NFL Saturday Texans Vs. Colts Player Prop Bets: Can Jonathan Taylor Score First TD?
NFL player props and same-game parlays are now available at the best betting sites. Week 18’s Saturday doubleheader culiminates with a “win and you’re in” AFC South matchup between the Houston Texans and the Indianapolis Colts. NFL Week 18 Odds show the Colts as point home favorites. The Over/Under for this game is set at . Below, we’ll highlight NFL player props and a potential SGP strategy for this contest.
NFL Player Props: Texans at Colts
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- Texans at Colts anytime touchdown bets and best odds across sportsbooks
NFL Same game parlay STRATEGY
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This matchup is a win-or-go-home scenario and is likely to be one of the most competitive games of the weekend. The winner secures at least a Wild Card slot but potentially the division title if the Jaguars lose Sunday.
Potential Texans at Colts player props
CJ Stroud Passing Props
When looking into the specifics of this matchup for Stroud, we should see the rookie excel against this Colts defense. Stroud leads the NFL with a 109.1 rating against Cover 3 defenses this season. He has thrown for 8.9 yards per attempt with eight touchdowns and zero interceptions against this coverage on 194 total dropbacks.
The Colts are playing Cover 3 on 50.3% of passing plays, second in the league. When these teams played in Week 2, the Colts were in Cover-3 on 62.3% of passing plays. Stroud ended up throwing for 384 yards in that game.
Jonathan Taylor Props
We have a few intriguing angles regarding Taylor’s props in this game. First, an exciting trend is happening regarding Taylor scoring touchdowns this season. Taylor has scored a TD in four consecutive games, but it’s noteworthy that it has been the game’s first TD as well. The Colts opened the week as short home favorites until money came in on the Texans. Needless to say, Taylor should be running with a neutral game script for a lot of the night.
It shouldn’t surprise anyone to see Taylor scoring the games first TD again, and with odds of , that may be worth a sprinkle.
The next angle to attack with Taylor’s props is potentially betting him under on receiving yards. Taylor is playing through a thumb injury, and his pass-catching role has diminished dramatically over the past two games. Taylor ran only 12 routes on 25 Gardner Minshew dropbacks in Week 17 and commanded just one target. Trey Sermon ran nine routes and got two targets. Taylor is in line for a huge rushing role, but the receiving role is nonexistent right now.
- Receiving Yards: O/U /
- Receptions: O/U /
- Longest Reception: O/U /
Dalton Schultz Props
Schultz only caught two passes for 19 yards in Week 17. However, the low volume shouldn’t be a concern, as Houston didn’t have to throw much with a lead in the second half. Now pressed with winning on Saturday, Schultz will look to rebound against a Colts team that has allowed the seventh-most targets and eighth-most receptions to TEs this season.
It certainly can make sense for Schultz to score a TD in this game. He has 19.4% of the Texans’s red zone targets and 22.5% of their end zone targets this season.
Although this game will be highly competitive, and contract incentives are definitely not top of mind here, a fun note is that Schultz has a $250k bonus if he eclipses 60 total receptions. He currently has 54. He had four receptions on even targets in the first meeting against the Colts.
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