly-signed Bakhtiari completely neutralized the former Defensive Player of the Year. This week, he gets Philadelphia’s Brandon Graham, one of PFF’s highest-graded edge rushers. Bakhtiari has helped lead Green Bay to the third-best quarterback sack rate (just 1.1 times per game) and keeping Aaron Rodgers the least-pressured quarterback in the league (13.1%). It’s worth noting that Rodgers sits middle of the pack in time in the pocket (2.4 seconds).
This season, Brandon Graham ranks 12th in sacks (seven) while also leading in tackles among the top 15 sack leaders (30). He’s been a wrecker all season long that’s required teams to game plan around him. The Eagles blitz teams the seventh-least amount (23%) but sit sixth in pressure rate (25.2%) and QB knockdown percent (9.5%).
Watching the battle between the Packers’ stellar offensive line and the Eagles’ ferocious defensive line will be a real treat. That matchup is highlighted by the battle between each unit’s best player.
Nick Chubb vs Derrick Henry
The Browns are 6-1 on the season when Nick Chubb plays and 5-0 when he rushes for 100 or more yards. Chubb’s hit the 100-yard mark in five of six games he’s played to completion. The Titans are 7-0 when Derrick Henry receives 20 or more carries and 1-3 when he does not. To say the performance and usage of both Cleveland and Tennessee’s feature backs is important to their wins is an understatement.
Without Chubb on the field this season, the Browns are 2-2 and score 20.5 points per game (26.2 points per game when he plays). The Titans provide a favorable matchup for the Browns rushing attack, as they are 16th in rush yards allowed (115.5) and yards per rush allowed (4.3). While Cleveland brings a stronger rush defense to the table (their 108.2 yards allowed per game ranks ninth), Derrick Henry has proved to be matchup proof; he clobbered the Colts for 178 yards and three touchdowns a week ago.
With such heavy splits involving Chubb and Henry, the focus will be on these players. It’s a major opportunity to take overs for both’s rushing totals.
Season-long player props
You can still bet on regular season player props too! Click the tab in the table below to view more NFL betting props and futures.