Bengals Vs. Steelers Player Prop Bets For NFL Saturday: Will Joe Mixon Score Another TD?

Written By Jeffrey Schreiber | Last Updated
nfl player props

NFL player props and same-game parlays are now available at the best NFL betting sites. NFL Week 16 presents us with a Saturday slate of games, including an AFC showdown between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Bengals are point road favorites. The Over/Under for this game is set at . Below, we’ll highlight NFL player props and a potential SGP strategy for this contest.

NFL Player Props: Bengals at Steelers

Head To Head

STATS
Bengals logo Bengals CIN
Steelers logo Steelers PIT
Offense Ranking OFF RNK N/A N/A
Defense Ranking DEF RNK N/A N/A
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG

nfl Same game parlay STRATEGY

The key to long-term profitability in SGP betting is correlation. Getting the broad story of a game correct makes it easier to hit a parlay, as you’re not cheering for disparate and potentially even contradictory things to happen. When reviewing winning SGP tickets, we can think backward and determine what game-script ideas and correlations went into constructing the parlay.

Potential Bengals at Steelers player props

Bengals RB Joe Mixon Props

Mixon has been playing exceptionally well recently, particularly in his touchdown scoring. He has a notable tally of eight total touchdowns in his last eight games. This touchdown-scoring surge aligns with the vulnerabilities in the Steelers’ defense, which has conceded five touchdowns to running backs in their previous five contests. Mixon’s assertiveness in high-stakes situations is reflected in his number of rushing attempts inside the five-yard line, where he is tied for the most among all running backs this year. He also stands second among all running backs in the percentage of the team’s red zone rushing attempts (90%). The Bengals’ confidence in Mixon’s ability to convert critical plays into scores seems sky-high right now.

Notably, the Steelers’ rush defense ranks as the fifth-worst in the league by success rate, further boosting the potential for running backs to have success rushing against them. In addition to his recent touchdown success, Mixon’s contribution to the Bengals’ passing game, primarily through screen passes, has been significant. He has exceeded 30 receiving yards in five of his last seven games.

Steelers QB Mason Rudolph Interception ()

This one makes a ton of sense. You have a third-string quarterback starting for the Steelers who has a career 16:11 touchdown touchdown-to-interception ratio in ten career starts. The Steelers are underdogs in this contest, dictating that Rudolph will likely be forced into additional passing attempts. If you are into trends, the Bengals have three total interceptions in their back-to-back wins.

Potential Same Game Parlay Legs

Under Steelers 17.5 Team Total

This Steelers offense seems depleted right now. Since these teams played in Week 12, the Steelers are 30th in the NFL in scoring on 19.4% of their drives. Even when the Steelers get into scoring position, they fail to convert those chances into touchdowns. A mere 46.5% of Pittsburgh’s scoring plays have been touchdowns, which ranks 29th in the league.

Now enter third-string quarterback Mason Rudolph. Rudolph will start for the Steelers, hoping to be more of a game manager than anything else. He stated on Tuesday that he doesn’t plan on “chucking the ball down the field” and instead “just take what the defense gives him.” In his most recent start in 2021, Rudolph completed 30 of 50 attempts for 242 yards with one touchdown and one interception. Pittsburgh only scored 16 points in that game.

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