NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds: Can Cowboys WR CeeDee Lamb win?

Written By Derek Wagner on November 20, 2023

While NFL MVP odds have shifted in recent weeks, NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds have simultaneously shifted with CeeDee Lamb entering the picture, trying to chase down Tyreek Hill, A.J. Brown, and Christian McCaffrey. Let’s dive into OPOY odds and see if a bet is worth placing on CeeDee Lamb at the best sports betting sites.

2023 NFL OFFENSIVE PLAYER OF THE YEAR Odds

Click any of the NFL OPOY odds below to place bets and claim the best betting bonuses at sportsbooks in your state. The odds listed are the best available, saving you time from flipping between sites.

Tyreek Hill OPOY Odds

While the odds suggest that Hill will likely win this award, I think he is a vulnerable favorite the rest of the way.

Over the last seven games of the season, the Dolphins have four games against defenses that are top 10 in Dropback EPA: the Jets twice, the Cowboys, and the Ravens. It’s worth noting that Hill struggled against Saleh’s Jets last season, failing to hit the 50-yard mark in either game. Granted Tua wasn’t playing in either game, but the point remains, Sauce Gardner and New York could give him fits this weekend. In two games against the Jets, star receiver Stefon Diggs has managed 14 catches for 129 yards and one score.

A similar performance from Hill in two games against the Jets would leave him vulnerable. That being said, he is still on pace to break Calvin Johnson’s record of 1,964 receiving yards, as he’s projected 2,077 yards on the season. This award has historically gone to record-breaking seasons by individuals.

CeeDee Lamb OPOY Odds

Lamb’s OPOY odds have been on the move, as bettors could have bet him at +7500 as recently as last week. Now, the best price available currently is . The massive movement in his odds resulted from an incredible four-game stretch where Lamb notched at least 117 receiving yards.

His performance against the Panthers hurt his chances of being named Offensive Player of the Year though. He logged six receptions for a mere 38 yards in the team’s 33-10 win, his second-lowest receiving yards total in a game this season. That said, he has a favorable schedule to close out the season.

Lamb has two games against the Commanders over the season’s final eight weeks. For reference, Ron Rivera’s squad ranks 30th in Dropback EPA. In two games against Washington this year, star receiver AJ Brown torched them for a combined 17 receptions, 305 yards, and four touchdowns. With a few big games against Washington, Lamb could find himself squarely in the OPOY race.

Lamb also faces the Eagles, Lions, and Bills defenses the rest of the way, each ranking bottom 12 in Dropback success rate since Week 6. The Lions’ secondary has notably struggled the last two weeks. In Week 10, they allowed Keenan Allen to notch 11 receptions for 175 yards and two touchdowns. This past weekend, they allowed seven receptions for 96 yards and a score to the Bears’ top target, DJ Moore. Furthermore, the Lions rank 15th in DVOA against WR1s on the season, which is somewhat inflated due to their Week 3 performance against Atlanta when they held Drake London to two receptions and 31 yards.

FINAL THOUGHTS

I still think Hill wins this award, but a case could be made that Lamb can sneak in and steal it. The Cowboys air attack needs to continue its domination, and Lamb needs to take advantage of some favorable matchups down the stretch. Ultimately, I think Lamb narrows the gap on this award, but I’m still unsure if he can win. He must stack games with massive numbers of receiving yards to break Johnson’s single-season record. He’s currently on pace to finish just under 1,800 yards on the season. The schedule, though, lines up favorably for him to pull it off. Best of luck betting NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds!

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