The NFL season is nearly wrapped up and the four best teams are all that remain. It’s the highest-stakes weekend of the season so far, with two trips to Super Bowl LV hanging in the balance. For Buffalo, it would be their first Super Bowl appearance since the 1993 season. For Kansas City they would be one step closer to becoming the first repeat Super Bowl champions since the 2003-04 Patriots. The Packers are two wins away from Aaron Rodgers’ second world championship and the Buccaneers are looking to become the first team to play in their home stadium in a Super Bowl.
The offensive fireworks are just getting geared up, as the final four teams are also the top four teams in passing efficiency this season. Let’s take a look at TheLines’ Player Props Search Tool and preview the quarterback matchups for this week.
What is the player props search tool?
The player props search tool was built to make everyone’s life easier, and we didn’t try to hide its purpose in the name. TheLines now provides one-stop shop that gathers odds from a dozen sportsbooks and puts them in one place. Besides cutting minutes off your search by putting DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, BetMGM, and others right in front of you; the search tool also shows you dozens of prop bets for the individual player.
Advice oft-repeated at The Lines is to shop around when placing bets; just because Fox Bet offers certain odds doesn’t mean another sportsbook won’t offer better odds. For example, BetMGM offers the over/under on Stefon Diggs’ passing yards Sunday against the Chiefs at 93.5. However, DraftKings Sportsbook may offer the same prop at over/under 87.5. That six-yard discrepancy might not seem like much, but it’s solid insurance against a bad beat and maximizes your win probability.
Similarly, two sportsbooks may offer the same prop, but at different odds. For example, Aaron Rodgers’ odds to win the league MVP lands at +300 at DraftKings Sportsbook. However, FanDuel Sportsbook lists his MVP odds at +350. A $100 bet at DK would pay out $300 (plus the initial $100 bet), but the same $100 wager placed at FanDuel would pay out $350– a $50 difference (plus the initial $100 bet).
The player props search tool is made to maximize winnings and minimize time flipping through windows and tabs.
How to use the player props tool
The search tool (above) is incredibly easy to use; simply type in a player’s name (ex. Mike Evans) and your state of residence. Hit enter and that’s it.
From there, you’ll find a list of different props at different odds and at different sportsbooks. There’s even links to the books, so you won’t have to open a new window and re-find those odds. No need to worry about outdated odds, either– the tool is linked to live odds and is ever-changing.
Matchups to watch
Patrick Mahomes vs Josh Allen
It’s a showdown between two of the league’s youngest superstars. The excitement in this one comes from the big arm talent from both Mahomes and Allen, combined with the playmaking ability of top receivers like Tyreek Hill and Stefon Diggs. Allen is second in the NFL this season in EPA, third in intended air yards, and eighth in on-target percentage with his throws. His completion percentage jumped from 52.8% his rookie year to 58.8% last year to 69.2% this season – the largest jump in the NFL.
Mahomes has consistently been the best quarterback in the AFC over the last three seasons, breaking nearly every record imaginable through that time and winning a league MVP in 2018. This season, Mahomes has dominated teams that blitz frequently and now faces a Bills defense that blitzes the eighth-most frequently. Conversely, the Chiefs’ defense is fourth in QB knockdown percentage this season.
Aaron Rodgers vs Tom Brady
Despite these two having a combined 37 years of NFL experience, they’ve never met in the postseason. Tom Brady has a 3-1 advantage playing Aaron Rodgers in his career. In their first matchup this season, the Buccaneers took it to the Packers 38-10, holding Rodgers out of the end zone for the only time all year (one of just two instances where he was held under two touchdowns). They forced two interceptions – 40% of the total interceptions Rodgers threw all season.
Brady only needed 166 yards in that game, as the Bucs were able to rush for 158 yards. At frigid Lambeau Field, the pressure for both quarterbacks to throw the ball mounts; Rodgers has won his last four home playoff games (last loss dates back to 2013) but is hosting his first career conference championship game. Brady has won nine of his 13 played conference championship games (all in AFC), but is 3-3 in road conference title games.